U.S. Global Investors, Inc. (GROW) Fair Value 2026

GROW · Asset Management ·

By CirclFi Research Team · Data from SEC EDGAR, FRED & GDELT

Quality Score

6.9 /10

32 fundamental signals · 5 models active

Value Trap Risk

LOW (27/100)

Quick Summary — As of 2026-08-27, U.S. Global Investors, Inc. (GROW) trades at $3.35, versus a $3.17 median fair value across its 5 active models — 5.3% below the current price. QOC: 6.9/10. Value Trap Risk: 27/100 (LOW). 5/13 models active.

Key Facts

Ticker
GROW
Price
$3.35
Quality Score
6.9/10
Value Trap Risk
27/100
Models Active
5/13
Last Updated
Strength: Earnings Power Value suggests +37.8% upside with 67% confidence
Risk: Limited model coverage (5/13) may reduce confidence

Is U.S. Global Investors, Inc. (GROW) Undervalued or Overvalued in 2026?

According to CirclFi’s 5-model valuation engine, U.S. Global Investors, Inc. (GROW) appears fairly valued as of : the median of 5 independent fair value estimates is $3.17, within 5.3% of the current price of $3.35. Estimates range from $0.26 to $4.62. GROW scores 6.9/10 on fundamental quality and 27/100 on value-trap risk.

For context, the median US equity CirclFi rates trades at an implied -23.7% versus its own 13-model consensus, across 3,801 rated companies as of 2026-08-27. GROW’s -5.3% gap is narrower than that market norm, and the Asset Management sector median is -4.7%. Full market index →

This verdict compares price to intrinsic value only — it is not a buy or sell rating. For the decision case (bull vs bear arguments, risk factors, peers), read Should You Buy U.S. Global Investors, Inc. Stock in 2026? →

What Fair Value Does Each Model Give GROW?

5 Intrinsic Value Models vs. Current Price ($3.35)

Core Models (Unlocked)
Model Fair Value Upside
Intrinsic · High Conviction
 $4.62 +37.8%
Ensemble · Low Conviction
 $3.04 -9.2%
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What Is GROW's Fair Value Range?

Spread across 5 independent models · $0.26 to $4.62

CirclFi's 5 active models place U.S. Global Investors, Inc. (GROW) between $0.26 and $4.62 per share, a spread of 137% of the median. The median of that range — $3.17 — is the fair value CirclFi publishes for GROW, against a current price of $3.35.

Low · ML-RIVHigh · EPV
$0.26median $3.17$4.62
Where the range comes from
Most bearish modelML Residual Income$0.26
Most bullish modelEarnings Power Value (EPV)$4.62
Model agreement2 bullish · 3 bearishwide

A band this wide is itself the finding. When independent methods land far apart, they are reading a business whose value depends heavily on which lens you apply — volatile earnings, heavy reinvestment, or an asset base that cash-flow and asset-based methods score differently. That disagreement is information: it says the choice of method matters more than usual for GROW. Treat the median as one reading among several and compare the individual models below before acting.

Every figure above is one model's standalone output on GROW, not a CirclFi price target. How each model works →

What Is U.S. Global Investors, Inc. (GROW) Worth in 2026?

According to the CirclFi Deep Alpha Valuation Engine, the balance of valuation evidence tilts cautious on U.S. Global Investors, Inc. at its current price of $3.35. The median intrinsic value is estimated at $3.17 (-5.3% vs price), with 3 models flagging overvaluation risk. Notably, EPV sees the most upside at +37.8% (fair value: $4.62), while ML-RIV is the most conservative at -92.3% ($0.26). The spread between these extremes — +130.1% — reveals how different analytical frameworks can reach starkly different conclusions.

What Do the Models Say About GROW?

5 of 13 models are currently active for GROW. Of these, 2 models suggest upside while 3 models suggest overvaluation. Taken together, their median fair value for GROW is $3.17 — the figure CirclFi publishes as this stock's fair value. See which stocks rank higher →

How Does GROW Rank in Asset Management?

Among 186 Asset Management stocks, GROW ranks #48 by Quality of Company score. CirclFi's QOC score of 6.9/10 evaluates 32 fundamental signals. A score of 6.9 indicates above-average quality.

See all Most Undervalued Asset Management Stocks →

U.S. Global Investors, Inc. operates in a competitive landscape where fundamental quality metrics are key differentiators for long-term value creation.

Is GROW a Value Trap?

CirclFi's Value Trap algorithm assigns GROW a score of 27/100 (LOW). This indicates low risk. The financial profile does not exhibit typical value trap warning signs. The score cross-references apparent undervaluation against fundamental deterioration signals. Browse lowest value-trap stocks →

Multi-Model Methodology

5 of 13 models are active for U.S. Global Investors, Inc.. Limited activation may indicate insufficient history. Each model applies a fundamentally different valuation philosophy. See the complete methodology →

According to the CirclFi 32-factor quality framework, U.S. Global Investors, Inc.'s fundamental quality profile registers 6.9/10. This respectable score captures the company's profitability depth, growth consistency, balance sheet resilience, and shareholder return track record.

The gap between the most bullish and bearish model spans +130.1% — demonstrating why single-model analysis is dangerous. Browse all stocks with 13-model coverage →

Data Sources & Confidence

Every GROW valuation is built from SEC EDGAR XBRL filings — 700+ standardized financial tags. Macroeconomic context from FRED calibrates discount rates, while GDELT news sentiment feeds into our Sentiment SOTP model. All pipelines run daily. Read the complete data methodology →

Across GROW's 5 active models, average confidence is 31%. Lower confidence may reflect limited history or high volatility.

