Invitation Homes Inc. (INVH) Fair Value 2026

INVH · REIT - Residential ·

By CirclFi Research Team · Data from SEC EDGAR, FRED & GDELT

Quality Score

8.5 /10

32 fundamental signals · 7 models active

Value Trap Risk

SAFE (12/100)

Quick Summary — As of 2026-08-28, Invitation Homes Inc. (INVH) trades at $29.24, versus a $17.51 median fair value across its 7 active models — 40.1% below the current price. QOC: 8.5/10. Value Trap Risk: 12/100 (SAFE). 7/13 models active.

Key Facts

Ticker
INVH
Price
$29.24
Quality Score
8.5/10
Value Trap Risk
12/100
Models Active
7/13
Last Updated
Strength: Quality Score of 8.5/10 indicates strong fundamentals
Risk: Majority of models suggest overvaluation

Is Invitation Homes Inc. (INVH) Undervalued or Overvalued in 2026?

According to CirclFi’s 7-model valuation engine, Invitation Homes Inc. (INVH) appears overvalued as of : the median of 7 independent fair value estimates is $17.51, 40.1% below the current price of $29.24. Estimates range from $11.58 to $34.59. INVH scores 8.5/10 on fundamental quality and 12/100 on value-trap risk.

For context, the median US equity CirclFi rates trades at an implied -23.4% versus its own 13-model consensus, across 3,809 rated companies as of 2026-08-28. INVH’s -40.1% gap is wider than that market norm, and the REIT - Residential sector median is -41.7%. Full market index →

This verdict compares price to intrinsic value only — it is not a buy or sell rating. For the decision case (bull vs bear arguments, risk factors, peers), read Should You Buy Invitation Homes Inc. Stock in 2026? →

What Fair Value Does Each Model Give INVH?

7 Intrinsic Value Models vs. Current Price ($29.24)

Core Models (Unlocked)
Model Fair Value Upside
Ensemble · Medium Conviction
 $17.51 -40.1%
Intrinsic · High Conviction
 $15.50 -47.0%
Intrinsic · High Conviction
 $11.58 -60.4%
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What Is INVH's Fair Value Range?

Spread across 7 independent models · $11.58 to $34.59

CirclFi's 7 active models place Invitation Homes Inc. (INVH) between $11.58 and $34.59 per share, a spread of 131% of the median. The median of that range — $17.51 — is the fair value CirclFi publishes for INVH, against a current price of $29.24.

Low · ML-RIVHigh · FTNN
$11.58median $17.51$34.59
Where the range comes from
Most bearish modelML Residual Income$11.58
Most bullish modelFTNN Topology$34.59
Model agreement1 bullish · 6 bearishwide

A band this wide is itself the finding. When independent methods land far apart, they are reading a business whose value depends heavily on which lens you apply — volatile earnings, heavy reinvestment, or an asset base that cash-flow and asset-based methods score differently. That disagreement is information: it says the choice of method matters more than usual for INVH. Treat the median as one reading among several and compare the individual models below before acting.

Every figure above is one model's standalone output on INVH, not a CirclFi price target. How each model works →

What Is Invitation Homes Inc. (INVH) Worth in 2026?

According to the CirclFi Deep Alpha Valuation Engine, Invitation Homes Inc.'s intrinsic value is estimated at $17.51, suggesting the stock is overvalued at its current price of $29.24. With 6 out of 7 models flagging downside (-40.1% vs price), the market may be pricing in unsustainable growth. The most optimistic model, FTNN, places fair value at $34.59 (+18.3%), while ML-RIV — the most conservative — estimates $11.58 (-60.4%). This +78.7% gap reflects genuine analytical uncertainty about Invitation Homes Inc.'s intrinsic worth.

What Do the Models Say About INVH?

7 of 13 models are currently active for INVH. Of these, 1 model suggests upside while 6 models suggest overvaluation. Taken together, their median fair value for INVH is $17.51 — the figure CirclFi publishes as this stock's fair value. See which stocks rank higher →

How Does INVH Rank in REIT - Residential?

Among 21 REIT - Residential stocks, INVH ranks #1 by Quality of Company score. CirclFi's QOC score of 8.5/10 evaluates 32 fundamental signals. A score of 8.5 places INVH in the top tier.

As a real estate sector, Invitation Homes Inc. operates in a sector where debt-to-EBITDA is a critical driver of valuation. Investors evaluating INVH should weigh these sector-specific dynamics alongside our model-derived fair values.

Is INVH a Value Trap?

CirclFi's Value Trap algorithm assigns INVH a score of 12/100 (SAFE). This indicates minimal risk. Fundamentals are healthy. The score cross-references apparent undervaluation against fundamental deterioration signals. Browse lowest value-trap stocks →

Multi-Model Methodology

7 of 13 models are active for Invitation Homes Inc.. Moderate coverage provides meaningful perspective. Each model applies a fundamentally different valuation philosophy. See the complete methodology →

According to the CirclFi 32-factor quality framework, Invitation Homes Inc.'s fundamental quality profile registers 8.5/10. This robust score captures the company's profitability depth, growth consistency, balance sheet resilience, and shareholder return track record.

The gap between the most bullish and bearish model spans +78.7% — demonstrating why single-model analysis is dangerous. Browse all stocks with 13-model coverage →

Data Sources & Confidence

Every INVH valuation is built from SEC EDGAR XBRL filings — 700+ standardized financial tags. Macroeconomic context from FRED calibrates discount rates, while GDELT news sentiment feeds into our Sentiment SOTP model. All pipelines run daily. Read the complete data methodology →

Across INVH's 7 active models, average confidence is 42%. Lower confidence may reflect limited history or high volatility.

