What Is SIGA Technologies Inc. (SIGA) Worth in 2026?
According to the CirclFi Deep Alpha Valuation Engine, SIGA Technologies Inc.'s intrinsic value is estimated at a composite fair value of $6.73. At a current market price of $3.61, 11 of 12 active valuation models identify upside potential, projecting an average implied return of +86.5%. Notably, RCMH-DCF sees the most upside at +232.5% (fair value: $12.00), while Dynamic NAV is the most conservative at -53.1% ($1.69). The spread between these extremes — +285.7% — reveals how different analytical frameworks can reach starkly different conclusions.
What Do the Models Say About SIGA?
12 of 13 models are currently active for SIGA. Of these, 11 models suggest upside while 1 model suggests overvaluation. The Bayesian DCF estimates SIGA's intrinsic value at $10.44, implying +189.1% upside from the current price. See which stocks rank higher →
How Does SIGA Rank in Pharmaceutical Preparations?
Among 440 Pharmaceutical Preparations stocks, SIGA ranks #5 by Quality of Company score. CirclFi's QOC score of 10.0/10 evaluates 32 fundamental signals. A score of 10.0 places SIGA in the top tier.
See all Most Undervalued Pharmaceutical Preparations Stocks →
SIGA Technologies Inc.'s positioning within the Pharmaceutical Preparations segment means that R&D productivity ratio plays an outsized role in fundamental analysis. The sector's unique characteristics — including licensing and M&A optionality — shape both the opportunity set and risk profile.
Is SIGA a Value Trap?
CirclFi's Value Trap algorithm assigns SIGA a score of 18/100 (SAFE). This indicates minimal risk. Fundamentals are healthy. The score cross-references apparent undervaluation against fundamental deterioration signals. Browse lowest value-trap stocks →
Multi-Model Methodology
12 of 13 models are active for SIGA Technologies Inc.. Broad coverage provides high confidence. Each model applies a fundamentally different valuation philosophy. See the complete methodology →
According to the CirclFi Quality of Company (QOC) framework, SIGA Technologies Inc. earns a quality score of 10.0/10. This exceptional rating reflects the company's standing across 32 fundamental signals spanning profitability, growth consistency, balance sheet strength, and capital allocation efficiency.
The gap between the most bullish and bearish model spans +285.7% — demonstrating why single-model analysis is dangerous. Browse all stocks with 13-model coverage →
Data Sources & Confidence
Every SIGA valuation is built from SEC EDGAR XBRL filings — 700+ standardized financial tags. Macroeconomic context from FRED calibrates discount rates, while GDELT news sentiment feeds into our Sentiment SOTP model. All pipelines run daily. Read the complete data methodology →
Across SIGA's 12 active models, average confidence is 45%. Lower confidence may reflect limited history or high volatility.
CirclFi's output is a research starting point, not a buy/sell signal. All data updates daily. Read the full methodology →
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