Natuzzi S.p.A. (NTZ) Fair Value 2026

NTZ · Furnishings, Fixtures & Appliances ·

By CirclFi Research Team · Data from SEC EDGAR, FRED & GDELT

Quality Score

5.6 /10

32 fundamental signals · 2 models active

Value Trap Risk

SAFE (6/100)

Quick Summary — As of 2026-08-27, Natuzzi S.p.A. (NTZ) trades at $1.00, versus a $3.78 median fair value across its 2 active models — 278.3% above the current price. QOC: 5.6/10. Value Trap Risk: 6/100 (SAFE). 2/13 models active. Within that set, the Bayesian DCF component alone returns $2.63.

Key Facts

Ticker
NTZ
Price
$1.00
Quality Score
5.6/10
Value Trap Risk
6/100
Models Active
2/13
Last Updated
Strength: First Chicago suggests +393.9% upside with 35% confidence
Risk: Limited model coverage (2/13) may reduce confidence

Is Natuzzi S.p.A. (NTZ) Undervalued or Overvalued in 2026?

According to CirclFi’s 2-model valuation engine, Natuzzi S.p.A. (NTZ) appears undervalued as of : the median of 2 independent fair value estimates is $3.78, 278.3% above the current price of $1.00. Estimates range from $2.63 to $4.94. NTZ scores 5.6/10 on fundamental quality and 6/100 on value-trap risk.

For context, the median US equity CirclFi rates trades at an implied -23.7% versus its own 13-model consensus, across 3,801 rated companies as of 2026-08-27. NTZ’s +278.3% gap is wider than that market norm, and the Furnishings, Fixtures & Appliances sector median is -14.0%. Full market index →

This verdict compares price to intrinsic value only — it is not a buy or sell rating. For the decision case (bull vs bear arguments, risk factors, peers), read Should You Buy Natuzzi S.p.A. Stock in 2026? →

What Fair Value Does Each Model Give NTZ?

2 Intrinsic Value Models vs. Current Price ($1.00)

Core Models (Unlocked)
Model Fair Value Upside
Intrinsic · Medium Conviction
 $2.63 +162.7%
Scenario · Medium Conviction
 $4.94 +393.9%

All Models Active

All 2 models are displayed above.

What Is Natuzzi S.p.A. (NTZ) Worth in 2026?

According to the CirclFi Deep Alpha Valuation Engine, the weight of evidence tilts decidedly bullish for Natuzzi S.p.A.. Trading at $1.00 against an estimated intrinsic value of $3.78, 2 of 2 active models flag meaningful upside of +278.3% at the median. The most optimistic model, First Chicago, places fair value at $4.94 (+393.9%), while Bayesian DCF — the most conservative — estimates $2.63 (+162.7%). This +231.3% gap reflects genuine analytical uncertainty about Natuzzi S.p.A.'s intrinsic worth.

What Do the Models Say About NTZ?

2 of 13 models are currently active for NTZ. All 2 active models suggest the stock trades below fair value. Taken together, their median fair value for NTZ is $3.78 — the figure CirclFi publishes as this stock's fair value. One component of that median, the Bayesian DCF, returns $2.63 on its own, implying +162.7% upside from the current price. See which stocks rank higher →

How Does NTZ Rank in Furnishings, Fixtures & Appliances?

Among 34 Furnishings, Fixtures & Appliances stocks, NTZ ranks #29 by Quality of Company score. CirclFi's QOC score of 5.6/10 evaluates 32 fundamental signals. A score of 5.6 reflects mixed fundamentals.

Natuzzi S.p.A. operates in a competitive landscape where fundamental quality metrics are key differentiators for long-term value creation.

Is NTZ a Value Trap?

CirclFi's Value Trap algorithm assigns NTZ a score of 6/100 (SAFE). This indicates minimal risk. Fundamentals are healthy. The score cross-references apparent undervaluation against fundamental deterioration signals. Browse lowest value-trap stocks →

Multi-Model Methodology

2 of 13 models are active for Natuzzi S.p.A.. Limited activation may indicate insufficient history. Each model applies a fundamentally different valuation philosophy. See the complete methodology →

According to the CirclFi Quality of Company (QOC) framework, Natuzzi S.p.A. earns a quality score of 5.6/10. This respectable rating reflects the company's standing across 32 fundamental signals spanning profitability, growth consistency, balance sheet strength, and capital allocation efficiency.

The gap between the most bullish and bearish model spans +231.3% — demonstrating why single-model analysis is dangerous. Browse all stocks with 13-model coverage →

Data Sources & Confidence

Every NTZ valuation is built from SEC EDGAR XBRL filings — 700+ standardized financial tags. Macroeconomic context from FRED calibrates discount rates, while GDELT news sentiment feeds into our Sentiment SOTP model. All pipelines run daily. Read the complete data methodology →

Across NTZ's 2 active models, average confidence is 37%. Lower confidence may reflect limited history or high volatility.

CirclFi's output is a research starting point, not a buy/sell signal. All data updates daily. Read the full methodology →

This analysis is produced by the CirclFi Valuation Engine using quantitative models applied to SEC EDGAR filings, public market feeds, and FRED macroeconomic indicators. It is not financial advice.