CirclFi's output is a research starting point, not a buy/sell signal. All data updates daily. Read the full methodology →

This analysis is produced by the CirclFi Valuation Engine using quantitative models applied to SEC EDGAR filings, public market feeds, and FRED macroeconomic indicators. It is not financial advice.

Read the full investment analysis: Should You Buy Invitation Homes Inc. Stock in 2026? →

Bull case, bear case, risk factors & peer comparison — updated daily

Which Similar REIT - Residential Stocks Should You Also Analyze?

9 related REIT - Residential stocks with 13-model coverage

JANJanus Living, Inc.QOC 5.0UDRUDR, Inc.QOC 8.3ELMEElme CommunitiesQOC 5.5ELSEquity LifeStyle Properties, Inc.QOC 8.3BHMBluerock Homes Trust, Inc.QOC 5.6IRTIndependence Realty Trust, Inc.QOC 8.0CSRCenterspaceQOC 7.8MRPMillrose Properties, Inc.QOC 7.2NXRTNexPoint Residential Trust, Inc.QOC 6.0

Read investment analysis: JAN · UDR · ELME · ELS · BHM · IRT · CSR · MRP · NXRT

Which Other Stocks Have a Similar Quality Score to INVH?

7 companies across all industries closest to INVH’s Quality of Company score of 8.5/10.

CIGCompanhia Energética de Minas Gerais - CEMIGQOC 8.5RVRFRiver Financial CorporationQOC 8.5STNStantec Inc.QOC 8.5CSCOCisco Systems, Inc.QOC 8.5AXONAxon Enterprise, Inc.QOC 8.5UPSUnited Parcel Service, Inc.QOC 8.5NVDANVIDIA CorporationQOC 10.0

Read investment analysis: CIG · RVRF · STN · CSCO · AXON · UPS · NVDA

What Else Do Investors Ask About Invitation Homes Inc.’s Valuation?

What is Invitation Homes Inc.'s intrinsic value in 2026?

CirclFi puts Invitation Homes Inc. (INVH)'s intrinsic value at $17.51 — the median of 7 independent model estimates as of 2026-08-28, ranging from $11.58 to $34.59. The Quality of Company score is 8.5/10 across 32 fundamental signals. All models use SEC EDGAR filings updated daily. See our methodology page for how each model works.

Is INVH overvalued or undervalued right now?

At $29.24, 1 of 7 active models suggest INVH may be undervalued, while 6 indicate potential overvaluation. The median of all 7 fair value estimates is $17.51, 40.1% below the current price of $29.24 — a consensus view that INVH is overvalued. The assessment depends on which methodology best fits Invitation Homes Inc.'s business model in REIT - Residential.

What does a Quality of Company score of 8.5 mean for INVH?

Invitation Homes Inc.'s QOC of 8.5/10 reflects 32 fundamental signals: profitability margins, revenue growth consistency, balance sheet leverage, free cash flow generation, and capital allocation efficiency. Scores above 7 indicate strong fundamentals and disciplined management.

How many valuation models does CirclFi run on INVH?

CirclFi analyzes INVH with 13 institutional-grade models daily: Bayesian DCF (Monte Carlo + jump-diffusion), EPV (Greenwald zero-growth), EROIC Spread (McKinsey reinvestment), First Chicago (3-scenario), Markov DDM (regime-switching), ML-RIV (machine learning residual income), Dynamic NAV (asset-based), PWERM (option-theoretic), Regime Cross-Sectional (relative), Sentiment SOTP (hybrid), CUCE Ensemble (meta-model), FTNN Topology (neural network), and RCMH-DCF (conditional regime). Currently 7 of 13 are active for this stock. Read the full methodology →

Which valuation models are most bullish and most bearish on INVH?

Of the 7 models currently active on INVH, FTNN Topology is the most bullish at $34.59 per share, and ML Residual Income is the most bearish at $11.58. CirclFi's published fair value for INVH is the median of that range, $17.51, not either extreme. The gap between the two ends equals 131% of the median — a wide spread, meaning the methods genuinely disagree and the median should carry less weight. Browse stocks by value-trap risk →

Is INVH a value trap in 2026?

Invitation Homes Inc.'s Value Trap score is 12/100 (SAFE). This low score indicates the current valuation is not artificially depressed by fundamental deterioration, suggesting genuine opportunity rather than a trap.

Cite this analysis — “According to CirclFi’s 7-model valuation engine, Invitation Homes Inc. (INVH) has a median fair value of $17.51 — 40.1% below the current price of $29.24 — as of 2026-08-28.” Source: circlfi.com/stock/INVH/ · Methodology
Primary sources for this INVH valuation
  • Financial statements: Invitation Homes Inc. 10-K and 10-Q filings on SEC EDGAR (CIK 0001687229) — 700+ standardized XBRL tags, published by the U.S. Securities and Exchange Commission.
  • Discount-rate inputs: FRED, Federal Reserve Bank of St. Louis — risk-free rates, VIX, yield curve, inflation.
  • News sentiment: The GDELT Project — global media tone, input to the Sentiment SOTP model.
  • Model definitions: CirclFi methodology — the published specification for all 13 models, including the academic sources each one implements.

Market data for INVH as of ; valuations recomputed .

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