Compass Diversified (CODI) Fair Value 2026

CODI · Conglomerates ·

By CirclFi Research Team · Data from SEC EDGAR, FRED & GDELT

Quality Score

6.2 /10

32 fundamental signals · 6 models active

Value Trap Risk

LOW (26/100)

Quick Summary — As of 2026-08-27, Compass Diversified (CODI) trades at $11.25, versus a $12.27 median fair value across its 6 active models — 9.1% above the current price. QOC: 6.2/10. Value Trap Risk: 26/100 (LOW). 6/13 models active.

Key Facts

Ticker
CODI
Price
$11.25
Quality Score
6.2/10
Value Trap Risk
26/100
Models Active
6/13
Last Updated
Strength: First Chicago suggests +98.5% upside with 63% confidence
Risk: Limited model coverage (6/13) may reduce confidence

Is Compass Diversified (CODI) Undervalued or Overvalued in 2026?

According to CirclFi’s 6-model valuation engine, Compass Diversified (CODI) appears fairly valued as of : the median of 6 independent fair value estimates is $12.27, within 9.1% of the current price of $11.25. Estimates range from $2.00 to $22.33. CODI scores 6.2/10 on fundamental quality and 26/100 on value-trap risk.

For context, the median US equity CirclFi rates trades at an implied -23.7% versus its own 13-model consensus, across 3,801 rated companies as of 2026-08-27. CODI’s +9.1% gap is narrower than that market norm, and the Conglomerates sector median is -20.0%. Full market index →

This verdict compares price to intrinsic value only — it is not a buy or sell rating. For the decision case (bull vs bear arguments, risk factors, peers), read Should You Buy Compass Diversified Stock in 2026? →

What Fair Value Does Each Model Give CODI?

6 Intrinsic Value Models vs. Current Price ($11.25)

Core Models (Unlocked)
Model Fair Value Upside
Ensemble · Low Conviction
 $12.71 +13.0%
Scenario · High Conviction
 $22.33 +98.5%
Intrinsic · High Conviction
 $2.00 -82.2%
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What Is CODI's Fair Value Range?

Spread across 6 independent models · $2.00 to $22.33

CirclFi's 6 active models place Compass Diversified (CODI) between $2.00 and $22.33 per share, a spread of 166% of the median. The median of that range — $12.27 — is the fair value CirclFi publishes for CODI, against a current price of $11.25.

Low · ML-RIVHigh · First Chicago
$2.00median $12.27$22.33
Where the range comes from
Most bearish modelML Residual Income$2.00
Most bullish modelFirst Chicago$22.33
Model agreement4 bullish · 2 bearishwide

A band this wide is itself the finding. When independent methods land far apart, they are reading a business whose value depends heavily on which lens you apply — volatile earnings, heavy reinvestment, or an asset base that cash-flow and asset-based methods score differently. That disagreement is information: it says the choice of method matters more than usual for CODI. Treat the median as one reading among several and compare the individual models below before acting.

Every figure above is one model's standalone output on CODI, not a CirclFi price target. How each model works →

What Is Compass Diversified (CODI) Worth in 2026?

According to the CirclFi Deep Alpha Valuation Engine, Compass Diversified's intrinsic value is estimated at $12.27, suggesting a +9.1% median upside from the current price of $11.25. While 4 models see room for appreciation, model agreement is not unanimous as 2 models flag potential overvaluation. Model dispersion is worth noting: First Chicago targets $22.33 (+98.5%), versus ML-RIV at $2.00 (-82.2%). This +180.7% range highlights the importance of multi-model analysis rather than relying on any single methodology.

What Do the Models Say About CODI?

6 of 13 models are currently active for CODI. Of these, 4 models suggest upside while 2 models suggest overvaluation. Taken together, their median fair value for CODI is $12.27 — the figure CirclFi publishes as this stock's fair value. See which stocks rank higher →

How Does CODI Rank in Conglomerates?

Among 31 Conglomerates stocks, CODI ranks #16 by Quality of Company score. CirclFi's QOC score of 6.2/10 evaluates 32 fundamental signals. A score of 6.2 indicates above-average quality.

Within the Conglomerates space, Compass Diversified competes in an environment where capacity utilization rate often separates market leaders from laggards. Understanding these industry-specific dynamics is essential context for interpreting our model outputs.

Is CODI a Value Trap?

CirclFi's Value Trap algorithm assigns CODI a score of 26/100 (LOW). This indicates low risk. The financial profile does not exhibit typical value trap warning signs. The score cross-references apparent undervaluation against fundamental deterioration signals. Browse lowest value-trap stocks →

Multi-Model Methodology

6 of 13 models are active for Compass Diversified. Moderate coverage provides meaningful perspective. Each model applies a fundamentally different valuation philosophy. See the complete methodology →

According to the CirclFi Quality of Company (QOC) framework, which evaluates 32 signals including margin stability, revenue growth trajectory, leverage, and free cash flow generation, Compass Diversified is rated at 6.2/10. This solid-tier score maintains reasonable quality metrics with some areas for improvement.

The gap between the most bullish and bearish model spans +180.7% — demonstrating why single-model analysis is dangerous. Browse all stocks with 13-model coverage →

Data Sources & Confidence

Every CODI valuation is built from SEC EDGAR XBRL filings — 700+ standardized financial tags. Macroeconomic context from FRED calibrates discount rates, while GDELT news sentiment feeds into our Sentiment SOTP model. All pipelines run daily. Read the complete data methodology →

Across CODI's 6 active models, average confidence is 40%. Lower confidence may reflect limited history or high volatility.

