Callaway Golf Company (CALY) Fair Value 2026

CALY · Leisure ·

By CirclFi Research Team · Data from SEC EDGAR, FRED & GDELT

Quality Score

7.5 /10

32 fundamental signals · 11 models active

Value Trap Risk

LOW (29/100)

Quick Summary — As of 2026-10-07, Callaway Golf Company (CALY) trades at $14.28, versus a $14.37 median fair value across its 11 active models — 0.6% above the current price. QOC: 7.5/10. Value Trap Risk: 29/100 (LOW). 11/13 models active. Within that set, the Bayesian DCF component alone returns $24.56.

Key Facts

Ticker
CALY
Price
$14.28
Quality Score
7.5/10
Value Trap Risk
29/100
Models Active
11/13
Last Updated
Strength: Bayesian DCF suggests +72.0% upside with 67% confidence
Risk: Limited model coverage (11/13) may reduce confidence

Is Callaway Golf Company (CALY) Undervalued or Overvalued in 2026?

According to CirclFi’s 11-model valuation engine, Callaway Golf Company (CALY) appears fairly valued as of : the median of 11 independent fair value estimates is $14.37, essentially in line with the current price of $14.28. Estimates range from $3.57 to $33.02. CALY scores 7.5/10 on fundamental quality and 29/100 on value-trap risk.

For context, the median US equity CirclFi rates trades at an implied -20.1% versus its own 13-model consensus, across 3,777 rated companies as of 2026-10-07. CALY’s +0.6% gap is narrower than that market norm, and the Leisure sector median is -18.5%. Full market index →

This verdict compares price to intrinsic value only — it is not a buy or sell rating. For the decision case (bull vs bear arguments, risk factors, peers), read Should You Buy Callaway Golf Company Stock in 2026? →

What Fair Value Does Each Model Give CALY?

11 Intrinsic Value Models vs. Current Price ($14.28)

Core Models (Unlocked)
Model Fair Value Upside
Intrinsic · High Conviction
 $24.56 +72.0%
Intrinsic · High Conviction
 $3.57 -75.0%
Ensemble · Low Conviction
 $14.37 +0.6%
Scenario · High Conviction
 $15.78 +10.5%
Unlock the Full Matrix

Access 7 additional models including EROIC Spread, ML-RIV, and more.

$2 / day

Billed monthly ($60/mo) or annually ($299/yr)

Unlock All 11 Models →

Cancel anytime · No contracts · Instant access

What Is CALY's Fair Value Range?

Spread across 11 independent models · $3.57 to $33.02

CirclFi's 11 active models place Callaway Golf Company (CALY) between $3.57 and $33.02 per share, a spread of 205% of the median. The median of that range — $14.37 — is the fair value CirclFi publishes for CALY, against a current price of $14.28.

Low · EPVHigh · RCMH-DCF
$3.57median $14.37$33.02
Where the range comes from
Most bearish modelEarnings Power Value (EPV)$3.57
Most bullish modelRCMH-DCF$33.02
Model agreement5 bullish · 5 bearishwide

A band this wide is itself the finding. When independent methods land far apart, they are reading a business whose value depends heavily on which lens you apply — volatile earnings, heavy reinvestment, or an asset base that cash-flow and asset-based methods score differently. That disagreement is information: it says the choice of method matters more than usual for CALY. Treat the median as one reading among several and compare the individual models below before acting.

Every figure above is one model's standalone output on CALY, not a CirclFi price target. How each model works →

What Is Callaway Golf Company (CALY) Worth in 2026?

According to the CirclFi Deep Alpha Valuation Engine, Callaway Golf Company's intrinsic value is estimated at a median $14.37, showing conflicting signals at the current price of $14.28. While the median implied return is +0.6%, model disagreement is elevated with a gap of +206.2% between the most bullish and bearish estimates. The most optimistic model, RCMH-DCF, places fair value at $33.02 (+131.2%), while EPV — the most conservative — estimates $3.57 (-75.0%). This +206.2% gap reflects genuine analytical uncertainty about Callaway Golf Company's intrinsic worth.

What Do the Models Say About CALY?

11 of 13 models are currently active for CALY. Of these, 6 models suggest upside while 5 models suggest overvaluation. Taken together, their median fair value for CALY is $14.37 — the figure CirclFi publishes as this stock's fair value. One component of that median, the Bayesian DCF, returns $24.56 on its own, implying +72.0% upside from the current price. See which stocks rank higher →

How Does CALY Rank in Leisure?

Among 34 Leisure stocks, CALY ranks #12 by Quality of Company score. CirclFi's QOC score of 7.5/10 evaluates 32 fundamental signals. A score of 7.5 indicates above-average quality.