Read the full investment analysis: Should You Buy Natuzzi S.p.A. Stock in 2026? →

Bull case, bear case, risk factors & peer comparison — updated daily

Which Similar Furnishings, Fixtures & Appliances Stocks Should You Also Analyze?

11 related Furnishings, Fixtures & Appliances stocks with 13-model coverage

MWYNMarwynn Holdings, Inc.QOC 5.6FGIFGI Industries Ltd.QOC 5.3EFOIEnergy Focus, Inc.QOC 5.7ATERAterian, Inc.QOC 5.3LBRA1847 Holdings, LLCQOC 5.8PRPLPurple Innovation, Inc.QOC 5.2KEQUKewaunee Scientific CorporationQOC 8.5MLKNMillerKnoll, Inc.QOC 7.9WHRWhirlpool CorporationQOC 7.0ALHAlliance Laundry Holdings Inc.QOC 8.7FLXSFlexsteel Industries, Inc.QOC 8.6

Read investment analysis: MWYN · FGI · EFOI · ATER · LBRA · PRPL · KEQU · MLKN · WHR · ALH · FLXS

Which Other Stocks Have a Similar Quality Score to NTZ?

7 companies across all industries closest to NTZ’s Quality of Company score of 5.6/10.

INTJIntelligent Group LimitedQOC 5.6FEMYFemasys Inc.QOC 5.6VNJAVanjia CorporationQOC 5.6LZMHLZ Technology Holdings LimitedQOC 5.6DTSSDatasea Intelligent Technology Ltd.QOC 5.6AUIDauthID Inc.QOC 5.5NVDANVIDIA CorporationQOC 10.0

Read investment analysis: INTJ · FEMY · VNJA · LZMH · DTSS · AUID · NVDA

What Else Do Investors Ask About Natuzzi S.p.A.’s Valuation?

What is Natuzzi S.p.A.'s intrinsic value in 2026?

CirclFi puts Natuzzi S.p.A. (NTZ)'s intrinsic value at $3.78 — the median of 2 independent model estimates as of 2026-08-27, ranging from $2.63 to $4.94. One component of that median, the Bayesian DCF, runs 10,000 Monte Carlo simulations with jump-diffusion and returns $2.63 on its own. The Quality of Company score is 5.6/10 across 32 fundamental signals. All models use SEC EDGAR filings updated daily. See our methodology page for how each model works.

Is NTZ overvalued or undervalued right now?

At $1.00, 2 of 2 active models suggest NTZ may be undervalued, while 0 indicate potential overvaluation. The median of all 2 fair value estimates is $3.78, 278.3% above the current price of $1.00 — a consensus view that NTZ is undervalued. The assessment depends on which methodology best fits Natuzzi S.p.A.'s business model in Furnishings, Fixtures & Appliances.

What does a Quality of Company score of 5.6 mean for NTZ?

Natuzzi S.p.A.'s QOC of 5.6/10 reflects 32 fundamental signals: profitability margins, revenue growth consistency, balance sheet leverage, free cash flow generation, and capital allocation efficiency. Scores between 5-7 reflect moderate fundamentals with areas for improvement.

How many valuation models does CirclFi run on NTZ?

CirclFi analyzes NTZ with 13 institutional-grade models daily: Bayesian DCF (Monte Carlo + jump-diffusion), EPV (Greenwald zero-growth), EROIC Spread (McKinsey reinvestment), First Chicago (3-scenario), Markov DDM (regime-switching), ML-RIV (machine learning residual income), Dynamic NAV (asset-based), PWERM (option-theoretic), Regime Cross-Sectional (relative), Sentiment SOTP (hybrid), CUCE Ensemble (meta-model), FTNN Topology (neural network), and RCMH-DCF (conditional regime). Currently 2 of 13 are active for this stock. Read the full methodology →

Is NTZ a value trap in 2026?

Natuzzi S.p.A.'s Value Trap score is 6/100 (SAFE). This low score indicates the current valuation is not artificially depressed by fundamental deterioration, suggesting genuine opportunity rather than a trap. Browse stocks by value-trap risk →

Cite this analysis — “According to CirclFi’s 2-model valuation engine, Natuzzi S.p.A. (NTZ) has a median fair value of $3.78 — 278.3% above the current price of $1.00 — as of 2026-08-27.” Source: circlfi.com/stock/NTZ/ · Methodology
Primary sources for this NTZ valuation
  • Financial statements: Natuzzi S.p.A. 10-K and 10-Q filings on SEC EDGAR (CIK 0000900391) — 700+ standardized XBRL tags, published by the U.S. Securities and Exchange Commission.
  • Discount-rate inputs: FRED, Federal Reserve Bank of St. Louis — risk-free rates, VIX, yield curve, inflation.
  • News sentiment: The GDELT Project — global media tone, input to the Sentiment SOTP model.
  • Model definitions: CirclFi methodology — the published specification for all 13 models, including the academic sources each one implements.

Market data for NTZ as of ; valuations recomputed .