CirclFi's output is a research starting point, not a buy/sell signal. All data updates daily. Read the full methodology →

This analysis is produced by the CirclFi Valuation Engine using quantitative models applied to SEC EDGAR filings, public market feeds, and FRED macroeconomic indicators. It is not financial advice.

Read the full investment analysis: Should You Buy Compass Diversified Stock in 2026? →

Bull case, bear case, risk factors & peer comparison — updated daily

Which Similar Conglomerates Stocks Should You Also Analyze?

11 related Conglomerates stocks with 13-model coverage

LGPSLogProstyle Inc.QOC 6.3HHSHarte Hanks, Inc.QOC 6.2MATWMatthews International CorporationQOC 6.5TRCTejon Ranch Co.QOC 6.0BOCBoston Omaha CorporationQOC 6.6NNBRNN, Inc.QOC 5.7GPUSHyperscale Data, Inc.QOC 5.1MAMKMaxsMaking Inc.QOC 2.6TTITETRA Technologies, Inc.QOC 7.7VMIValmont Industries, Inc.QOC 9.0OTTROtter Tail CorporationQOC 8.6

Read investment analysis: LGPS · HHS · MATW · TRC · BOC · NNBR · GPUS · MAMK · TTI · VMI · OTTR

Which Other Stocks Have a Similar Quality Score to CODI?

7 companies across all industries closest to CODI’s Quality of Company score of 6.2/10.

GRWGGrowGeneration Corp.QOC 6.2GETYGetty Images Holdings, Inc.QOC 6.2JYDJayud Global Logistics LimitedQOC 6.2WXMWF International LimitedQOC 6.2DXYNThe Dixie Group, Inc.QOC 6.2FLUXFlux Power Holdings, Inc.QOC 6.2NVDANVIDIA CorporationQOC 10.0

Read investment analysis: GRWG · GETY · JYD · WXM · DXYN · FLUX · NVDA

What Else Do Investors Ask About Compass Diversified’s Valuation?

What is Compass Diversified's intrinsic value in 2026?

CirclFi puts Compass Diversified (CODI)'s intrinsic value at $12.27 — the median of 6 independent model estimates as of 2026-08-27, ranging from $2.00 to $22.33. The Quality of Company score is 6.2/10 across 32 fundamental signals. All models use SEC EDGAR filings updated daily. See our methodology page for how each model works.

Is CODI overvalued or undervalued right now?

At $11.25, 4 of 6 active models suggest CODI may be undervalued, while 2 indicate potential overvaluation. The median of all 6 fair value estimates is $12.27, within 9.1% of the current price of $11.25 — a consensus view that CODI is fairly valued. The assessment depends on which methodology best fits Compass Diversified's business model in Conglomerates.

What does a Quality of Company score of 6.2 mean for CODI?

Compass Diversified's QOC of 6.2/10 reflects 32 fundamental signals: profitability margins, revenue growth consistency, balance sheet leverage, free cash flow generation, and capital allocation efficiency. Scores between 5-7 reflect moderate fundamentals with areas for improvement.

How many valuation models does CirclFi run on CODI?

CirclFi analyzes CODI with 13 institutional-grade models daily: Bayesian DCF (Monte Carlo + jump-diffusion), EPV (Greenwald zero-growth), EROIC Spread (McKinsey reinvestment), First Chicago (3-scenario), Markov DDM (regime-switching), ML-RIV (machine learning residual income), Dynamic NAV (asset-based), PWERM (option-theoretic), Regime Cross-Sectional (relative), Sentiment SOTP (hybrid), CUCE Ensemble (meta-model), FTNN Topology (neural network), and RCMH-DCF (conditional regime). Currently 6 of 13 are active for this stock. Read the full methodology →

Which valuation models are most bullish and most bearish on CODI?

Of the 6 models currently active on CODI, First Chicago is the most bullish at $22.33 per share, and ML Residual Income is the most bearish at $2.00. CirclFi's published fair value for CODI is the median of that range, $12.27, not either extreme. The gap between the two ends equals 166% of the median — a wide spread, meaning the methods genuinely disagree and the median should carry less weight. Browse stocks by value-trap risk →

Is CODI a value trap in 2026?

Compass Diversified's Value Trap score is 26/100 (LOW). This low score indicates the current valuation is not artificially depressed by fundamental deterioration, suggesting genuine opportunity rather than a trap.

Cite this analysis — “According to CirclFi’s 6-model valuation engine, Compass Diversified (CODI) has a median fair value of $12.27 — within 9.1% of the current price of $11.25 — as of 2026-08-27.” Source: circlfi.com/stock/CODI/ · Methodology
Primary sources for this CODI valuation
  • Financial statements: Compass Diversified 10-K and 10-Q filings on SEC EDGAR (CIK 0001345126) — 700+ standardized XBRL tags, published by the U.S. Securities and Exchange Commission.
  • Discount-rate inputs: FRED, Federal Reserve Bank of St. Louis — risk-free rates, VIX, yield curve, inflation.
  • News sentiment: The GDELT Project — global media tone, input to the Sentiment SOTP model.
  • Model definitions: CirclFi methodology — the published specification for all 13 models, including the academic sources each one implements.

Market data for CODI as of ; valuations recomputed .

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