What Is Northern Trust Corporation (NTRS) Worth in 2026?
According to the CirclFi Deep Alpha Valuation Engine, Northern Trust Corporation's intrinsic value is estimated at a composite $185.08, showing conflicting signals at the current price of $191.13. While the average implied return is -3.2%, model disagreement is elevated with a gap of +227.3% between the most bullish and bearish estimates. The most optimistic model, Dynamic NAV, places fair value at $462.72 (+142.1%), while EROIC — the most conservative — estimates $28.27 (-85.2%). This +227.3% gap reflects genuine analytical uncertainty about Northern Trust Corporation's intrinsic worth.
What Do the Models Say About NTRS?
13 of 13 models are currently active for NTRS. Of these, 4 models suggest upside while 9 models suggest overvaluation. The Bayesian DCF estimates NTRS's intrinsic value at $70.60, implying -63.1% downside from the current price. See which stocks rank higher →
How Does NTRS Rank in State Commercial Banks?
Among 166 State Commercial Banks stocks, NTRS ranks #158 by Quality of Company score. CirclFi's QOC score of 5.0/10 evaluates 32 fundamental signals. A score of 5.0 reflects mixed fundamentals.
See all Most Undervalued State Commercial Banks Stocks →
As a banking sector, Northern Trust Corporation operates in a sector where return on tangible equity is a critical driver of valuation. Investors evaluating NTRS should weigh these sector-specific dynamics alongside our model-derived fair values.
Is NTRS a Value Trap?
CirclFi's Value Trap algorithm assigns NTRS a score of 20/100 (SAFE). This indicates minimal risk. Fundamentals are healthy. The score cross-references apparent undervaluation against fundamental deterioration signals. Browse lowest value-trap stocks →
Multi-Model Methodology
13 of 13 models are active for Northern Trust Corporation. Broad coverage provides high confidence. Each model applies a fundamentally different valuation philosophy. See the complete methodology →
According to the CirclFi 32-factor quality framework, Northern Trust Corporation's fundamental quality profile registers 5.0/10. This mixed score captures the company's profitability depth, growth consistency, balance sheet resilience, and shareholder return track record.
The gap between the most bullish and bearish model spans +227.3% — demonstrating why single-model analysis is dangerous. Browse all stocks with 13-model coverage →
Data Sources & Confidence
Every NTRS valuation is built from SEC EDGAR XBRL filings — 700+ standardized financial tags. Macroeconomic context from FRED calibrates discount rates, while GDELT news sentiment feeds into our Sentiment SOTP model. All pipelines run daily. Read the complete data methodology →
Across NTRS's 13 active models, average confidence is 34%. Lower confidence may reflect limited history or high volatility.
CirclFi's output is a research starting point, not a buy/sell signal. All data updates daily. Read the full methodology →
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