Colgate-Palmolive Company (CL) Fair Value 2026

CL · Perfumes, Cosmetics & Other Toilet Preparations ·

By CirclFi Research Team · Data from SEC EDGAR, FRED & GDELT

Quality Score

9.2 /10

32 fundamental signals · 12 models active

Value Trap Risk

SAFE (11/100)

Quick Summary — As of 2026-07-13, Colgate-Palmolive Company (CL) trades at $93.22, approximately 24% below CirclFi’s Bayesian DCF fair value of $123.36. QOC: 9.2/10. Value Trap Risk: 11/100 (SAFE). 12/13 models active.

Key Facts

Ticker
CL
Price
$93.22
Quality Score
9.2/10
Value Trap Risk
11/100
Models Active
12/13
Last Updated
Strength: Bayesian DCF suggests +32.3% upside with 73% confidence
Risk: Majority of models suggest overvaluation

Valuation Matrix

12 Intrinsic Value Models vs. Current Price ($93.22)

Core Models (Unlocked)
Model Fair Value Upside
Bayesian DCF
High Conviction
$123.36 +32.3%
Earnings Power Value
High Conviction
$68.56 -26.4%
CUCE Ensemble
Medium Conviction
$83.85 -10.1%
First Chicago
High Conviction
$92.61 -0.7%

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What Is Colgate-Palmolive Company (CL) Worth in 2026?

According to the CirclFi Deep Alpha Valuation Engine, the balance of valuation evidence tilts cautious on Colgate-Palmolive Company at its current price of $93.22. The composite intrinsic value is estimated at $73.82 (-20.8% average return), with 8 models flagging overvaluation risk. Model dispersion is worth noting: RCMH-DCF targets $123.85 (+32.9%), versus ML-RIV at $1.18 (-98.7%). This +131.6% range highlights the importance of multi-model analysis rather than relying on any single methodology. Among models with highest confidence, Bayesian DCF, EPV lean bearish — adding weight to the bearish side of the thesis.

What Do the Models Say About CL?

12 of 13 models are currently active for CL. Of these, 2 models suggest upside while 10 models suggest overvaluation. The Bayesian DCF estimates CL's intrinsic value at $123.36, implying +32.3% upside from the current price. See which stocks rank higher →

How Does CL Rank in Perfumes, Cosmetics & Other Toilet Preparations?

Among 20 Perfumes, Cosmetics & Other Toilet Preparations stocks, CL ranks #3 by Quality of Company score. CirclFi's QOC score of 9.2/10 evaluates 32 fundamental signals. A score of 9.2 places CL in the top tier.

Within the Perfumes, Cosmetics & Other Toilet Preparations space, Colgate-Palmolive Company competes in an environment where breakeven oil price often separates market leaders from laggards. Understanding these industry-specific dynamics is essential context for interpreting our model outputs.

Is CL a Value Trap?

CirclFi's Value Trap algorithm assigns CL a score of 11/100 (SAFE). This indicates minimal risk. Fundamentals are healthy. The score cross-references apparent undervaluation against fundamental deterioration signals. Browse lowest value-trap stocks →

Multi-Model Methodology

12 of 13 models are active for Colgate-Palmolive Company. Broad coverage provides high confidence. Each model applies a fundamentally different valuation philosophy. See the complete methodology →

According to the CirclFi Quality of Company (QOC) framework, which evaluates 32 signals including margin stability, revenue growth trajectory, leverage, and free cash flow generation, Colgate-Palmolive Company is rated at 9.2/10. This elite-tier score ranks among the highest-quality businesses in our coverage universe.

The gap between the most bullish and bearish model spans +131.6% — demonstrating why single-model analysis is dangerous. Browse all stocks with 13-model coverage →

Data Sources & Confidence

Every CL valuation is built from SEC EDGAR XBRL filings — 700+ standardized financial tags. Macroeconomic context from FRED calibrates discount rates, while GDELT news sentiment feeds into our Sentiment SOTP model. All pipelines run daily. Read the complete data methodology →

Across CL's 12 active models, average confidence is 51%. Moderate confidence indicates reasonable fit.

CirclFi's output is a research starting point, not a buy/sell signal. All data updates daily. Read the full methodology →

This analysis is produced by the CirclFi Valuation Engine using quantitative models applied to SEC EDGAR filings, public market feeds, and FRED macroeconomic indicators. It is not financial advice.

Read the full investment analysis: Should You Buy Colgate-Palmolive Company Stock in 2026? →

Bull case, bear case, risk factors & peer comparison — updated daily

Which Similar Perfumes, Cosmetics & Other Toilet Preparations Stocks Should You Also Analyze?

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Frequently Asked Questions About Colgate-Palmolive Company

What is Colgate-Palmolive Company's intrinsic value in 2026?

Based on CirclFi's 13-model analysis, Colgate-Palmolive Company (CL) has multiple fair value estimates. The Bayesian DCF model runs 10,000 Monte Carlo simulations with jump-diffusion to estimate intrinsic value at $123.36. The Quality of Company score is 9.2/10 across 32 fundamental signals. All models use SEC EDGAR filings updated daily. See our methodology page for how each model works.

Is CL overvalued or undervalued right now?

At $93.22, 2 of 12 active models suggest CL may be undervalued, while 10 indicate potential overvaluation. The assessment depends on which methodology best fits Colgate-Palmolive Company's business model in Perfumes, Cosmetics & Other Toilet Preparations.

What does a Quality of Company score of 9.2 mean for CL?

Colgate-Palmolive Company's QOC of 9.2/10 reflects 32 fundamental signals: profitability margins, revenue growth consistency, balance sheet leverage, free cash flow generation, and capital allocation efficiency. Scores above 7 indicate strong fundamentals and disciplined management.

How many valuation models does CirclFi run on CL?

CirclFi analyzes CL with 13 institutional-grade models daily: Bayesian DCF (Monte Carlo + jump-diffusion), EPV (Greenwald zero-growth), EROIC Spread (McKinsey reinvestment), First Chicago (3-scenario), Markov DDM (regime-switching), ML-RIV (machine learning residual income), Dynamic NAV (asset-based), PWERM (option-theoretic), Regime Cross-Sectional (relative), Sentiment SOTP (hybrid), CUCE Ensemble (meta-model), FTNN Topology (neural network), and RCMH-DCF (conditional regime). Currently 12 of 13 are active for this stock. Read the full methodology →

Is CL a value trap in 2026?

Colgate-Palmolive Company's Value Trap score is 11/100 (SAFE). This low score indicates the current valuation is not artificially depressed by fundamental deterioration, suggesting genuine opportunity rather than a trap. Browse stocks by value-trap risk →

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