Boston Omaha Corporation (BOC) Fair Value 2026

BOC · Conglomerates ·

By CirclFi Research Team · Data from SEC EDGAR, FRED & GDELT

Quality Score

6.6 /10

32 fundamental signals · 5 models active

Value Trap Risk

LOW (29/100)

Quick Summary — As of 2026-08-28, Boston Omaha Corporation (BOC) trades at $13.85, versus a $5.52 median fair value across its 5 active models — 60.2% below the current price. QOC: 6.6/10. Value Trap Risk: 29/100 (LOW). 5/13 models active.

Key Facts

Ticker
BOC
Price
$13.85
Quality Score
6.6/10
Value Trap Risk
29/100
Models Active
5/13
Last Updated
Strength: 5 independent models provide multi-angle coverage
Risk: Majority of models suggest overvaluation

Is Boston Omaha Corporation (BOC) Undervalued or Overvalued in 2026?

According to CirclFi’s 5-model valuation engine, Boston Omaha Corporation (BOC) appears overvalued as of : the median of 5 independent fair value estimates is $5.52, 60.2% below the current price of $13.85. Estimates range from $1.37 to $19.17. BOC scores 6.6/10 on fundamental quality and 29/100 on value-trap risk.

For context, the median US equity CirclFi rates trades at an implied -23.4% versus its own 13-model consensus, across 3,809 rated companies as of 2026-08-28. BOC’s -60.2% gap is wider than that market norm, and the Conglomerates sector median is -20.1%. Full market index →

This verdict compares price to intrinsic value only — it is not a buy or sell rating. For the decision case (bull vs bear arguments, risk factors, peers), read Should You Buy Boston Omaha Corporation Stock in 2026? →

What Fair Value Does Each Model Give BOC?

5 Intrinsic Value Models vs. Current Price ($13.85)

Core Models (Unlocked)
Model Fair Value Upside
Ensemble · Low Conviction
 $5.62 -59.4%
Intrinsic · High Conviction
 $1.37 -90.1%
Unlock the Full Matrix

Access 3 additional models including Dynamic NAV, PWERM, and more.

$1.30 / day

Billed monthly ($39/mo) or annually ($299/yr)

Unlock All 5 Models →

Cancel anytime · No contracts · Instant access

What Is BOC's Fair Value Range?

Spread across 5 independent models · $1.37 to $19.17

CirclFi's 5 active models place Boston Omaha Corporation (BOC) between $1.37 and $19.17 per share, a spread of 323% of the median. The median of that range — $5.52 — is the fair value CirclFi publishes for BOC, against a current price of $13.85.

Low · ML-RIVHigh · PWERM
$1.37median $5.52$19.17
Where the range comes from
Most bearish modelML Residual Income$1.37
Most bullish modelPWERM$19.17
Model agreement1 bullish · 4 bearishwide

A band this wide is itself the finding. When independent methods land far apart, they are reading a business whose value depends heavily on which lens you apply — volatile earnings, heavy reinvestment, or an asset base that cash-flow and asset-based methods score differently. That disagreement is information: it says the choice of method matters more than usual for BOC. Treat the median as one reading among several and compare the individual models below before acting.

Every figure above is one model's standalone output on BOC, not a CirclFi price target. How each model works →

What Is Boston Omaha Corporation (BOC) Worth in 2026?

According to the CirclFi Deep Alpha Valuation Engine, Boston Omaha Corporation's intrinsic value is estimated at $5.52. Trading at its current price of $13.85, the valuation engine raises significant caution: 4 of 5 models flag downside risk, projecting a median implied return of -60.2%. Model dispersion is worth noting: PWERM targets $19.17 (+38.4%), versus ML-RIV at $1.37 (-90.1%). This +128.5% range highlights the importance of multi-model analysis rather than relying on any single methodology.

What Do the Models Say About BOC?

