Kimberly-Clark Corporation (KMB) Fair Value 2026

KMB · Household & Personal Products ·

By CirclFi Research Team · Data from SEC EDGAR, FRED & GDELT

Quality Score

8.0 /10

32 fundamental signals · 9 models active

Value Trap Risk

SAFE (6/100)

Quick Summary — As of 2026-08-28, Kimberly-Clark Corporation (KMB) trades at $109.55, versus a $104.66 median fair value across its 9 active models — 4.5% below the current price. QOC: 8.0/10. Value Trap Risk: 6/100 (SAFE). 9/13 models active. Within that set, the Bayesian DCF component alone returns $127.82.

Key Facts

Ticker
KMB
Price
$109.55
Quality Score
8.0/10
Value Trap Risk
6/100
Models Active
9/13
Last Updated
Strength: Bayesian DCF suggests +16.7% upside with 73% confidence
Risk: Majority of models suggest overvaluation

Is Kimberly-Clark Corporation (KMB) Undervalued or Overvalued in 2026?

According to CirclFi’s 9-model valuation engine, Kimberly-Clark Corporation (KMB) appears fairly valued as of : the median of 9 independent fair value estimates is $104.66, within 4.5% of the current price of $109.55. Estimates range from $33.30 to $159.42. KMB scores 8.0/10 on fundamental quality and 6/100 on value-trap risk.

For context, the median US equity CirclFi rates trades at an implied -23.4% versus its own 13-model consensus, across 3,809 rated companies as of 2026-08-28. KMB’s -4.5% gap is narrower than that market norm, and the Household & Personal Products sector median is -7.1%. Full market index →

This verdict compares price to intrinsic value only — it is not a buy or sell rating. For the decision case (bull vs bear arguments, risk factors, peers), read Should You Buy Kimberly-Clark Corporation Stock in 2026? →

What Fair Value Does Each Model Give KMB?

9 Intrinsic Value Models vs. Current Price ($109.55)

Core Models (Unlocked)
Model Fair Value Upside
Intrinsic · High Conviction
 $127.82 +16.7%
Intrinsic · High Conviction
 $70.51 -35.6%
Ensemble · Medium Conviction
 $102.18 -6.7%
Intrinsic · High Conviction
 $33.30 -69.6%
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What Is KMB's Fair Value Range?

Spread across 9 independent models · $33.30 to $159.42

CirclFi's 9 active models place Kimberly-Clark Corporation (KMB) between $33.30 and $159.42 per share, a spread of 121% of the median. The median of that range — $104.66 — is the fair value CirclFi publishes for KMB, against a current price of $109.55.

Low · EROICHigh · RCMH-DCF
$33.30median $104.66$159.42
Where the range comes from
Most bearish modelEROIC Spread$33.30
Most bullish modelRCMH-DCF$159.42
Model agreement3 bullish · 4 bearishwide

A band this wide is itself the finding. When independent methods land far apart, they are reading a business whose value depends heavily on which lens you apply — volatile earnings, heavy reinvestment, or an asset base that cash-flow and asset-based methods score differently. That disagreement is information: it says the choice of method matters more than usual for KMB. Treat the median as one reading among several and compare the individual models below before acting.

Every figure above is one model's standalone output on KMB, not a CirclFi price target. How each model works →

What Is Kimberly-Clark Corporation (KMB) Worth in 2026?

According to the CirclFi Deep Alpha Valuation Engine, Kimberly-Clark Corporation presents a highly debated valuation profile at its current price of $109.55. The median intrinsic value is estimated at $104.66 (-4.5% median upside), masking a wide model spread between the 3 bullish models and 4 bearish models. Model dispersion is worth noting: RCMH-DCF targets $159.42 (+45.5%), versus EROIC at $33.30 (-69.6%). This +115.1% range highlights the importance of multi-model analysis rather than relying on any single methodology. Among models with highest confidence, Bayesian DCF, EPV lean bearish — adding weight to the bearish side of the thesis.

