Equity Research Conglomerates

Should You Buy Compass Diversified Stock in 2026?

By CirclFi Research Team · · Updated · 6/13 models active

According to the CirclFi Deep Alpha Valuation Engine, Compass Diversified (CODI) carries a solid Quality of Company rating of 6.2/10. Trading at $11.10, our multi-model framework evaluates whether the company's financial profile offers a favorable risk-reward setup.

The short answer: 3 of 6 CirclFi valuation models project upside for Compass Diversified (CODI) at $11.10 — the models are evenly split, with a Quality Score of 6.2/10 and Value-Trap risk of 26/100. The full bull case, bear case, and risk factors are below. Educational analysis, not financial advice.

Key Takeaways

  • Models are split: 3 bullish vs 3 bearish
  • Quality Score: 6.2/10 — Moderate — mixed signals
  • Value Trap Risk: 26/100 — Low — manageable risk
  • Fair Value Range: $2.00 – $21.49 (973% spread)

Bullish Models

3 / 6

Bearish Models

3 / 6

Quality Score

6.2 /10

Moderate — mixed signals

Value Trap Risk

26 /100
Low

Low — manageable risk

Model Consensus

6 /13
Active Models

Avg. confidence: 40%

What Is the Investment Case for Compass Diversified (CODI) in 2026?

What Is the Bull Case vs the Bear Case for Compass Diversified (CODI)?

Bull case versus bear case for Compass Diversified (CODI) at $11.10, derived from 6 active CirclFi valuation models on 2026-09-15.
Bull case — $21.49 target (+93.6%) Bear case — $2.00 target (-82.0%)
According to the CirclFi Deep Alpha Valuation Engine, the First Chicago model targets a fair value of $21.49 (+93.6%), anchoring the bull case with a methodology that evaluates base, bull, and bear scenarios simultaneously. According to the CirclFi Deep Alpha Valuation Engine, the ML Residual Income model sees the stock as overvalued with a fair value of $2.00 (-82.0%), suggesting that the market price embeds overly optimistic growth assumptions.
Industry tailwind: infrastructure spending cycle could provide meaningful support for Compass Diversified's revenue and margin trajectory in the Conglomerates space. According to the CirclFi Deep Alpha Valuation Engine, model disagreement is high with a +175.6% spread between the most bullish and bearish models, signaling elevated analytical uncertainty.
Industry headwind: end-market concentration risk represents a meaningful risk for Compass Diversified and its Conglomerates peers.

How Does CODI Compare to Its Conglomerates Peers?

LGPS LogProstyle Inc.
6.3
HHS Harte Hanks, Inc.
6.1
MATW Matthews Internation
6.5
TRC Tejon Ranch Co.
6.0
BOC Boston Omaha Corpora
6.6
NNBR NN, Inc.
5.7
GNTA Genenta Science S.p.
5.0
PAM Pampa Energía S.A.
2.7

Valuation data pages: LGPS · HHS · MATW · TRC · BOC · NNBR · GNTA · PAM · GHC · VMI · OTTR

Which Other Stocks Score Like CODI on Quality?

Closest companies to CODI’s Quality of Company score of 6.2/10, across all industries.

Why Do CirclFi’s 6 Models Disagree on CODI?

Spread

973%

Fair Value Range

$2.00 – $21.49

A 973% spread signals high uncertainty. The investment outcome depends heavily on which scenario plays out.

Most Bullish

First Chicago

$21.49 (+93.6%)

Most Bearish

ML-RIV

$2.00 (-82.0%)

What Are the Biggest Risks of Buying CODI Stock?

Model Disagreement

973% spread signals high variance in projections.

Macro/Sector Risk

Conglomerates headwinds could affect earnings trajectory.

Model Limitations

Backward-looking models cannot predict disruptions.

Want the full 13-model breakdown?

See every fair value, confidence score, and value trap analysis.

View CODI Data Page →

So Is Compass Diversified (CODI) Worth Buying in 2026?

Our models don't have a clear verdict on Compass Diversified. At $11.10 vs. $10.94 median fair value, the median upside of -1.5% masks significant model disagreement (+175.6% spread). With quality at 6.2/10, this is a stock where the margin of error is wide and additional fundamental research is strongly recommended.

These are quantitative model outputs, not investment recommendations. Compass Diversified's future depends on factors — management execution, competitive dynamics, regulatory changes — that no algorithm can fully capture. See all 13 model estimates →

What Else Do Investors Ask About CODI Stock?

Should I buy CODI stock right now?

Based on CirclFi's multi-model analysis, 3 of 6 models see upside for CODI at $11.10. The models are divided, which means the investment case depends heavily on your assumptions about Compass Diversified's future. This is not a buy recommendation — see our full disclaimer.

What are the biggest risks of investing in Compass Diversified?

Key risks include: limited model coverage (6/13 active), reducing analytical confidence; wide model disagreement (973% spread), signaling high uncertainty; general market and sector-specific risks affecting Conglomerates companies. Always diversify and consult a financial advisor.

How does CODI compare to its competitors?

Among Conglomerates peers, CODI holds a Quality Score of 6.2/10. Comparable companies include LGPS (QOC 6.3), HHS (QOC 6.1), MATW (QOC 6.5). The relative ranking helps investors identify whether CODI offers better fundamental quality than alternatives in the same sector.

Is CODI a good long-term investment?

Long-term investment potential depends on fundamental quality and sustainable competitive advantages. CODI's Quality Score of 6.2/10 suggests moderate fundamentals — not a clear long-term hold without further research into growth catalysts. Check our full data page for all 13 model estimates.

What price should I buy CODI at?

CirclFi does not provide target buy prices or price alerts. However, our 6 active models produce fair value estimates ranging from $2.00 to $21.49. At $11.10, the stock trades within the range of model estimates. Many value investors look for a 20-30% margin of safety below intrinsic value before buying.

Want the complete picture?

See all 13 model estimates, confidence scores, and the full valuation table for CODI.

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Disclaimer: This article is produced by the CirclFi Valuation Engine using quantitative models and is for educational and informational purposes only. It is not financial advice, a buy/sell recommendation, or a solicitation to trade securities. Past performance is not indicative of future results. All data sourced from SEC EDGAR, FRED, and GDELT. Consult a licensed financial advisor before making investment decisions. Full disclaimer →