5 of 13 models are currently active for BOC. Of these, 1 model suggests upside while 4 models suggest overvaluation. Taken together, their median fair value for BOC is $5.52 — the figure CirclFi publishes as this stock's fair value. See which stocks rank higher →

How Does BOC Rank in Conglomerates?

Among 31 Conglomerates stocks, BOC ranks #13 by Quality of Company score. CirclFi's QOC score of 6.6/10 evaluates 32 fundamental signals. A score of 6.6 indicates above-average quality.

Boston Omaha Corporation's positioning within the Conglomerates segment means that organic revenue growth plays an outsized role in fundamental analysis. The sector's unique characteristics — including electrification tailwinds — shape both the opportunity set and risk profile.

Is BOC a Value Trap?

CirclFi's Value Trap algorithm assigns BOC a score of 29/100 (LOW). This indicates low risk. The financial profile does not exhibit typical value trap warning signs. The score cross-references apparent undervaluation against fundamental deterioration signals. Browse lowest value-trap stocks →

Multi-Model Methodology

5 of 13 models are active for Boston Omaha Corporation. Limited activation may indicate insufficient history. Each model applies a fundamentally different valuation philosophy. See the complete methodology →

According to the CirclFi Deep Alpha Valuation Engine, Boston Omaha Corporation scores 6.6 out of 10 on our 32-signal quality assessment, a solid rating that maintains reasonable quality metrics with some areas for improvement. The QOC score synthesizes profitability margins, revenue growth reliability, debt management, and capital allocation into a single metric designed to separate durable businesses from statistically cheap ones.

The gap between the most bullish and bearish model spans +128.5% — demonstrating why single-model analysis is dangerous. Browse all stocks with 13-model coverage →

Data Sources & Confidence

Every BOC valuation is built from SEC EDGAR XBRL filings — 700+ standardized financial tags. Macroeconomic context from FRED calibrates discount rates, while GDELT news sentiment feeds into our Sentiment SOTP model. All pipelines run daily. Read the complete data methodology →

Across BOC's 5 active models, average confidence is 31%. Lower confidence may reflect limited history or high volatility.

CirclFi's output is a research starting point, not a buy/sell signal. All data updates daily. Read the full methodology →

This analysis is produced by the CirclFi Valuation Engine using quantitative models applied to SEC EDGAR filings, public market feeds, and FRED macroeconomic indicators. It is not financial advice.

Read the full investment analysis: Should You Buy Boston Omaha Corporation Stock in 2026? →

Bull case, bear case, risk factors & peer comparison — updated daily

Which Similar Conglomerates Stocks Should You Also Analyze?

11 related Conglomerates stocks with 13-model coverage

AIRTAir T, Inc.QOC 6.8MATWMatthews International CorporationQOC 6.5BBUCBrookfield Business CorporationQOC 7.1LGPSLogProstyle Inc.QOC 6.3BOOMDMC Global Inc.QOC 7.2CODICompass DiversifiedQOC 6.2FBYDFalcon's Beyond Global, Inc.QOC 5.5AIAIAIAI Holdings CorporationQOC 3.4RCMTRCM Technologies, Inc.QOC 8.3VMIValmont Industries, Inc.QOC 9.0OTTROtter Tail CorporationQOC 8.6

Read investment analysis: AIRT · MATW · BBUC · LGPS · BOOM · CODI · FBYD · AIAI · RCMT · VMI · OTTR

Which Other Stocks Have a Similar Quality Score to BOC?

7 companies across all industries closest to BOC’s Quality of Company score of 6.6/10.

BDCOBlue Dolphin Energy CompanyQOC 6.6AAOIApplied Optoelectronics, Inc.QOC 6.6PYYXPyxus International, Inc.QOC 6.6GEVOGevo, Inc.QOC 6.6CNXCConcentrix CorporationQOC 6.6AXSMAxsome Therapeutics, Inc.QOC 6.6NVDANVIDIA CorporationQOC 10.0

Read investment analysis: BDCO · AAOI · PYYX · GEVO · CNXC · AXSM · NVDA

What Else Do Investors Ask About Boston Omaha Corporation’s Valuation?

