DBA Sempra (SRE) Fair Value 2026

SRE · Gas & Other Services Combined ·

By CirclFi Research Team · Data from SEC EDGAR, FRED & GDELT

Quality Score

6.5 /10

32 fundamental signals · 11 models active

Value Trap Risk

SAFE (18/100)

Quick Summary — As of 2026-07-14, DBA Sempra (SRE) trades at $93.36, approximately 7% below CirclFi’s Bayesian DCF fair value of $100.58. QOC: 6.5/10. Value Trap Risk: 18/100 (SAFE). 11/13 models active.

Key Facts

Ticker
SRE
Price
$93.36
Quality Score
6.5/10
Value Trap Risk
18/100
Models Active
11/13
Last Updated
Strength: Bayesian DCF suggests +7.7% upside with 55% confidence
Risk: Majority of models suggest overvaluation

Valuation Matrix

11 Intrinsic Value Models vs. Current Price ($93.36)

Core Models (Unlocked)
Model Fair Value Upside
Bayesian DCF
High Conviction
$100.58 +7.7%
CUCE Ensemble
Low Conviction
$53.42 -42.8%
First Chicago
High Conviction
$26.93 -71.2%
EROIC Spread
High Conviction
$23.71 -74.6%

Unlock the Full Matrix

Access 7 additional models including Markov DDM, ML-RIV, and more.

$1.30 / day

Billed monthly ($39/mo) or annually ($299/yr)

Unlock All 11 Models →

Cancel anytime · No contracts · Instant access

What Is DBA Sempra (SRE) Worth in 2026?

According to the CirclFi Deep Alpha Valuation Engine, DBA Sempra's intrinsic value is estimated at a composite fair value of $66.96. Trading at $93.36, the stock is approaching fair value or slight overvaluation (implied return of -28.3%), as 8 of 11 models suggest limited further upside. The most optimistic model, ML-RIV, places fair value at $165.55 (+77.3%), while EROIC — the most conservative — estimates $23.71 (-74.6%). This +151.9% gap reflects genuine analytical uncertainty about DBA Sempra's intrinsic worth.

What Do the Models Say About SRE?

11 of 13 models are currently active for SRE. Of these, 3 models suggest upside while 8 models suggest overvaluation. The Bayesian DCF estimates SRE's intrinsic value at $100.58, implying +7.7% upside from the current price. See which stocks rank higher →

How Does SRE Rank in Gas & Other Services Combined?

Among 5 Gas & Other Services Combined stocks, SRE ranks #3 by Quality of Company score. CirclFi's QOC score of 6.5/10 evaluates 32 fundamental signals. A score of 6.5 indicates above-average quality.

DBA Sempra's positioning within the Gas & Other Services Combined segment means that production decline rate plays an outsized role in fundamental analysis. The sector's unique characteristics — including production growth trajectory — shape both the opportunity set and risk profile.

Is SRE a Value Trap?

CirclFi's Value Trap algorithm assigns SRE a score of 18/100 (SAFE). This indicates minimal risk. Fundamentals are healthy. The score cross-references apparent undervaluation against fundamental deterioration signals. Browse lowest value-trap stocks →

Multi-Model Methodology

11 of 13 models are active for DBA Sempra. Broad coverage provides high confidence. Each model applies a fundamentally different valuation philosophy. See the complete methodology →

According to the CirclFi Deep Alpha Valuation Engine, DBA Sempra scores 6.5 out of 10 on our 32-signal quality assessment, a solid rating that maintains reasonable quality metrics with some areas for improvement. The QOC score synthesizes profitability margins, revenue growth reliability, debt management, and capital allocation into a single metric designed to separate durable businesses from statistically cheap ones.

The gap between the most bullish and bearish model spans +151.9% — demonstrating why single-model analysis is dangerous. Browse all stocks with 13-model coverage →

Data Sources & Confidence

Every SRE valuation is built from SEC EDGAR XBRL filings — 700+ standardized financial tags. Macroeconomic context from FRED calibrates discount rates, while GDELT news sentiment feeds into our Sentiment SOTP model. All pipelines run daily. Read the complete data methodology →

Across SRE's 11 active models, average confidence is 46%. Lower confidence may reflect limited history or high volatility.

CirclFi's output is a research starting point, not a buy/sell signal. All data updates daily. Read the full methodology →

This analysis is produced by the CirclFi Valuation Engine using quantitative models applied to SEC EDGAR filings, public market feeds, and FRED macroeconomic indicators. It is not financial advice.

Read the full investment analysis: Should You Buy DBA Sempra Stock in 2026? →

Bull case, bear case, risk factors & peer comparison — updated daily

Which Similar Gas & Other Services Combined Stocks Should You Also Analyze?

4 related Gas & Other Services Combined stocks with 13-model coverage

Read investment analysis: UGI · MNTK · OPAL · CLNE

Frequently Asked Questions About DBA Sempra

What is DBA Sempra's intrinsic value in 2026?

Based on CirclFi's 13-model analysis, DBA Sempra (SRE) has multiple fair value estimates. The Bayesian DCF model runs 10,000 Monte Carlo simulations with jump-diffusion to estimate intrinsic value at $100.58. The Quality of Company score is 6.5/10 across 32 fundamental signals. All models use SEC EDGAR filings updated daily. See our methodology page for how each model works.

Is SRE overvalued or undervalued right now?

At $93.36, 3 of 11 active models suggest SRE may be undervalued, while 8 indicate potential overvaluation. The assessment depends on which methodology best fits DBA Sempra's business model in Gas & Other Services Combined.

What does a Quality of Company score of 6.5 mean for SRE?

DBA Sempra's QOC of 6.5/10 reflects 32 fundamental signals: profitability margins, revenue growth consistency, balance sheet leverage, free cash flow generation, and capital allocation efficiency. Scores between 5-7 reflect moderate fundamentals with areas for improvement.

How many valuation models does CirclFi run on SRE?

CirclFi analyzes SRE with 13 institutional-grade models daily: Bayesian DCF (Monte Carlo + jump-diffusion), EPV (Greenwald zero-growth), EROIC Spread (McKinsey reinvestment), First Chicago (3-scenario), Markov DDM (regime-switching), ML-RIV (machine learning residual income), Dynamic NAV (asset-based), PWERM (option-theoretic), Regime Cross-Sectional (relative), Sentiment SOTP (hybrid), CUCE Ensemble (meta-model), FTNN Topology (neural network), and RCMH-DCF (conditional regime). Currently 11 of 13 are active for this stock. Read the full methodology →

Is SRE a value trap in 2026?

DBA Sempra's Value Trap score is 18/100 (SAFE). This low score indicates the current valuation is not artificially depressed by fundamental deterioration, suggesting genuine opportunity rather than a trap. Browse stocks by value-trap risk →

You’ve done the research. Don’t stop at half the picture.

Stop collecting opinions. Let 11 mathematical frameworks give you clarity on SRE.

Unlock All 11 Fair Values — $39/mo

Cancel anytime · Less than a cup of coffee · Instant access