Resideo Technologies, Inc. (REZI) Fair Value 2026

REZI · Industrial Distribution ·

By CirclFi Research Team · Data from SEC EDGAR, FRED & GDELT

Quality Score

7.7 /10

32 fundamental signals · 9 models active

Value Trap Risk

SAFE (18/100)

Quick Summary — As of 2026-08-27, Resideo Technologies, Inc. (REZI) trades at $19.98, versus a $33.86 median fair value across its 9 active models — 69.5% above the current price. QOC: 7.7/10. Value Trap Risk: 18/100 (SAFE). 9/13 models active.

Key Facts

Ticker
REZI
Price
$19.98
Quality Score
7.7/10
Value Trap Risk
18/100
Models Active
9/13
Last Updated
Strength: First Chicago suggests +192.0% upside with 62% confidence
Risk: Limited model coverage (9/13) may reduce confidence

Is Resideo Technologies, Inc. (REZI) Undervalued or Overvalued in 2026?

According to CirclFi’s 9-model valuation engine, Resideo Technologies, Inc. (REZI) appears undervalued as of : the median of 9 independent fair value estimates is $33.86, 69.5% above the current price of $19.98. Estimates range from $12.46 to $65.55. REZI scores 7.7/10 on fundamental quality and 18/100 on value-trap risk.

For context, the median US equity CirclFi rates trades at an implied -23.7% versus its own 13-model consensus, across 3,801 rated companies as of 2026-08-27. REZI’s +69.5% gap is wider than that market norm, and the Industrial Distribution sector median is -33.0%. Full market index →

This verdict compares price to intrinsic value only — it is not a buy or sell rating. For the decision case (bull vs bear arguments, risk factors, peers), read Should You Buy Resideo Technologies, Inc. Stock in 2026? →

What Fair Value Does Each Model Give REZI?

9 Intrinsic Value Models vs. Current Price ($19.98)

Core Models (Unlocked)
Model Fair Value Upside
Intrinsic · High Conviction
 $12.46 -37.6%
Ensemble · Medium Conviction
 $32.29 +61.6%
Scenario · High Conviction
 $58.35 +192.0%
Intrinsic · High Conviction
 $16.90 -15.4%
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What Is REZI's Fair Value Range?

Spread across 9 independent models · $12.46 to $65.55

CirclFi's 9 active models place Resideo Technologies, Inc. (REZI) between $12.46 and $65.55 per share, a spread of 157% of the median. The median of that range — $33.86 — is the fair value CirclFi publishes for REZI, against a current price of $19.98.

Low · EPVHigh · FTNN
$12.46median $33.86$65.55
Where the range comes from
Most bearish modelEarnings Power Value (EPV)$12.46
Most bullish modelFTNN Topology$65.55
Model agreement7 bullish · 2 bearishwide

A band this wide is itself the finding. When independent methods land far apart, they are reading a business whose value depends heavily on which lens you apply — volatile earnings, heavy reinvestment, or an asset base that cash-flow and asset-based methods score differently. That disagreement is information: it says the choice of method matters more than usual for REZI. Treat the median as one reading among several and compare the individual models below before acting.

Every figure above is one model's standalone output on REZI, not a CirclFi price target. How each model works →

What Is Resideo Technologies, Inc. (REZI) Worth in 2026?

According to the CirclFi Deep Alpha Valuation Engine, Resideo Technologies, Inc. is potentially undervalued at its current price of $19.98. Based on our 13-model framework, Resideo Technologies, Inc.'s intrinsic value is estimated at a median fair value of $33.86 — representing +69.5% implied upside — with 7 out of 9 active models confirming this thesis. Model dispersion is worth noting: FTNN targets $65.55 (+228.1%), versus EPV at $12.46 (-37.6%). This +265.7% range highlights the importance of multi-model analysis rather than relying on any single methodology. Among models with highest confidence, EPV lean bearish — adding weight to the bearish side of the thesis.

What Do the Models Say About REZI?

9 of 13 models are currently active for REZI. Of these, 7 models suggest upside while 2 models suggest overvaluation. Taken together, their median fair value for REZI is $33.86 — the figure CirclFi publishes as this stock's fair value. See which stocks rank higher →

How Does REZI Rank in Industrial Distribution?

Among 23 Industrial Distribution stocks, REZI ranks #13 by Quality of Company score. CirclFi's QOC score of 7.7/10 evaluates 32 fundamental signals. A score of 7.7 indicates above-average quality.

The Industrial Distribution sector introduces analytical considerations specific to industrial enterprise businesses. For Resideo Technologies, Inc., metrics like working capital efficiency provide important context that general-purpose valuation models may underweight.

Is REZI a Value Trap?

CirclFi's Value Trap algorithm assigns REZI a score of 18/100 (SAFE). This indicates minimal risk. Fundamentals are healthy. The score cross-references apparent undervaluation against fundamental deterioration signals. Browse lowest value-trap stocks →

Multi-Model Methodology

9 of 13 models are active for Resideo Technologies, Inc.. Moderate coverage provides meaningful perspective. Each model applies a fundamentally different valuation philosophy. See the complete methodology →

According to the CirclFi Deep Alpha Valuation Engine, Resideo Technologies, Inc. scores 7.7 out of 10 on our 32-signal quality assessment, a strong rating that demonstrates strong fundamentals across the majority of our quality signals. The QOC score synthesizes profitability margins, revenue growth reliability, debt management, and capital allocation into a single metric designed to separate durable businesses from statistically cheap ones.