What Do the Models Say About KMB?

9 of 13 models are currently active for KMB. Of these, 3 models suggest upside while 6 models suggest overvaluation. Taken together, their median fair value for KMB is $104.66 — the figure CirclFi publishes as this stock's fair value. One component of that median, the Bayesian DCF, returns $127.82 on its own, implying +16.7% upside from the current price. See which stocks rank higher →

How Does KMB Rank in Household & Personal Products?

Among 35 Household & Personal Products stocks, KMB ranks #8 by Quality of Company score. CirclFi's QOC score of 8.0/10 evaluates 32 fundamental signals. A score of 8.0 indicates above-average quality.

The Household & Personal Products sector introduces analytical considerations specific to consumer-facing company businesses. For Kimberly-Clark Corporation, metrics like customer lifetime value (CLV) provide important context that general-purpose valuation models may underweight.

Is KMB a Value Trap?

CirclFi's Value Trap algorithm assigns KMB a score of 6/100 (SAFE). This indicates minimal risk. Fundamentals are healthy. The score cross-references apparent undervaluation against fundamental deterioration signals. Browse lowest value-trap stocks →

Multi-Model Methodology

9 of 13 models are active for Kimberly-Clark Corporation. Moderate coverage provides meaningful perspective. Each model applies a fundamentally different valuation philosophy. See the complete methodology →

According to the CirclFi Quality of Company (QOC) framework, Kimberly-Clark Corporation earns a quality score of 8.0/10. This robust rating reflects the company's standing across 32 fundamental signals spanning profitability, growth consistency, balance sheet strength, and capital allocation efficiency.

The gap between the most bullish and bearish model spans +115.1% — demonstrating why single-model analysis is dangerous. Browse all stocks with 13-model coverage →

Data Sources & Confidence

Every KMB valuation is built from SEC EDGAR XBRL filings — 700+ standardized financial tags. Macroeconomic context from FRED calibrates discount rates, while GDELT news sentiment feeds into our Sentiment SOTP model. All pipelines run daily. Read the complete data methodology →

Across KMB's 9 active models, average confidence is 56%. Moderate confidence indicates reasonable fit.

CirclFi's output is a research starting point, not a buy/sell signal. All data updates daily. Read the full methodology →

This analysis is produced by the CirclFi Valuation Engine using quantitative models applied to SEC EDGAR filings, public market feeds, and FRED macroeconomic indicators. It is not financial advice.

Read the full investment analysis: Should You Buy Kimberly-Clark Corporation Stock in 2026? →

Bull case, bear case, risk factors & peer comparison — updated daily

Which Similar Household & Personal Products Stocks Should You Also Analyze?

11 related Household & Personal Products stocks with 13-model coverage

UGUnited-Guardian, Inc.QOC 8.1CLXThe Clorox CompanyQOC 7.9ELFe.l.f. Beauty, Inc.QOC 8.1NUSNu Skin Enterprises, Inc.QOC 7.7ACUAcme United CorporationQOC 8.3SPBSpectrum Brands Holdings, Inc.QOC 7.7SLSNSolesence, Inc.QOC 6.8COTYCoty Inc.QOC 6.1DSYBig Tree Cloud Holdings LimitedQOC 2.4IPARInterparfums, Inc.QOC 9.3PGThe Procter & Gamble CompanyQOC 8.8

Read investment analysis: UG · CLX · ELF · NUS · ACU · SPB · SLSN · COTY · DSY · IPAR · PG

Which Other Stocks Have a Similar Quality Score to KMB?

7 companies across all industries closest to KMB’s Quality of Company score of 8.0/10.

