Hasbro, Inc. (HAS) Fair Value 2026

HAS · Leisure ·

By CirclFi Research Team · Data from SEC EDGAR, FRED & GDELT

Quality Score

7.2 /10

32 fundamental signals · 7 models active

Value Trap Risk

SAFE (18/100)

Quick Summary — As of 2026-08-28, Hasbro, Inc. (HAS) trades at $94.23, versus a $93.80 median fair value across its 7 active models — 0.5% below the current price. QOC: 7.2/10. Value Trap Risk: 18/100 (SAFE). 7/13 models active. Within that set, the Bayesian DCF component alone returns $192.89.

Key Facts

Ticker
HAS
Price
$94.23
Quality Score
7.2/10
Value Trap Risk
18/100
Models Active
7/13
Last Updated
Strength: Bayesian DCF suggests +104.7% upside with 71% confidence
Risk: Majority of models suggest overvaluation

Is Hasbro, Inc. (HAS) Undervalued or Overvalued in 2026?

According to CirclFi’s 7-model valuation engine, Hasbro, Inc. (HAS) appears fairly valued as of : the median of 7 independent fair value estimates is $93.80, essentially in line with the current price of $94.23. Estimates range from $9.79 to $192.89. HAS scores 7.2/10 on fundamental quality and 18/100 on value-trap risk.

For context, the median US equity CirclFi rates trades at an implied -23.4% versus its own 13-model consensus, across 3,809 rated companies as of 2026-08-28. HAS’s -0.5% gap is narrower than that market norm, and the Leisure sector median is -27.7%. Full market index →

This verdict compares price to intrinsic value only — it is not a buy or sell rating. For the decision case (bull vs bear arguments, risk factors, peers), read Should You Buy Hasbro, Inc. Stock in 2026? →

What Fair Value Does Each Model Give HAS?

7 Intrinsic Value Models vs. Current Price ($94.23)

Core Models (Unlocked)
Model Fair Value Upside
Intrinsic · High Conviction
 $192.89 +104.7%
Intrinsic · High Conviction
 $9.79 -89.6%
Ensemble · Low Conviction
 $93.80 -0.5%
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What Is HAS's Fair Value Range?

Spread across 7 independent models · $9.79 to $192.89

CirclFi's 7 active models place Hasbro, Inc. (HAS) between $9.79 and $192.89 per share, a spread of 195% of the median. The median of that range — $93.80 — is the fair value CirclFi publishes for HAS, against a current price of $94.23.

Low · EPVHigh · Bayesian DCF
$9.79median $93.80$192.89
Where the range comes from
Most bearish modelEarnings Power Value (EPV)$9.79
Most bullish modelBayesian DCF$192.89
Model agreement3 bullish · 3 bearishwide

A band this wide is itself the finding. When independent methods land far apart, they are reading a business whose value depends heavily on which lens you apply — volatile earnings, heavy reinvestment, or an asset base that cash-flow and asset-based methods score differently. That disagreement is information: it says the choice of method matters more than usual for HAS. Treat the median as one reading among several and compare the individual models below before acting.

Every figure above is one model's standalone output on HAS, not a CirclFi price target. How each model works →

What Is Hasbro, Inc. (HAS) Worth in 2026?

According to the CirclFi Deep Alpha Valuation Engine, Hasbro, Inc.'s intrinsic value is estimated at $93.80, presenting a divided outlook at the current price of $94.23. With a median implied return of -0.5% across a split 3–3 (bull–bear) consensus, the model spread of +194.3% underscores analytical uncertainty. Notably, Bayesian DCF sees the most upside at +104.7% (fair value: $192.89), while EPV is the most conservative at -89.6% ($9.79). The spread between these extremes — +194.3% — reveals how different analytical frameworks can reach starkly different conclusions. Among models with highest confidence, Bayesian DCF, EPV lean bearish — adding weight to the bearish side of the thesis.

What Do the Models Say About HAS?

7 of 13 models are currently active for HAS. Of these, 3 models suggest upside while 4 models suggest overvaluation. Taken together, their median fair value for HAS is $93.80 — the figure CirclFi publishes as this stock's fair value. One component of that median, the Bayesian DCF, returns $192.89 on its own, implying +104.7% upside from the current price. See which stocks rank higher →

How Does HAS Rank in Leisure?

Among 37 Leisure stocks, HAS ranks #14 by Quality of Company score. CirclFi's QOC score of 7.2/10 evaluates 32 fundamental signals. A score of 7.2 indicates above-average quality.

Hasbro, Inc. operates in a competitive landscape where fundamental quality metrics are key differentiators for long-term value creation.

Is HAS a Value Trap?

CirclFi's Value Trap algorithm assigns HAS a score of 18/100 (SAFE). This indicates minimal risk. Fundamentals are healthy. The score cross-references apparent undervaluation against fundamental deterioration signals. Browse lowest value-trap stocks →

Multi-Model Methodology

7 of 13 models are active for Hasbro, Inc.. Moderate coverage provides meaningful perspective. Each model applies a fundamentally different valuation philosophy. See the complete methodology →

According to the CirclFi Deep Alpha Valuation Engine, Hasbro, Inc. scores 7.2 out of 10 on our 32-signal quality assessment, a solid rating that maintains reasonable quality metrics with some areas for improvement. The QOC score synthesizes profitability margins, revenue growth reliability, debt management, and capital allocation into a single metric designed to separate durable businesses from statistically cheap ones.

The gap between the most bullish and bearish model spans +194.3% — demonstrating why single-model analysis is dangerous. Browse all stocks with 13-model coverage →

Data Sources & Confidence

Every HAS valuation is built from SEC EDGAR XBRL filings — 700+ standardized financial tags. Macroeconomic context from FRED calibrates discount rates, while GDELT news sentiment feeds into our Sentiment SOTP model. All pipelines run daily. Read the complete data methodology →

Across HAS's 7 active models, average confidence is 50%. Moderate confidence indicates reasonable fit.

