StandardAero, Inc. (SARO) Fair Value 2026

SARO · Aerospace & Defense ·

By CirclFi Research Team · Data from SEC EDGAR, FRED & GDELT

Quality Score

7.7 /10

32 fundamental signals · 10 models active

Value Trap Risk

SAFE (17/100)

Quick Summary — As of 2026-08-27, StandardAero, Inc. (SARO) trades at $25.08, versus a $16.73 median fair value across its 10 active models — 33.3% below the current price. QOC: 7.7/10. Value Trap Risk: 17/100 (SAFE). 10/13 models active.

Key Facts

Ticker
SARO
Price
$25.08
Quality Score
7.7/10
Value Trap Risk
17/100
Models Active
10/13
Last Updated
Strength: First Chicago suggests +227.2% upside with 61% confidence
Risk: Majority of models suggest overvaluation

Is StandardAero, Inc. (SARO) Undervalued or Overvalued in 2026?

According to CirclFi’s 10-model valuation engine, StandardAero, Inc. (SARO) appears overvalued as of : the median of 10 independent fair value estimates is $16.73, 33.3% below the current price of $25.08. Estimates range from $4.23 to $82.07. SARO scores 7.7/10 on fundamental quality and 17/100 on value-trap risk.

For context, the median US equity CirclFi rates trades at an implied -23.7% versus its own 13-model consensus, across 3,801 rated companies as of 2026-08-27. SARO’s -33.3% gap is wider than that market norm, and the Aerospace & Defense sector median is -23.9%. Full market index →

This verdict compares price to intrinsic value only — it is not a buy or sell rating. For the decision case (bull vs bear arguments, risk factors, peers), read Should You Buy StandardAero, Inc. Stock in 2026? →

What Fair Value Does Each Model Give SARO?

10 Intrinsic Value Models vs. Current Price ($25.08)

Core Models (Unlocked)
Model Fair Value Upside
Intrinsic · High Conviction
 $4.23 -83.1%
Ensemble · Low Conviction
 $18.88 -24.7%
Scenario · High Conviction
 $82.07 +227.2%
Intrinsic · High Conviction
 $7.04 -71.9%
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What Is SARO's Fair Value Range?

Spread across 10 independent models · $4.23 to $82.07

CirclFi's 10 active models place StandardAero, Inc. (SARO) between $4.23 and $82.07 per share, a spread of 465% of the median. The median of that range — $16.73 — is the fair value CirclFi publishes for SARO, against a current price of $25.08.

Low · EPVHigh · First Chicago
$4.23median $16.73$82.07
Where the range comes from
Most bearish modelEarnings Power Value (EPV)$4.23
Most bullish modelFirst Chicago$82.07
Model agreement4 bullish · 6 bearishwide

A band this wide is itself the finding. When independent methods land far apart, they are reading a business whose value depends heavily on which lens you apply — volatile earnings, heavy reinvestment, or an asset base that cash-flow and asset-based methods score differently. That disagreement is information: it says the choice of method matters more than usual for SARO. Treat the median as one reading among several and compare the individual models below before acting.

Every figure above is one model's standalone output on SARO, not a CirclFi price target. How each model works →

What Is StandardAero, Inc. (SARO) Worth in 2026?

According to the CirclFi Deep Alpha Valuation Engine, the balance of valuation evidence tilts cautious on StandardAero, Inc. at its current price of $25.08. The median intrinsic value is estimated at $16.73 (-33.3% vs price), with 6 models flagging overvaluation risk. The most optimistic model, First Chicago, places fair value at $82.07 (+227.2%), while EPV — the most conservative — estimates $4.23 (-83.1%). This +310.4% gap reflects genuine analytical uncertainty about StandardAero, Inc.'s intrinsic worth. Among models with highest confidence, EPV lean bearish — adding weight to the bearish side of the thesis.

What Do the Models Say About SARO?

10 of 13 models are currently active for SARO. Of these, 4 models suggest upside while 6 models suggest overvaluation. Taken together, their median fair value for SARO is $16.73 — the figure CirclFi publishes as this stock's fair value. See which stocks rank higher →

How Does SARO Rank in Aerospace & Defense?

Among 92 Aerospace & Defense stocks, SARO ranks #31 by Quality of Company score. CirclFi's QOC score of 7.7/10 evaluates 32 fundamental signals. A score of 7.7 indicates above-average quality.

See all Most Undervalued Aerospace & Defense Stocks →

As a aerospace and defense sector, StandardAero, Inc. operates in a sector where free cash flow conversion is a critical driver of valuation. Investors evaluating SARO should weigh these sector-specific dynamics alongside our model-derived fair values.

Is SARO a Value Trap?

CirclFi's Value Trap algorithm assigns SARO a score of 17/100 (SAFE). This indicates minimal risk. Fundamentals are healthy. The score cross-references apparent undervaluation against fundamental deterioration signals. Browse lowest value-trap stocks →

Multi-Model Methodology

10 of 13 models are active for StandardAero, Inc.. Broad coverage provides high confidence. Each model applies a fundamentally different valuation philosophy. See the complete methodology →

According to the CirclFi 32-factor quality framework, StandardAero, Inc.'s fundamental quality profile registers 7.7/10. This robust score captures the company's profitability depth, growth consistency, balance sheet resilience, and shareholder return track record.

The gap between the most bullish and bearish model spans +310.4% — demonstrating why single-model analysis is dangerous. Browse all stocks with 13-model coverage →

Data Sources & Confidence

Every SARO valuation is built from SEC EDGAR XBRL filings — 700+ standardized financial tags. Macroeconomic context from FRED calibrates discount rates, while GDELT news sentiment feeds into our Sentiment SOTP model. All pipelines run daily. Read the complete data methodology →

Across SARO's 10 active models, average confidence is 49%. Lower confidence may reflect limited history or high volatility.

