What Is OPAL Fuels Inc. (OPAL) Worth in 2026?
According to the CirclFi Deep Alpha Valuation Engine, OPAL Fuels Inc.'s intrinsic value is estimated at a composite fair value of $2.15. Trading at $2.25, the stock is approaching fair value or slight overvaluation (implied return of -4.6%), as 6 of 10 models suggest limited further upside. The most optimistic model, First Chicago, places fair value at $5.37 (+138.7%), while Regime Cross — the most conservative — estimates $0.34 (-84.9%). This +223.7% gap reflects genuine analytical uncertainty about OPAL Fuels Inc.'s intrinsic worth.
What Do the Models Say About OPAL?
10 of 13 models are currently active for OPAL. Of these, 4 models suggest upside while 6 models suggest overvaluation. The Bayesian DCF estimates OPAL's intrinsic value at $2.79, implying +24.1% upside from the current price. See which stocks rank higher →
How Does OPAL Rank in Gas & Other Services Combined?
Among 5 Gas & Other Services Combined stocks, OPAL ranks #4 by Quality of Company score. CirclFi's QOC score of 6.1/10 evaluates 32 fundamental signals. A score of 6.1 indicates above-average quality.
OPAL Fuels Inc.'s positioning within the Gas & Other Services Combined segment means that reserve replacement ratio plays an outsized role in fundamental analysis. The sector's unique characteristics — including basin-level economics — shape both the opportunity set and risk profile.
Is OPAL a Value Trap?
CirclFi's Value Trap algorithm assigns OPAL a score of 18/100 (SAFE). This indicates minimal risk. Fundamentals are healthy. The score cross-references apparent undervaluation against fundamental deterioration signals. Browse lowest value-trap stocks →
Multi-Model Methodology
10 of 13 models are active for OPAL Fuels Inc.. Broad coverage provides high confidence. Each model applies a fundamentally different valuation philosophy. See the complete methodology →
According to the CirclFi Quality of Company (QOC) framework, OPAL Fuels Inc. earns a quality score of 6.1/10. This respectable rating reflects the company's standing across 32 fundamental signals spanning profitability, growth consistency, balance sheet strength, and capital allocation efficiency.
The gap between the most bullish and bearish model spans +223.7% — demonstrating why single-model analysis is dangerous. Browse all stocks with 13-model coverage →
Data Sources & Confidence
Every OPAL valuation is built from SEC EDGAR XBRL filings — 700+ standardized financial tags. Macroeconomic context from FRED calibrates discount rates, while GDELT news sentiment feeds into our Sentiment SOTP model. All pipelines run daily. Read the complete data methodology →
Across OPAL's 10 active models, average confidence is 39%. Lower confidence may reflect limited history or high volatility.
CirclFi's output is a research starting point, not a buy/sell signal. All data updates daily. Read the full methodology →
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