What Is UGI Corporation (UGI) Worth in 2026?
According to the CirclFi Deep Alpha Valuation Engine, UGI Corporation's intrinsic value is estimated at $36.25, presenting a divided outlook at the current price of $36.30. With an average implied return of -0.1% across a split 6–5 (bull–bear) consensus, the model spread of +113.2% underscores analytical uncertainty. Notably, First Chicago sees the most upside at +62.4% (fair value: $58.95), while Markov DDM is the most conservative at -50.8% ($17.87). The spread between these extremes — +113.2% — reveals how different analytical frameworks can reach starkly different conclusions. Among models with highest confidence, EPV lean bullish — adding weight to the bullish side of the thesis.
What Do the Models Say About UGI?
12 of 13 models are currently active for UGI. Of these, 6 models suggest upside while 6 models suggest overvaluation. The Bayesian DCF estimates UGI's intrinsic value at $20.80, implying -42.7% downside from the current price. See which stocks rank higher →
How Does UGI Rank in Gas & Other Services Combined?
Among 5 Gas & Other Services Combined stocks, UGI ranks #1 by Quality of Company score. CirclFi's QOC score of 7.8/10 evaluates 32 fundamental signals. A score of 7.8 indicates above-average quality.
Within the Gas & Other Services Combined space, UGI Corporation competes in an environment where capital efficiency ratio often separates market leaders from laggards. Understanding these industry-specific dynamics is essential context for interpreting our model outputs.
Is UGI a Value Trap?
CirclFi's Value Trap algorithm assigns UGI a score of 20/100 (SAFE). This indicates minimal risk. Fundamentals are healthy. The score cross-references apparent undervaluation against fundamental deterioration signals. Browse lowest value-trap stocks →
Multi-Model Methodology
12 of 13 models are active for UGI Corporation. Broad coverage provides high confidence. Each model applies a fundamentally different valuation philosophy. See the complete methodology →
According to the CirclFi 32-factor quality framework, UGI Corporation's fundamental quality profile registers 7.8/10. This robust score captures the company's profitability depth, growth consistency, balance sheet resilience, and shareholder return track record.
The gap between the most bullish and bearish model spans +113.2% — demonstrating why single-model analysis is dangerous. Browse all stocks with 13-model coverage →
Data Sources & Confidence
Every UGI valuation is built from SEC EDGAR XBRL filings — 700+ standardized financial tags. Macroeconomic context from FRED calibrates discount rates, while GDELT news sentiment feeds into our Sentiment SOTP model. All pipelines run daily. Read the complete data methodology →
Across UGI's 12 active models, average confidence is 50%. Moderate confidence indicates reasonable fit.
CirclFi's output is a research starting point, not a buy/sell signal. All data updates daily. Read the full methodology →
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