BlackRock, Inc. (BLK) Fair Value 2026

BLK · Asset Management ·

By CirclFi Research Team · Data from SEC EDGAR, FRED & GDELT

Quality Score

7.9 /10

32 fundamental signals · 6 models active

Value Trap Risk

SAFE (0/100)

Quick Summary — As of 2026-08-27, BlackRock, Inc. (BLK) trades at $1167.57, versus a $313.90 median fair value across its 6 active models — 73.1% below the current price. QOC: 7.9/10. Value Trap Risk: 0/100 (SAFE). 6/13 models active.

Key Facts

Ticker
BLK
Price
$1167.57
Quality Score
7.9/10
Value Trap Risk
0/100
Models Active
6/13
Last Updated
Strength: 6 independent models provide multi-angle coverage
Risk: Majority of models suggest overvaluation

Is BlackRock, Inc. (BLK) Undervalued or Overvalued in 2026?

According to CirclFi’s 6-model valuation engine, BlackRock, Inc. (BLK) appears overvalued as of : the median of 6 independent fair value estimates is $313.90, 73.1% below the current price of $1167.57. Estimates range from $247.98 to $1035.90. BLK scores 7.9/10 on fundamental quality and 0/100 on value-trap risk.

For context, the median US equity CirclFi rates trades at an implied -23.7% versus its own 13-model consensus, across 3,801 rated companies as of 2026-08-27. BLK’s -73.1% gap is wider than that market norm, and the Asset Management sector median is -4.7%. Full market index →

This verdict compares price to intrinsic value only — it is not a buy or sell rating. For the decision case (bull vs bear arguments, risk factors, peers), read Should You Buy BlackRock, Inc. Stock in 2026? →

What Fair Value Does Each Model Give BLK?

6 Intrinsic Value Models vs. Current Price ($1167.57)

Core Models (Unlocked)
Model Fair Value Upside
Intrinsic · High Conviction
 $279.99 -76.0%
Ensemble · Low Conviction
 $323.67 -72.3%
Intrinsic · High Conviction
 $247.98 -78.8%
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What Is BLK's Fair Value Range?

Spread across 6 independent models · $247.98 to $1035.90

CirclFi's 6 active models place BlackRock, Inc. (BLK) between $247.98 and $1035.90 per share, a spread of 251% of the median. The median of that range — $313.90 — is the fair value CirclFi publishes for BLK, against a current price of $1167.57.

Low · Markov DDMHigh · Regime Cross
$247.98median $313.90$1035.90
Where the range comes from
Most bearish modelMarkov DDM$247.98
Most bullish modelRegime Cross-Sectional$1035.90
Model agreement0 bullish · 6 bearishwide

A band this wide is itself the finding. When independent methods land far apart, they are reading a business whose value depends heavily on which lens you apply — volatile earnings, heavy reinvestment, or an asset base that cash-flow and asset-based methods score differently. That disagreement is information: it says the choice of method matters more than usual for BLK. Treat the median as one reading among several and compare the individual models below before acting.

Every figure above is one model's standalone output on BLK, not a CirclFi price target. How each model works →

What Is BlackRock, Inc. (BLK) Worth in 2026?

According to the CirclFi Deep Alpha Valuation Engine, BlackRock, Inc.'s intrinsic value is estimated at $313.90, suggesting the stock is overvalued at its current price of $1,167.57. With 6 out of 6 models flagging downside (-73.1% vs price), the market may be pricing in unsustainable growth. Notably, Regime Cross sees the most upside at -11.3% (fair value: $1,035.90), while Markov DDM is the most conservative at -78.8% ($247.98). The spread between these extremes — +67.5% — reveals how different analytical frameworks can reach starkly different conclusions.

What Do the Models Say About BLK?

6 of 13 models are currently active for BLK. All 6 active models suggest the stock trades above fair value. Taken together, their median fair value for BLK is $313.90 — the figure CirclFi publishes as this stock's fair value. See which stocks rank higher →

How Does BLK Rank in Asset Management?

Among 186 Asset Management stocks, BLK ranks #20 by Quality of Company score. CirclFi's QOC score of 7.9/10 evaluates 32 fundamental signals. A score of 7.9 indicates above-average quality.

See all Most Undervalued Asset Management Stocks →

BlackRock, Inc. operates in a competitive landscape where fundamental quality metrics are key differentiators for long-term value creation.

Is BLK a Value Trap?

CirclFi's Value Trap algorithm assigns BLK a score of 0/100 (SAFE). This indicates minimal risk. Fundamentals are healthy. The score cross-references apparent undervaluation against fundamental deterioration signals. Browse lowest value-trap stocks →

Multi-Model Methodology

6 of 13 models are active for BlackRock, Inc.. Moderate coverage provides meaningful perspective. Each model applies a fundamentally different valuation philosophy. See the complete methodology →

According to the CirclFi Quality of Company (QOC) framework, which evaluates 32 signals including margin stability, revenue growth trajectory, leverage, and free cash flow generation, BlackRock, Inc. is rated at 7.9/10. This strong-tier score demonstrates strong fundamentals across the majority of our quality signals.

The gap between the most bullish and bearish model spans +67.5% — demonstrating why single-model analysis is dangerous. Browse all stocks with 13-model coverage →

Data Sources & Confidence

Every BLK valuation is built from SEC EDGAR XBRL filings — 700+ standardized financial tags. Macroeconomic context from FRED calibrates discount rates, while GDELT news sentiment feeds into our Sentiment SOTP model. All pipelines run daily. Read the complete data methodology →

Across BLK's 6 active models, average confidence is 39%. Lower confidence may reflect limited history or high volatility.

