What Is NewJersey Resources Corporation (NJR) Worth in 2026?
According to the CirclFi Deep Alpha Valuation Engine, NewJersey Resources Corporation's intrinsic value is estimated at a composite fair value of $48.26. Trading at $59.23, the stock is approaching fair value or slight overvaluation (implied return of -18.5%), as 9 of 13 models suggest limited further upside. The most optimistic model, First Chicago, places fair value at $144.18 (+143.4%), while EPV — the most conservative — estimates $2.51 (-95.8%). This +239.2% gap reflects genuine analytical uncertainty about NewJersey Resources Corporation's intrinsic worth.
What Do the Models Say About NJR?
13 of 13 models are currently active for NJR. Of these, 4 models suggest upside while 9 models suggest overvaluation. The Bayesian DCF estimates NJR's intrinsic value at $79.55, implying +34.3% upside from the current price. See which stocks rank higher →
How Does NJR Rank in Natural Gas Distribution?
Among 14 Natural Gas Distribution stocks, NJR ranks #2 by Quality of Company score. CirclFi's QOC score of 9.3/10 evaluates 32 fundamental signals. A score of 9.3 places NJR in the top tier.
NewJersey Resources Corporation's positioning within the Natural Gas Distribution segment means that production decline rate plays an outsized role in fundamental analysis. The sector's unique characteristics — including production growth trajectory — shape both the opportunity set and risk profile.
Is NJR a Value Trap?
CirclFi's Value Trap algorithm assigns NJR a score of 12/100 (SAFE). This indicates minimal risk. Fundamentals are healthy. The score cross-references apparent undervaluation against fundamental deterioration signals. Browse lowest value-trap stocks →
Multi-Model Methodology
13 of 13 models are active for NewJersey Resources Corporation. Broad coverage provides high confidence. Each model applies a fundamentally different valuation philosophy. See the complete methodology →
According to the CirclFi Deep Alpha Valuation Engine, NewJersey Resources Corporation scores 9.3 out of 10 on our 32-signal quality assessment, a elite rating that ranks among the highest-quality businesses in our coverage universe. The QOC score synthesizes profitability margins, revenue growth reliability, debt management, and capital allocation into a single metric designed to separate durable businesses from statistically cheap ones.
The gap between the most bullish and bearish model spans +239.2% — demonstrating why single-model analysis is dangerous. Browse all stocks with 13-model coverage →
Data Sources & Confidence
Every NJR valuation is built from SEC EDGAR XBRL filings — 700+ standardized financial tags. Macroeconomic context from FRED calibrates discount rates, while GDELT news sentiment feeds into our Sentiment SOTP model. All pipelines run daily. Read the complete data methodology →
Across NJR's 13 active models, average confidence is 42%. Lower confidence may reflect limited history or high volatility.
CirclFi's output is a research starting point, not a buy/sell signal. All data updates daily. Read the full methodology →
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