CirclFi's output is a research starting point, not a buy/sell signal. All data updates daily. Read the full methodology →

This analysis is produced by the CirclFi Valuation Engine using quantitative models applied to SEC EDGAR filings, public market feeds, and FRED macroeconomic indicators. It is not financial advice.

Read the full investment analysis: Should You Buy Hasbro, Inc. Stock in 2026? →

Bull case, bear case, risk factors & peer comparison — updated daily

Which Similar Leisure Stocks Should You Also Analyze?

11 related Leisure stocks with 13-model coverage

JAKKJAKKS Pacific, Inc.QOC 7.5JOUTJohnson Outdoors Inc.QOC 7.0CALYCallaway Golf CompanyQOC 7.5AOUTAmerican Outdoor Brands, Inc.QOC 7.0PTONPeloton Interactive, Inc.QOC 7.8PRKAParks! America, Inc.QOC 6.9NOMANomadar Corp.QOC 6.0KBSXFST Corp.QOC 3.1MATMattel, Inc.QOC 8.4GOLFAcushnet Holdings Corp.QOC 8.9PLNTPlanet Fitness, Inc.QOC 8.7

Read investment analysis: JAKK · JOUT · CALY · AOUT · PTON · PRKA · NOMA · KBSX · MAT · GOLF · PLNT

Which Other Stocks Have a Similar Quality Score to HAS?

7 companies across all industries closest to HAS’s Quality of Company score of 7.2/10.

ALTOAlto Ingredients, Inc.QOC 7.2IMOSChipMOS TECHNOLOGIES INC.QOC 7.2ESEversource EnergyQOC 7.2NHINational Health Investors, Inc.QOC 7.2STGWStagwell Inc.QOC 7.2ALOTAstroNova, Inc.QOC 7.2NVDANVIDIA CorporationQOC 10.0

Read investment analysis: ALTO · IMOS · ES · NHI · STGW · ALOT · NVDA

What Else Do Investors Ask About Hasbro, Inc.’s Valuation?

What is Hasbro, Inc.'s intrinsic value in 2026?

CirclFi puts Hasbro, Inc. (HAS)'s intrinsic value at $93.80 — the median of 7 independent model estimates as of 2026-08-28, ranging from $9.79 to $192.89. One component of that median, the Bayesian DCF, runs 10,000 Monte Carlo simulations with jump-diffusion and returns $192.89 on its own. The Quality of Company score is 7.2/10 across 32 fundamental signals. All models use SEC EDGAR filings updated daily. See our methodology page for how each model works.

Is HAS overvalued or undervalued right now?

At $94.23, 3 of 7 active models suggest HAS may be undervalued, while 4 indicate potential overvaluation. The median of all 7 fair value estimates is $93.80, essentially in line with the current price of $94.23 — a consensus view that HAS is fairly valued. The assessment depends on which methodology best fits Hasbro, Inc.'s business model in Leisure.

What does a Quality of Company score of 7.2 mean for HAS?

Hasbro, Inc.'s QOC of 7.2/10 reflects 32 fundamental signals: profitability margins, revenue growth consistency, balance sheet leverage, free cash flow generation, and capital allocation efficiency. Scores above 7 indicate strong fundamentals and disciplined management.

How many valuation models does CirclFi run on HAS?

CirclFi analyzes HAS with 13 institutional-grade models daily: Bayesian DCF (Monte Carlo + jump-diffusion), EPV (Greenwald zero-growth), EROIC Spread (McKinsey reinvestment), First Chicago (3-scenario), Markov DDM (regime-switching), ML-RIV (machine learning residual income), Dynamic NAV (asset-based), PWERM (option-theoretic), Regime Cross-Sectional (relative), Sentiment SOTP (hybrid), CUCE Ensemble (meta-model), FTNN Topology (neural network), and RCMH-DCF (conditional regime). Currently 7 of 13 are active for this stock. Read the full methodology →

Which valuation models are most bullish and most bearish on HAS?

Of the 7 models currently active on HAS, Bayesian DCF is the most bullish at $192.89 per share, and Earnings Power Value (EPV) is the most bearish at $9.79. CirclFi's published fair value for HAS is the median of that range, $93.80, not either extreme. The gap between the two ends equals 195% of the median — a wide spread, meaning the methods genuinely disagree and the median should carry less weight. Browse stocks by value-trap risk →

Is HAS a value trap in 2026?

Hasbro, Inc.'s Value Trap score is 18/100 (SAFE). This low score indicates the current valuation is not artificially depressed by fundamental deterioration, suggesting genuine opportunity rather than a trap.

Cite this analysis — “According to CirclFi’s 7-model valuation engine, Hasbro, Inc. (HAS) has a median fair value of $93.80 — essentially in line with the current price of $94.23 — as of 2026-08-28.” Source: circlfi.com/stock/HAS/ · Methodology
Primary sources for this HAS valuation
  • Financial statements: Hasbro, Inc. 10-K and 10-Q filings on SEC EDGAR (CIK 0000046080) — 700+ standardized XBRL tags, published by the U.S. Securities and Exchange Commission.
  • Discount-rate inputs: FRED, Federal Reserve Bank of St. Louis — risk-free rates, VIX, yield curve, inflation.
  • News sentiment: The GDELT Project — global media tone, input to the Sentiment SOTP model.
  • Model definitions: CirclFi methodology — the published specification for all 13 models, including the academic sources each one implements.

Market data for HAS as of ; valuations recomputed .

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