What is Boston Omaha Corporation's intrinsic value in 2026?

CirclFi puts Boston Omaha Corporation (BOC)'s intrinsic value at $5.52 — the median of 5 independent model estimates as of 2026-08-28, ranging from $1.37 to $19.17. The Quality of Company score is 6.6/10 across 32 fundamental signals. All models use SEC EDGAR filings updated daily. See our methodology page for how each model works.

Is BOC overvalued or undervalued right now?

At $13.85, 1 of 5 active models suggest BOC may be undervalued, while 4 indicate potential overvaluation. The median of all 5 fair value estimates is $5.52, 60.2% below the current price of $13.85 — a consensus view that BOC is overvalued. The assessment depends on which methodology best fits Boston Omaha Corporation's business model in Conglomerates.

What does a Quality of Company score of 6.6 mean for BOC?

Boston Omaha Corporation's QOC of 6.6/10 reflects 32 fundamental signals: profitability margins, revenue growth consistency, balance sheet leverage, free cash flow generation, and capital allocation efficiency. Scores between 5-7 reflect moderate fundamentals with areas for improvement.

How many valuation models does CirclFi run on BOC?

CirclFi analyzes BOC with 13 institutional-grade models daily: Bayesian DCF (Monte Carlo + jump-diffusion), EPV (Greenwald zero-growth), EROIC Spread (McKinsey reinvestment), First Chicago (3-scenario), Markov DDM (regime-switching), ML-RIV (machine learning residual income), Dynamic NAV (asset-based), PWERM (option-theoretic), Regime Cross-Sectional (relative), Sentiment SOTP (hybrid), CUCE Ensemble (meta-model), FTNN Topology (neural network), and RCMH-DCF (conditional regime). Currently 5 of 13 are active for this stock. Read the full methodology →

Which valuation models are most bullish and most bearish on BOC?

Of the 5 models currently active on BOC, PWERM is the most bullish at $19.17 per share, and ML Residual Income is the most bearish at $1.37. CirclFi's published fair value for BOC is the median of that range, $5.52, not either extreme. The gap between the two ends equals 323% of the median — a wide spread, meaning the methods genuinely disagree and the median should carry less weight. Browse stocks by value-trap risk →

Is BOC a value trap in 2026?

Boston Omaha Corporation's Value Trap score is 29/100 (LOW). This low score indicates the current valuation is not artificially depressed by fundamental deterioration, suggesting genuine opportunity rather than a trap.

Cite this analysis — “According to CirclFi’s 5-model valuation engine, Boston Omaha Corporation (BOC) has a median fair value of $5.52 — 60.2% below the current price of $13.85 — as of 2026-08-28.” Source: circlfi.com/stock/BOC/ · Methodology
Primary sources for this BOC valuation
  • Financial statements: Boston Omaha Corporation 10-K and 10-Q filings on SEC EDGAR (CIK 0001494582) — 700+ standardized XBRL tags, published by the U.S. Securities and Exchange Commission.
  • Discount-rate inputs: FRED, Federal Reserve Bank of St. Louis — risk-free rates, VIX, yield curve, inflation.
  • News sentiment: The GDELT Project — global media tone, input to the Sentiment SOTP model.
  • Model definitions: CirclFi methodology — the published specification for all 13 models, including the academic sources each one implements.

Market data for BOC as of ; valuations recomputed .

You’ve done the research. Don’t stop at half the picture.

Stop collecting opinions. Let 5 mathematical frameworks give you clarity on BOC.

Unlock All 5 Fair Values — $39/mo

Cancel anytime · Less than a cup of coffee · Instant access

3 models hidden for BOC Unlock All 5 — $39/mo