What Is Mid-America Apartment Communiti (MAA) Worth in 2026?
According to the CirclFi Deep Alpha Valuation Engine, Mid-America Apartment Communiti's intrinsic value is estimated at $75.04, suggesting the stock is overvalued at its current price of $133.68. With 10 out of 13 models flagging downside (-43.9% average return), the market may be pricing in unsustainable growth. The most optimistic model, Markov DDM, places fair value at $153.00 (+14.4%), while EPV — the most conservative — estimates $7.77 (-94.2%). This +108.6% gap reflects genuine analytical uncertainty about Mid-America Apartment Communiti's intrinsic worth.
What Do the Models Say About MAA?
13 of 13 models are currently active for MAA. Of these, 2 models suggest upside while 11 models suggest overvaluation. The Bayesian DCF estimates MAA's intrinsic value at $83.67, implying -37.4% downside from the current price. See which stocks rank higher →
How Does MAA Rank in Real Estate Investment Trusts?
Among 190 Real Estate Investment Trusts stocks, MAA ranks #51 by Quality of Company score. CirclFi's QOC score of 7.6/10 evaluates 32 fundamental signals. A score of 7.6 indicates above-average quality.
See all Most Undervalued Real Estate Investment Trusts Stocks →
As a real estate sector, Mid-America Apartment Communiti operates in a sector where debt-to-EBITDA is a critical driver of valuation. Investors evaluating MAA should weigh these sector-specific dynamics alongside our model-derived fair values.
Is MAA a Value Trap?
CirclFi's Value Trap algorithm assigns MAA a score of 12/100 (SAFE). This indicates minimal risk. Fundamentals are healthy. The score cross-references apparent undervaluation against fundamental deterioration signals. Browse lowest value-trap stocks →
Multi-Model Methodology
13 of 13 models are active for Mid-America Apartment Communiti. Broad coverage provides high confidence. Each model applies a fundamentally different valuation philosophy. See the complete methodology →
According to the CirclFi Quality of Company (QOC) framework, which evaluates 32 signals including margin stability, revenue growth trajectory, leverage, and free cash flow generation, Mid-America Apartment Communiti is rated at 7.6/10. This strong-tier score demonstrates strong fundamentals across the majority of our quality signals.
The gap between the most bullish and bearish model spans +108.6% — demonstrating why single-model analysis is dangerous. Browse all stocks with 13-model coverage →
Data Sources & Confidence
Every MAA valuation is built from SEC EDGAR XBRL filings — 700+ standardized financial tags. Macroeconomic context from FRED calibrates discount rates, while GDELT news sentiment feeds into our Sentiment SOTP model. All pipelines run daily. Read the complete data methodology →
Across MAA's 13 active models, average confidence is 43%. Lower confidence may reflect limited history or high volatility.
CirclFi's output is a research starting point, not a buy/sell signal. All data updates daily. Read the full methodology →
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