Binah Capital Group, Inc. (BCG) Fair Value 2026

BCG · Asset Management ·

By CirclFi Research Team · Data from SEC EDGAR, FRED & GDELT

Quality Score

7.7 /10

32 fundamental signals · 5 models active

Value Trap Risk

SAFE (17/100)

Quick Summary — As of 2026-08-27, Binah Capital Group, Inc. (BCG) trades at $1.45, versus a $2.39 median fair value across its 5 active models — 65.0% above the current price. QOC: 7.7/10. Value Trap Risk: 17/100 (SAFE). 5/13 models active.

Key Facts

Ticker
BCG
Price
$1.45
Quality Score
7.7/10
Value Trap Risk
17/100
Models Active
5/13
Last Updated
Strength: CUCE Ensemble suggests +70.0% upside with 20% confidence
Risk: Limited model coverage (5/13) may reduce confidence

Is Binah Capital Group, Inc. (BCG) Undervalued or Overvalued in 2026?

According to CirclFi’s 5-model valuation engine, Binah Capital Group, Inc. (BCG) appears undervalued as of : the median of 5 independent fair value estimates is $2.39, 65.0% above the current price of $1.45. Estimates range from $1.54 to $3.77. BCG scores 7.7/10 on fundamental quality and 17/100 on value-trap risk.

For context, the median US equity CirclFi rates trades at an implied -23.7% versus its own 13-model consensus, across 3,801 rated companies as of 2026-08-27. BCG’s +65.0% gap is wider than that market norm, and the Asset Management sector median is -4.7%. Full market index →

This verdict compares price to intrinsic value only — it is not a buy or sell rating. For the decision case (bull vs bear arguments, risk factors, peers), read Should You Buy Binah Capital Group, Inc. Stock in 2026? →

What Fair Value Does Each Model Give BCG?

5 Intrinsic Value Models vs. Current Price ($1.45)

Core Models (Unlocked)
Model Fair Value Upside
Ensemble · Low Conviction
 $2.47 +70.0%
Intrinsic · High Conviction
 $2.13 +46.6%
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What Is BCG's Fair Value Range?

Spread across 5 independent models · $1.54 to $3.77

CirclFi's 5 active models place Binah Capital Group, Inc. (BCG) between $1.54 and $3.77 per share, a spread of 93% of the median. The median of that range — $2.39 — is the fair value CirclFi publishes for BCG, against a current price of $1.45.

Low · Regime CrossHigh · ML-RIV
$1.54median $2.39$3.77
Where the range comes from
Most bearish modelRegime Cross-Sectional$1.54
Most bullish modelML Residual Income$3.77
Model agreement5 bullish · 0 bearishmoderate

A band of this width is typical. The methods agree on direction but weight growth, reinvestment and risk differently, so treat the median as a centre of gravity rather than a precise target.

Every figure above is one model's standalone output on BCG, not a CirclFi price target. How each model works →

What Is Binah Capital Group, Inc. (BCG) Worth in 2026?

According to the CirclFi Deep Alpha Valuation Engine, the weight of evidence tilts decidedly bullish for Binah Capital Group, Inc.. Trading at $1.45 against an estimated intrinsic value of $2.39, 5 of 5 active models flag meaningful upside of +65.0% at the median. The most optimistic model, ML-RIV, places fair value at $3.77 (+160.1%), while Regime Cross — the most conservative — estimates $1.54 (+6.3%). This +153.9% gap reflects genuine analytical uncertainty about Binah Capital Group, Inc.'s intrinsic worth.

What Do the Models Say About BCG?

5 of 13 models are currently active for BCG. All 5 active models suggest the stock trades below fair value. Taken together, their median fair value for BCG is $2.39 — the figure CirclFi publishes as this stock's fair value. See which stocks rank higher →

How Does BCG Rank in Asset Management?

Among 186 Asset Management stocks, BCG ranks #25 by Quality of Company score. CirclFi's QOC score of 7.7/10 evaluates 32 fundamental signals. A score of 7.7 indicates above-average quality.

See all Most Undervalued Asset Management Stocks →

Binah Capital Group, Inc. operates in a competitive landscape where fundamental quality metrics are key differentiators for long-term value creation.

Is BCG a Value Trap?

CirclFi's Value Trap algorithm assigns BCG a score of 17/100 (SAFE). This indicates minimal risk. Fundamentals are healthy. The score cross-references apparent undervaluation against fundamental deterioration signals. Browse lowest value-trap stocks →

Multi-Model Methodology

5 of 13 models are active for Binah Capital Group, Inc.. Limited activation may indicate insufficient history. Each model applies a fundamentally different valuation philosophy. See the complete methodology →

According to the CirclFi Deep Alpha Valuation Engine, Binah Capital Group, Inc. scores 7.7 out of 10 on our 32-signal quality assessment, a strong rating that demonstrates strong fundamentals across the majority of our quality signals. The QOC score synthesizes profitability margins, revenue growth reliability, debt management, and capital allocation into a single metric designed to separate durable businesses from statistically cheap ones.

The gap between the most bullish and bearish model spans +153.9% — demonstrating why single-model analysis is dangerous. Browse all stocks with 13-model coverage →

Data Sources & Confidence

Every BCG valuation is built from SEC EDGAR XBRL filings — 700+ standardized financial tags. Macroeconomic context from FRED calibrates discount rates, while GDELT news sentiment feeds into our Sentiment SOTP model. All pipelines run daily. Read the complete data methodology →

Across BCG's 5 active models, average confidence is 36%. Lower confidence may reflect limited history or high volatility.