The gap between the most bullish and bearish model spans +265.7% — demonstrating why single-model analysis is dangerous. Browse all stocks with 13-model coverage →

Data Sources & Confidence

Every REZI valuation is built from SEC EDGAR XBRL filings — 700+ standardized financial tags. Macroeconomic context from FRED calibrates discount rates, while GDELT news sentiment feeds into our Sentiment SOTP model. All pipelines run daily. Read the complete data methodology →

Across REZI's 9 active models, average confidence is 49%. Lower confidence may reflect limited history or high volatility.

CirclFi's output is a research starting point, not a buy/sell signal. All data updates daily. Read the full methodology →

This analysis is produced by the CirclFi Valuation Engine using quantitative models applied to SEC EDGAR filings, public market feeds, and FRED macroeconomic indicators. It is not financial advice.

Read the full investment analysis: Should You Buy Resideo Technologies, Inc. Stock in 2026? →

Bull case, bear case, risk factors & peer comparison — updated daily

Which Similar Industrial Distribution Stocks Should You Also Analyze?

10 related Industrial Distribution stocks with 13-model coverage

MSMMSC Industrial Direct Co., Inc.QOC 7.9TLIHTen-League International Holdings LimitedQOC 7.5SITESiteOne Landscape Supply, Inc.QOC 8.0EVIEVI Industries, Inc.QOC 7.5POOLPool CorporationQOC 8.1BXCBlueLinx Holdings Inc.QOC 7.4DNOWDNOW Inc.QOC 7.1GWWW.W. Grainger, Inc.QOC 9.3WCCWESCO International, Inc.QOC 8.3AITApplied Industrial Technologies, Inc.QOC 9.1

Read investment analysis: MSM · TLIH · SITE · EVI · POOL · BXC · DNOW · GWW · WCC · AIT

Which Other Stocks Have a Similar Quality Score to REZI?

7 companies across all industries closest to REZI’s Quality of Company score of 7.7/10.

BHBBar Harbor BanksharesQOC 7.7IXORIX CorporationQOC 7.7VPGVishay Precision Group, Inc.QOC 7.7VBNKVersaBankQOC 7.7WAYWaystar Holding Corp.QOC 7.7DSXDiana Shipping Inc.QOC 7.7NVDANVIDIA CorporationQOC 10.0

Read investment analysis: BHB · IX · VPG · VBNK · WAY · DSX · NVDA

What Else Do Investors Ask About Resideo Technologies, Inc.’s Valuation?

What is Resideo Technologies, Inc.'s intrinsic value in 2026?

CirclFi puts Resideo Technologies, Inc. (REZI)'s intrinsic value at $33.86 — the median of 9 independent model estimates as of 2026-08-27, ranging from $12.46 to $65.55. The Quality of Company score is 7.7/10 across 32 fundamental signals. All models use SEC EDGAR filings updated daily. See our methodology page for how each model works.

Is REZI overvalued or undervalued right now?

At $19.98, 7 of 9 active models suggest REZI may be undervalued, while 2 indicate potential overvaluation. The median of all 9 fair value estimates is $33.86, 69.5% above the current price of $19.98 — a consensus view that REZI is undervalued. The assessment depends on which methodology best fits Resideo Technologies, Inc.'s business model in Industrial Distribution.

What does a Quality of Company score of 7.7 mean for REZI?

Resideo Technologies, Inc.'s QOC of 7.7/10 reflects 32 fundamental signals: profitability margins, revenue growth consistency, balance sheet leverage, free cash flow generation, and capital allocation efficiency. Scores above 7 indicate strong fundamentals and disciplined management.

How many valuation models does CirclFi run on REZI?

CirclFi analyzes REZI with 13 institutional-grade models daily: Bayesian DCF (Monte Carlo + jump-diffusion), EPV (Greenwald zero-growth), EROIC Spread (McKinsey reinvestment), First Chicago (3-scenario), Markov DDM (regime-switching), ML-RIV (machine learning residual income), Dynamic NAV (asset-based), PWERM (option-theoretic), Regime Cross-Sectional (relative), Sentiment SOTP (hybrid), CUCE Ensemble (meta-model), FTNN Topology (neural network), and RCMH-DCF (conditional regime). Currently 9 of 13 are active for this stock. Read the full methodology →

Which valuation models are most bullish and most bearish on REZI?

Of the 9 models currently active on REZI, FTNN Topology is the most bullish at $65.55 per share, and Earnings Power Value (EPV) is the most bearish at $12.46. CirclFi's published fair value for REZI is the median of that range, $33.86, not either extreme. The gap between the two ends equals 157% of the median — a wide spread, meaning the methods genuinely disagree and the median should carry less weight. Browse stocks by value-trap risk →

Is REZI a value trap in 2026?

Resideo Technologies, Inc.'s Value Trap score is 18/100 (SAFE). This low score indicates the current valuation is not artificially depressed by fundamental deterioration, suggesting genuine opportunity rather than a trap.

Cite this analysis — “According to CirclFi’s 9-model valuation engine, Resideo Technologies, Inc. (REZI) has a median fair value of $33.86 — 69.5% above the current price of $19.98 — as of 2026-08-27.” Source: circlfi.com/stock/REZI/ · Methodology
Primary sources for this REZI valuation
  • Financial statements: Resideo Technologies, Inc. 10-K and 10-Q filings on SEC EDGAR (CIK 0001740332) — 700+ standardized XBRL tags, published by the U.S. Securities and Exchange Commission.
  • Discount-rate inputs: FRED, Federal Reserve Bank of St. Louis — risk-free rates, VIX, yield curve, inflation.
  • News sentiment: The GDELT Project — global media tone, input to the Sentiment SOTP model.
  • Model definitions: CirclFi methodology — the published specification for all 13 models, including the academic sources each one implements.

Market data for REZI as of ; valuations recomputed .

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