CirclFi's output is a research starting point, not a buy/sell signal. All data updates daily. Read the full methodology →

This analysis is produced by the CirclFi Valuation Engine using quantitative models applied to SEC EDGAR filings, public market feeds, and FRED macroeconomic indicators. It is not financial advice.

Read the full investment analysis: Should You Buy StandardAero, Inc. Stock in 2026? →

Bull case, bear case, risk factors & peer comparison — updated daily

Which Similar Aerospace & Defense Stocks Should You Also Analyze?

11 related Aerospace & Defense stocks with 13-model coverage

HIIHuntington Ingalls Industries, Inc.QOC 7.7LOARLoar Holdings Inc.QOC 7.6FTAIFTAI Aviation Ltd.QOC 7.8KTOSKratos Defense & Security Solutions, Inc.QOC 7.4EMBJEmbraer S.A.QOC 7.8NPKNational Presto Industries, Inc.QOC 7.4BETABETA Technologies, Inc.QOC 5.9CTGLCitrine Global CorpQOC 4.1TDGTransDigm Group IncorporatedQOC 8.7BUKSButler National CorporationQOC 9.4HWMHowmet Aerospace Inc.QOC 9.3

Read investment analysis: HII · LOAR · FTAI · KTOS · EMBJ · NPK · BETA · CTGL · TDG · BUKS · HWM

Which Other Stocks Have a Similar Quality Score to SARO?

7 companies across all industries closest to SARO’s Quality of Company score of 7.7/10.

BTMDbiote Corp.QOC 7.7AESThe AES CorporationQOC 7.7MGMistras Group, Inc.QOC 7.7HLIOHelios Technologies, Inc.QOC 7.7HASIHA Sustainable Infrastructure Capital, Inc.QOC 7.7BWLPBW LPG LimitedQOC 7.7NVDANVIDIA CorporationQOC 10.0

Read investment analysis: BTMD · AES · MG · HLIO · HASI · BWLP · NVDA

Where Does SARO Sit in CirclFi's Aerospace & Defense Rankings?

SARO is ranked against every other Aerospace & Defense stock CirclFi covers in each of these screens.

See all Aerospace & Defense stocks ranked →

What Else Do Investors Ask About StandardAero, Inc.’s Valuation?

What is StandardAero, Inc.'s intrinsic value in 2026?

CirclFi puts StandardAero, Inc. (SARO)'s intrinsic value at $16.73 — the median of 10 independent model estimates as of 2026-08-27, ranging from $4.23 to $82.07. The Quality of Company score is 7.7/10 across 32 fundamental signals. All models use SEC EDGAR filings updated daily. See our methodology page for how each model works.

Is SARO overvalued or undervalued right now?

At $25.08, 4 of 10 active models suggest SARO may be undervalued, while 6 indicate potential overvaluation. The median of all 10 fair value estimates is $16.73, 33.3% below the current price of $25.08 — a consensus view that SARO is overvalued. The assessment depends on which methodology best fits StandardAero, Inc.'s business model in Aerospace & Defense.

What does a Quality of Company score of 7.7 mean for SARO?

StandardAero, Inc.'s QOC of 7.7/10 reflects 32 fundamental signals: profitability margins, revenue growth consistency, balance sheet leverage, free cash flow generation, and capital allocation efficiency. Scores above 7 indicate strong fundamentals and disciplined management.

How many valuation models does CirclFi run on SARO?

CirclFi analyzes SARO with 13 institutional-grade models daily: Bayesian DCF (Monte Carlo + jump-diffusion), EPV (Greenwald zero-growth), EROIC Spread (McKinsey reinvestment), First Chicago (3-scenario), Markov DDM (regime-switching), ML-RIV (machine learning residual income), Dynamic NAV (asset-based), PWERM (option-theoretic), Regime Cross-Sectional (relative), Sentiment SOTP (hybrid), CUCE Ensemble (meta-model), FTNN Topology (neural network), and RCMH-DCF (conditional regime). Currently 10 of 13 are active for this stock. Read the full methodology →

Which valuation models are most bullish and most bearish on SARO?

Of the 10 models currently active on SARO, First Chicago is the most bullish at $82.07 per share, and Earnings Power Value (EPV) is the most bearish at $4.23. CirclFi's published fair value for SARO is the median of that range, $16.73, not either extreme. The gap between the two ends equals 465% of the median — a wide spread, meaning the methods genuinely disagree and the median should carry less weight. Browse stocks by value-trap risk →

Is SARO a value trap in 2026?

StandardAero, Inc.'s Value Trap score is 17/100 (SAFE). This low score indicates the current valuation is not artificially depressed by fundamental deterioration, suggesting genuine opportunity rather than a trap.

Cite this analysis — “According to CirclFi’s 10-model valuation engine, StandardAero, Inc. (SARO) has a median fair value of $16.73 — 33.3% below the current price of $25.08 — as of 2026-08-27.” Source: circlfi.com/stock/SARO/ · Methodology
Primary sources for this SARO valuation
  • Financial statements: StandardAero, Inc. 10-K and 10-Q filings on SEC EDGAR (CIK 0002025410) — 700+ standardized XBRL tags, published by the U.S. Securities and Exchange Commission.
  • Discount-rate inputs: FRED, Federal Reserve Bank of St. Louis — risk-free rates, VIX, yield curve, inflation.
  • News sentiment: The GDELT Project — global media tone, input to the Sentiment SOTP model.
  • Model definitions: CirclFi methodology — the published specification for all 13 models, including the academic sources each one implements.

Market data for SARO as of ; valuations recomputed .

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