Evotec SE (EVO) Fair Value 2026

EVO · Pharmaceutical Preparations ·

By CirclFi Research Team · Data from SEC EDGAR, FRED & GDELT

Quality Score

6.5 /10

32 fundamental signals · 10 models active

Value Trap Risk

SAFE (15/100)

Quick Summary — As of 2026-07-15, Evotec SE (EVO) trades at $2.01, approximately 819% above CirclFi’s Bayesian DCF fair value of $0.22. QOC: 6.5/10. Value Trap Risk: 15/100 (SAFE). 10/13 models active.

Key Facts

Ticker
EVO
Price
$2.01
Quality Score
6.5/10
Value Trap Risk
15/100
Models Active
10/13
Last Updated
Strength: First Chicago suggests +192.4% upside with 15% confidence
Risk: Limited model coverage (10/13) may reduce confidence

Is Evotec SE (EVO) Undervalued or Overvalued in 2026?

According to CirclFi’s 10-model valuation engine, Evotec SE (EVO) appears undervalued as of : the median of 10 independent fair value estimates is $2.78, 38.1% above the current price of $2.01. Estimates range from $0.22 to $5.88. EVO scores 6.5/10 on fundamental quality and 15/100 on value-trap risk.

This verdict compares price to intrinsic value only — it is not a buy or sell rating. For the decision case (bull vs bear arguments, risk factors, peers), read Should You Buy Evotec SE Stock in 2026? →

Valuation Matrix

10 Intrinsic Value Models vs. Current Price ($2.01)

Core Models (Unlocked)
Model Fair Value Upside
Bayesian DCF
Medium Conviction
$0.22 -89.1%
CUCE Ensemble
Low Conviction
$2.64 +31.3%
First Chicago
Low Conviction
$5.88 +192.4%
ML-RIV
Medium Conviction
$0.99 -50.8%

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What Is Evotec SE (EVO) Worth in 2026?

According to the CirclFi Deep Alpha Valuation Engine, our multi-model framework produces a cautiously optimistic read on Evotec SE at $2.01. With an estimated intrinsic value of $2.85 and 7 of 10 models pointing higher, the average implied return is +41.6%. The most optimistic model, First Chicago, places fair value at $5.88 (+192.4%), while Bayesian DCF — the most conservative — estimates $0.22 (-89.1%). This +281.6% gap reflects genuine analytical uncertainty about Evotec SE's intrinsic worth.

What Do the Models Say About EVO?

10 of 13 models are currently active for EVO. Of these, 8 models suggest upside while 2 models suggest overvaluation. The Bayesian DCF estimates EVO's intrinsic value at $0.22, implying -89.1% downside from the current price. See which stocks rank higher →

How Does EVO Rank in Pharmaceutical Preparations?

Among 431 Pharmaceutical Preparations stocks, EVO ranks #83 by Quality of Company score. CirclFi's QOC score of 6.5/10 evaluates 32 fundamental signals. A score of 6.5 indicates above-average quality.

See all Most Undervalued Pharmaceutical Preparations Stocks →

Evotec SE's positioning within the Pharmaceutical Preparations segment means that R&D productivity ratio plays an outsized role in fundamental analysis. The sector's unique characteristics — including regulatory pathway clarity — shape both the opportunity set and risk profile.

Is EVO a Value Trap?

CirclFi's Value Trap algorithm assigns EVO a score of 15/100 (SAFE). This indicates minimal risk. Fundamentals are healthy. The score cross-references apparent undervaluation against fundamental deterioration signals. Browse lowest value-trap stocks →

Multi-Model Methodology

10 of 13 models are active for Evotec SE. Broad coverage provides high confidence. Each model applies a fundamentally different valuation philosophy. See the complete methodology →

According to the CirclFi Deep Alpha Valuation Engine, Evotec SE scores 6.5 out of 10 on our 32-signal quality assessment, a solid rating that maintains reasonable quality metrics with some areas for improvement. The QOC score synthesizes profitability margins, revenue growth reliability, debt management, and capital allocation into a single metric designed to separate durable businesses from statistically cheap ones.

The gap between the most bullish and bearish model spans +281.6% — demonstrating why single-model analysis is dangerous. Browse all stocks with 13-model coverage →

Data Sources & Confidence

Every EVO valuation is built from SEC EDGAR XBRL filings — 700+ standardized financial tags. Macroeconomic context from FRED calibrates discount rates, while GDELT news sentiment feeds into our Sentiment SOTP model. All pipelines run daily. Read the complete data methodology →

Across EVO's 10 active models, average confidence is 20%. Lower confidence may reflect limited history or high volatility.

CirclFi's output is a research starting point, not a buy/sell signal. All data updates daily. Read the full methodology →

This analysis is produced by the CirclFi Valuation Engine using quantitative models applied to SEC EDGAR filings, public market feeds, and FRED macroeconomic indicators. It is not financial advice.

Read the full investment analysis: Should You Buy Evotec SE Stock in 2026? →

Bull case, bear case, risk factors & peer comparison — updated daily

Which Similar Pharmaceutical Preparations Stocks Should You Also Analyze?

8 related Pharmaceutical Preparations stocks with 13-model coverage

Read investment analysis: AZN · CPRX · HRMY · NVO · SIGA

See all Pharmaceutical Preparations stocks ranked →

Frequently Asked Questions About Evotec SE

What is Evotec SE's intrinsic value in 2026?

Based on CirclFi's 13-model analysis, Evotec SE (EVO) has multiple fair value estimates. The Bayesian DCF model runs 10,000 Monte Carlo simulations with jump-diffusion to estimate intrinsic value at $0.22. The Quality of Company score is 6.5/10 across 32 fundamental signals. All models use SEC EDGAR filings updated daily. See our methodology page for how each model works.

Is EVO overvalued or undervalued right now?

At $2.01, 8 of 10 active models suggest EVO may be undervalued, while 2 indicate potential overvaluation. The median of all 10 fair value estimates is $2.78, 38.1% above the current price of $2.01 — a consensus view that EVO is undervalued. The assessment depends on which methodology best fits Evotec SE's business model in Pharmaceutical Preparations.

What does a Quality of Company score of 6.5 mean for EVO?

Evotec SE's QOC of 6.5/10 reflects 32 fundamental signals: profitability margins, revenue growth consistency, balance sheet leverage, free cash flow generation, and capital allocation efficiency. Scores between 5-7 reflect moderate fundamentals with areas for improvement.

How many valuation models does CirclFi run on EVO?

CirclFi analyzes EVO with 13 institutional-grade models daily: Bayesian DCF (Monte Carlo + jump-diffusion), EPV (Greenwald zero-growth), EROIC Spread (McKinsey reinvestment), First Chicago (3-scenario), Markov DDM (regime-switching), ML-RIV (machine learning residual income), Dynamic NAV (asset-based), PWERM (option-theoretic), Regime Cross-Sectional (relative), Sentiment SOTP (hybrid), CUCE Ensemble (meta-model), FTNN Topology (neural network), and RCMH-DCF (conditional regime). Currently 10 of 13 are active for this stock. Read the full methodology →

Is EVO a value trap in 2026?

Evotec SE's Value Trap score is 15/100 (SAFE). This low score indicates the current valuation is not artificially depressed by fundamental deterioration, suggesting genuine opportunity rather than a trap. Browse stocks by value-trap risk →

Cite this analysis — “According to CirclFi’s 10-model valuation engine, Evotec SE (EVO) has a median fair value of $2.78 — 38.1% above the current price of $2.01 — as of 2026-07-15.” Source: circlfi.com/stock/EVO/ · Methodology

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