CirclFi's output is a research starting point, not a buy/sell signal. All data updates daily. Read the full methodology →

This analysis is produced by the CirclFi Valuation Engine using quantitative models applied to SEC EDGAR filings, public market feeds, and FRED macroeconomic indicators. It is not financial advice.

Read the full investment analysis: Should You Buy U.S. Global Investors, Inc. Stock in 2026? →

Bull case, bear case, risk factors & peer comparison — updated daily

Which Similar Asset Management Stocks Should You Also Analyze?

10 related Asset Management stocks with 13-model coverage

GLADGladstone Capital CorporationQOC 6.9LIENChicago Atlantic BDC, Inc.QOC 6.9AMTDAMTD IDEA GroupQOC 6.9OBDCBlue Owl Capital CorporationQOC 6.9OWLBlue Owl Capital Inc.QOC 7.0VINPVinci Compass Investments Ltd.QOC 6.8CFNBCalifornia First Leasing CorporationQOC 5.3FINSAngel Oak Financial Strategies Income Term TrustQOC 4.6HLNEHamilton Lane IncorporatedQOC 9.3AMPAmeriprise Financial, Inc.QOC 9.3

Read investment analysis: GLAD · LIEN · AMTD · OBDC · OWL · VINP · CFNB · FINS · HLNE · AMP

Which Other Stocks Have a Similar Quality Score to GROW?

6 companies across all industries closest to GROW’s Quality of Company score of 6.9/10.

UPSTUpstart Holdings, Inc.QOC 6.9ATECAlphatec Holdings, Inc.QOC 6.9GSATGlobalstar, Inc.QOC 6.9MSBBMercer Bancorp, Inc.QOC 6.9NLNLI Holdings, Inc.QOC 6.9NVDANVIDIA CorporationQOC 10.0

Read investment analysis: UPST · ATEC · GSAT · MSBB · NL · NVDA

Where Does GROW Sit in CirclFi's Asset Management Rankings?

GROW is ranked against every other Asset Management stock CirclFi covers in each of these screens.

See all Asset Management stocks ranked →

What Else Do Investors Ask About U.S. Global Investors, Inc.’s Valuation?

What is U.S. Global Investors, Inc.'s intrinsic value in 2026?

CirclFi puts U.S. Global Investors, Inc. (GROW)'s intrinsic value at $3.17 — the median of 5 independent model estimates as of 2026-08-27, ranging from $0.26 to $4.62. The Quality of Company score is 6.9/10 across 32 fundamental signals. All models use SEC EDGAR filings updated daily. See our methodology page for how each model works.

Is GROW overvalued or undervalued right now?

At $3.35, 2 of 5 active models suggest GROW may be undervalued, while 3 indicate potential overvaluation. The median of all 5 fair value estimates is $3.17, within 5.3% of the current price of $3.35 — a consensus view that GROW is fairly valued. The assessment depends on which methodology best fits U.S. Global Investors, Inc.'s business model in Asset Management.

What does a Quality of Company score of 6.9 mean for GROW?

U.S. Global Investors, Inc.'s QOC of 6.9/10 reflects 32 fundamental signals: profitability margins, revenue growth consistency, balance sheet leverage, free cash flow generation, and capital allocation efficiency. Scores between 5-7 reflect moderate fundamentals with areas for improvement.

How many valuation models does CirclFi run on GROW?

CirclFi analyzes GROW with 13 institutional-grade models daily: Bayesian DCF (Monte Carlo + jump-diffusion), EPV (Greenwald zero-growth), EROIC Spread (McKinsey reinvestment), First Chicago (3-scenario), Markov DDM (regime-switching), ML-RIV (machine learning residual income), Dynamic NAV (asset-based), PWERM (option-theoretic), Regime Cross-Sectional (relative), Sentiment SOTP (hybrid), CUCE Ensemble (meta-model), FTNN Topology (neural network), and RCMH-DCF (conditional regime). Currently 5 of 13 are active for this stock. Read the full methodology →

Which valuation models are most bullish and most bearish on GROW?

Of the 5 models currently active on GROW, Earnings Power Value (EPV) is the most bullish at $4.62 per share, and ML Residual Income is the most bearish at $0.26. CirclFi's published fair value for GROW is the median of that range, $3.17, not either extreme. The gap between the two ends equals 137% of the median — a wide spread, meaning the methods genuinely disagree and the median should carry less weight. Browse stocks by value-trap risk →

Is GROW a value trap in 2026?

U.S. Global Investors, Inc.'s Value Trap score is 27/100 (LOW). This low score indicates the current valuation is not artificially depressed by fundamental deterioration, suggesting genuine opportunity rather than a trap.

Cite this analysis — “According to CirclFi’s 5-model valuation engine, U.S. Global Investors, Inc. (GROW) has a median fair value of $3.17 — within 5.3% of the current price of $3.35 — as of 2026-08-27.” Source: circlfi.com/stock/GROW/ · Methodology
Primary sources for this GROW valuation
  • Financial statements: U.S. Global Investors, Inc. 10-K and 10-Q filings on SEC EDGAR (CIK 0000754811) — 700+ standardized XBRL tags, published by the U.S. Securities and Exchange Commission.
  • Discount-rate inputs: FRED, Federal Reserve Bank of St. Louis — risk-free rates, VIX, yield curve, inflation.
  • News sentiment: The GDELT Project — global media tone, input to the Sentiment SOTP model.
  • Model definitions: CirclFi methodology — the published specification for all 13 models, including the academic sources each one implements.

Market data for GROW as of ; valuations recomputed .

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