CirclFi's output is a research starting point, not a buy/sell signal. All data updates daily. Read the full methodology →

This analysis is produced by the CirclFi Valuation Engine using quantitative models applied to SEC EDGAR filings, public market feeds, and FRED macroeconomic indicators. It is not financial advice.

Read the full investment analysis: Should You Buy Binah Capital Group, Inc. Stock in 2026? →

Bull case, bear case, risk factors & peer comparison — updated daily

Which Similar Asset Management Stocks Should You Also Analyze?

11 related Asset Management stocks with 13-model coverage

TPGTPG Inc.QOC 7.7VRTSVirtus Investment Partners, Inc.QOC 7.7HASIHA Sustainable Infrastructure Capital, Inc.QOC 7.7NTRSNorthern Trust CorporationQOC 7.6PAXPatria Investments LimitedQOC 7.8STTState Street CorporationQOC 7.6NMFCNew Mountain Finance CorporationQOC 6.2PPTFranklin Premier Income TrustQOC 4.9SPMASound Point Meridian Capital, Inc.QOC 3.4HLNEHamilton Lane IncorporatedQOC 9.3AMPAmeriprise Financial, Inc.QOC 9.3

Read investment analysis: TPG · VRTS · HASI · NTRS · PAX · STT · NMFC · PPT · SPMA · HLNE · AMP

Which Other Stocks Have a Similar Quality Score to BCG?

7 companies across all industries closest to BCG’s Quality of Company score of 7.7/10.

PDSPrecision Drilling CorporationQOC 7.7NGGNational Grid plcQOC 7.7RMAXRE/MAX Holdings, Inc.QOC 7.7CRGYCrescent Energy CompanyQOC 7.7OPYOppenheimer Holdings Inc.QOC 7.7TRPTC Energy CorporationQOC 7.7NVDANVIDIA CorporationQOC 10.0

Read investment analysis: PDS · NGG · RMAX · CRGY · OPY · TRP · NVDA

Where Does BCG Sit in CirclFi's Asset Management Rankings?

BCG is ranked against every other Asset Management stock CirclFi covers in each of these screens.

See all Asset Management stocks ranked →

What Else Do Investors Ask About Binah Capital Group, Inc.’s Valuation?

What is Binah Capital Group, Inc.'s intrinsic value in 2026?

CirclFi puts Binah Capital Group, Inc. (BCG)'s intrinsic value at $2.39 — the median of 5 independent model estimates as of 2026-08-27, ranging from $1.54 to $3.77. The Quality of Company score is 7.7/10 across 32 fundamental signals. All models use SEC EDGAR filings updated daily. See our methodology page for how each model works.

Is BCG overvalued or undervalued right now?

At $1.45, 5 of 5 active models suggest BCG may be undervalued, while 0 indicate potential overvaluation. The median of all 5 fair value estimates is $2.39, 65.0% above the current price of $1.45 — a consensus view that BCG is undervalued. The assessment depends on which methodology best fits Binah Capital Group, Inc.'s business model in Asset Management.

What does a Quality of Company score of 7.7 mean for BCG?

Binah Capital Group, Inc.'s QOC of 7.7/10 reflects 32 fundamental signals: profitability margins, revenue growth consistency, balance sheet leverage, free cash flow generation, and capital allocation efficiency. Scores above 7 indicate strong fundamentals and disciplined management.

How many valuation models does CirclFi run on BCG?

CirclFi analyzes BCG with 13 institutional-grade models daily: Bayesian DCF (Monte Carlo + jump-diffusion), EPV (Greenwald zero-growth), EROIC Spread (McKinsey reinvestment), First Chicago (3-scenario), Markov DDM (regime-switching), ML-RIV (machine learning residual income), Dynamic NAV (asset-based), PWERM (option-theoretic), Regime Cross-Sectional (relative), Sentiment SOTP (hybrid), CUCE Ensemble (meta-model), FTNN Topology (neural network), and RCMH-DCF (conditional regime). Currently 5 of 13 are active for this stock. Read the full methodology →

Which valuation models are most bullish and most bearish on BCG?

Of the 5 models currently active on BCG, ML Residual Income is the most bullish at $3.77 per share, and Regime Cross-Sectional is the most bearish at $1.54. CirclFi's published fair value for BCG is the median of that range, $2.39, not either extreme. The gap between the two ends equals 93% of the median — a normal spread for a company of this profile. Browse stocks by value-trap risk →

Is BCG a value trap in 2026?

Binah Capital Group, Inc.'s Value Trap score is 17/100 (SAFE). This low score indicates the current valuation is not artificially depressed by fundamental deterioration, suggesting genuine opportunity rather than a trap.

Cite this analysis — “According to CirclFi’s 5-model valuation engine, Binah Capital Group, Inc. (BCG) has a median fair value of $2.39 — 65.0% above the current price of $1.45 — as of 2026-08-27.” Source: circlfi.com/stock/BCG/ · Methodology
Primary sources for this BCG valuation
  • Financial statements: Binah Capital Group, Inc. 10-K and 10-Q filings on SEC EDGAR (CIK 0001953984) — 700+ standardized XBRL tags, published by the U.S. Securities and Exchange Commission.
  • Discount-rate inputs: FRED, Federal Reserve Bank of St. Louis — risk-free rates, VIX, yield curve, inflation.
  • News sentiment: The GDELT Project — global media tone, input to the Sentiment SOTP model.
  • Model definitions: CirclFi methodology — the published specification for all 13 models, including the academic sources each one implements.

Market data for BCG as of ; valuations recomputed .

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