CirclFi's output is a research starting point, not a buy/sell signal. All data updates daily. Read the full methodology →

This analysis is produced by the CirclFi Valuation Engine using quantitative models applied to SEC EDGAR filings, public market feeds, and FRED macroeconomic indicators. It is not financial advice.

Read the full investment analysis: Should You Buy BlackRock, Inc. Stock in 2026? →

Bull case, bear case, risk factors & peer comparison — updated daily

Which Similar Asset Management Stocks Should You Also Analyze?

11 related Asset Management stocks with 13-model coverage

VCTRVictory Capital Holdings, Inc.QOC 8.0CGThe Carlyle Group Inc.QOC 7.8NOAHNoah Holdings LimitedQOC 8.0PAXPatria Investments LimitedQOC 7.8ARESAres Management CorporationQOC 8.1HASIHA Sustainable Infrastructure Capital, Inc.QOC 7.7GBDCGolub Capital BDC, Inc.QOC 6.3BGYBlackRock Enhanced International Dividend TrustQOC 5.0AVATAvalanche Treasury CorporationQOC 3.6HLNEHamilton Lane IncorporatedQOC 9.3AMPAmeriprise Financial, Inc.QOC 9.3

Read investment analysis: VCTR · CG · NOAH · PAX · ARES · HASI · GBDC · BGY · AVAT · HLNE · AMP

Which Other Stocks Have a Similar Quality Score to BLK?

7 companies across all industries closest to BLK’s Quality of Company score of 7.9/10.

JUVFJuniata Valley Financial Corp.QOC 7.9LGNDLigand Pharmaceuticals IncorporatedQOC 7.9FNFFidelity National Financial, Inc.QOC 7.9DIODDiodes IncorporatedQOC 7.9GOLDGold.com, Inc.QOC 7.9SHOEShoe Station Group Inc.QOC 7.9NVDANVIDIA CorporationQOC 10.0

Read investment analysis: JUVF · LGND · FNF · DIOD · GOLD · SHOE · NVDA

Where Does BLK Sit in CirclFi's Asset Management Rankings?

BLK is ranked against every other Asset Management stock CirclFi covers in each of these screens.

See all Asset Management stocks ranked →

What Else Do Investors Ask About BlackRock, Inc.’s Valuation?

What is BlackRock, Inc.'s intrinsic value in 2026?

CirclFi puts BlackRock, Inc. (BLK)'s intrinsic value at $313.90 — the median of 6 independent model estimates as of 2026-08-27, ranging from $247.98 to $1035.90. The Quality of Company score is 7.9/10 across 32 fundamental signals. All models use SEC EDGAR filings updated daily. See our methodology page for how each model works.

Is BLK overvalued or undervalued right now?

At $1167.57, 0 of 6 active models suggest BLK may be undervalued, while 6 indicate potential overvaluation. The median of all 6 fair value estimates is $313.90, 73.1% below the current price of $1167.57 — a consensus view that BLK is overvalued. The assessment depends on which methodology best fits BlackRock, Inc.'s business model in Asset Management.

What does a Quality of Company score of 7.9 mean for BLK?

BlackRock, Inc.'s QOC of 7.9/10 reflects 32 fundamental signals: profitability margins, revenue growth consistency, balance sheet leverage, free cash flow generation, and capital allocation efficiency. Scores above 7 indicate strong fundamentals and disciplined management.

How many valuation models does CirclFi run on BLK?

CirclFi analyzes BLK with 13 institutional-grade models daily: Bayesian DCF (Monte Carlo + jump-diffusion), EPV (Greenwald zero-growth), EROIC Spread (McKinsey reinvestment), First Chicago (3-scenario), Markov DDM (regime-switching), ML-RIV (machine learning residual income), Dynamic NAV (asset-based), PWERM (option-theoretic), Regime Cross-Sectional (relative), Sentiment SOTP (hybrid), CUCE Ensemble (meta-model), FTNN Topology (neural network), and RCMH-DCF (conditional regime). Currently 6 of 13 are active for this stock. Read the full methodology →

Which valuation models are most bullish and most bearish on BLK?

Of the 6 models currently active on BLK, Regime Cross-Sectional is the most bullish at $1035.90 per share, and Markov DDM is the most bearish at $247.98. CirclFi's published fair value for BLK is the median of that range, $313.90, not either extreme. The gap between the two ends equals 251% of the median — a wide spread, meaning the methods genuinely disagree and the median should carry less weight. Browse stocks by value-trap risk →

Is BLK a value trap in 2026?

BlackRock, Inc.'s Value Trap score is 0/100 (SAFE). This low score indicates the current valuation is not artificially depressed by fundamental deterioration, suggesting genuine opportunity rather than a trap.

Cite this analysis — “According to CirclFi’s 6-model valuation engine, BlackRock, Inc. (BLK) has a median fair value of $313.90 — 73.1% below the current price of $1167.57 — as of 2026-08-27.” Source: circlfi.com/stock/BLK/ · Methodology
Primary sources for this BLK valuation
  • Financial statements: BlackRock, Inc. 10-K and 10-Q filings on SEC EDGAR (CIK 0002012383) — 700+ standardized XBRL tags, published by the U.S. Securities and Exchange Commission.
  • Discount-rate inputs: FRED, Federal Reserve Bank of St. Louis — risk-free rates, VIX, yield curve, inflation.
  • News sentiment: The GDELT Project — global media tone, input to the Sentiment SOTP model.
  • Model definitions: CirclFi methodology — the published specification for all 13 models, including the academic sources each one implements.

Market data for BLK as of ; valuations recomputed .

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