FISIFinancial Institutions, Inc.QOC 8.0UGIUGI CorporationQOC 8.0SNXTD SYNNEX CorporationQOC 8.0EGHT8x8, Inc.QOC 8.0USACUSA Compression Partners, LPQOC 8.0PTRNPattern Group Inc.QOC 8.0NVDANVIDIA CorporationQOC 10.0

Read investment analysis: FISI · UGI · SNX · EGHT · USAC · PTRN · NVDA

What Else Do Investors Ask About Kimberly-Clark Corporation’s Valuation?

What is Kimberly-Clark Corporation's intrinsic value in 2026?

CirclFi puts Kimberly-Clark Corporation (KMB)'s intrinsic value at $104.66 — the median of 9 independent model estimates as of 2026-08-28, ranging from $33.30 to $159.42. One component of that median, the Bayesian DCF, runs 10,000 Monte Carlo simulations with jump-diffusion and returns $127.82 on its own. The Quality of Company score is 8.0/10 across 32 fundamental signals. All models use SEC EDGAR filings updated daily. See our methodology page for how each model works.

Is KMB overvalued or undervalued right now?

At $109.55, 3 of 9 active models suggest KMB may be undervalued, while 6 indicate potential overvaluation. The median of all 9 fair value estimates is $104.66, within 4.5% of the current price of $109.55 — a consensus view that KMB is fairly valued. The assessment depends on which methodology best fits Kimberly-Clark Corporation's business model in Household & Personal Products.

What does a Quality of Company score of 8.0 mean for KMB?

Kimberly-Clark Corporation's QOC of 8.0/10 reflects 32 fundamental signals: profitability margins, revenue growth consistency, balance sheet leverage, free cash flow generation, and capital allocation efficiency. Scores above 7 indicate strong fundamentals and disciplined management.

How many valuation models does CirclFi run on KMB?

CirclFi analyzes KMB with 13 institutional-grade models daily: Bayesian DCF (Monte Carlo + jump-diffusion), EPV (Greenwald zero-growth), EROIC Spread (McKinsey reinvestment), First Chicago (3-scenario), Markov DDM (regime-switching), ML-RIV (machine learning residual income), Dynamic NAV (asset-based), PWERM (option-theoretic), Regime Cross-Sectional (relative), Sentiment SOTP (hybrid), CUCE Ensemble (meta-model), FTNN Topology (neural network), and RCMH-DCF (conditional regime). Currently 9 of 13 are active for this stock. Read the full methodology →

Which valuation models are most bullish and most bearish on KMB?

Of the 9 models currently active on KMB, RCMH-DCF is the most bullish at $159.42 per share, and EROIC Spread is the most bearish at $33.30. CirclFi's published fair value for KMB is the median of that range, $104.66, not either extreme. The gap between the two ends equals 121% of the median — a wide spread, meaning the methods genuinely disagree and the median should carry less weight. Browse stocks by value-trap risk →

Is KMB a value trap in 2026?

Kimberly-Clark Corporation's Value Trap score is 6/100 (SAFE). This low score indicates the current valuation is not artificially depressed by fundamental deterioration, suggesting genuine opportunity rather than a trap.

Cite this analysis — “According to CirclFi’s 9-model valuation engine, Kimberly-Clark Corporation (KMB) has a median fair value of $104.66 — within 4.5% of the current price of $109.55 — as of 2026-08-28.” Source: circlfi.com/stock/KMB/ · Methodology
Primary sources for this KMB valuation
  • Financial statements: Kimberly-Clark Corporation 10-K and 10-Q filings on SEC EDGAR (CIK 0000055785) — 700+ standardized XBRL tags, published by the U.S. Securities and Exchange Commission.
  • Discount-rate inputs: FRED, Federal Reserve Bank of St. Louis — risk-free rates, VIX, yield curve, inflation.
  • News sentiment: The GDELT Project — global media tone, input to the Sentiment SOTP model.
  • Model definitions: CirclFi methodology — the published specification for all 13 models, including the academic sources each one implements.

Market data for KMB as of ; valuations recomputed .

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