Callaway Golf Company operates in a competitive landscape where fundamental quality metrics are key differentiators for long-term value creation.

Is CALY a Value Trap?

CirclFi's Value Trap algorithm assigns CALY a score of 29/100 (LOW). This indicates low risk. The financial profile does not exhibit typical value trap warning signs. The score cross-references apparent undervaluation against fundamental deterioration signals. Browse lowest value-trap stocks →

Multi-Model Methodology

11 of 13 models are active for Callaway Golf Company. Broad coverage provides high confidence. Each model applies a fundamentally different valuation philosophy. See the complete methodology →

According to the CirclFi 32-factor quality framework, Callaway Golf Company's fundamental quality profile registers 7.5/10. This robust score captures the company's profitability depth, growth consistency, balance sheet resilience, and shareholder return track record.

The gap between the most bullish and bearish model spans +206.2% — demonstrating why single-model analysis is dangerous. Browse all stocks with 13-model coverage →

Data Sources & Confidence

Every CALY valuation is built from SEC EDGAR XBRL filings — 700+ standardized financial tags. Macroeconomic context from FRED calibrates discount rates, while GDELT news sentiment feeds into our Sentiment SOTP model. All pipelines run daily. Read the complete data methodology →

Across CALY's 11 active models, average confidence is 49%. Lower confidence may reflect limited history or high volatility.

CirclFi's output is a research starting point, not a buy/sell signal. All data updates daily. Read the full methodology →

This analysis is produced by the CirclFi Valuation Engine using quantitative models applied to SEC EDGAR filings, public market feeds, and FRED macroeconomic indicators. It is not financial advice.

Read the full investment analysis: Should You Buy Callaway Golf Company Stock in 2026? →

Bull case, bear case, risk factors & peer comparison — updated daily

Which Similar Leisure Stocks Should You Also Analyze?

11 related Leisure stocks with 13-model coverage

PTONPeloton Interactive, Inc.QOC 7.8JAKKJAKKS Pacific, Inc.QOC 7.5ESCAEscalade, IncorporatedQOC 7.8HASHasbro, Inc.QOC 7.2LEATLeatt CorporationQOC 7.9AOUTAmerican Outdoor Brands, Inc.QOC 7.1FUNSix Flags Entertainment CorporationQOC 6.3KBSXFST Corp.QOC 3.1YETIYETI Holdings, Inc.QOC 8.6GOLFAcushnet Holdings Corp.QOC 8.9PLNTPlanet Fitness, Inc.QOC 8.7

Read investment analysis: PTON · JAKK · ESCA · HAS · LEAT · AOUT · FUN · KBSX · YETI · GOLF · PLNT

Which Other Stocks Have a Similar Quality Score to CALY?

7 companies across all industries closest to CALY’s Quality of Company score of 7.5/10.

MURMurphy Oil CorporationQOC 7.5RLJRLJ Lodging TrustQOC 7.5MSGSMadison Square Garden Sports Corp.QOC 7.5FSBWFS Bancorp, Inc.QOC 7.5SIBNSI-BONE, Inc.QOC 7.5VTSVitesse Energy, Inc.QOC 7.5NVDANVIDIA CorporationQOC 10.0

Read investment analysis: MUR · RLJ · MSGS · FSBW · SIBN · VTS · NVDA

What Else Do Investors Ask About Callaway Golf Company’s Valuation?

What is Callaway Golf Company's intrinsic value in 2026?

CirclFi puts Callaway Golf Company (CALY)'s intrinsic value at $14.37 — the median of 11 independent model estimates as of 2026-10-07, ranging from $3.57 to $33.02. One component of that median, the Bayesian DCF, runs 10,000 Monte Carlo simulations with jump-diffusion and returns $24.56 on its own. The Quality of Company score is 7.5/10 across 32 fundamental signals. All models use SEC EDGAR filings updated daily. See our methodology page for how each model works.

Is CALY overvalued or undervalued right now?

At $14.28, 6 of 11 active models suggest CALY may be undervalued, while 5 indicate potential overvaluation. The median of all 11 fair value estimates is $14.37, essentially in line with the current price of $14.28 — a consensus view that CALY is fairly valued. The assessment depends on which methodology best fits Callaway Golf Company's business model in Leisure.

What does a Quality of Company score of 7.5 mean for CALY?

Callaway Golf Company's QOC of 7.5/10 reflects 32 fundamental signals: profitability margins, revenue growth consistency, balance sheet leverage, free cash flow generation, and capital allocation efficiency. Scores above 7 indicate strong fundamentals and disciplined management.

How many valuation models does CirclFi run on CALY?

CirclFi analyzes CALY with 13 institutional-grade models daily: Bayesian DCF (Monte Carlo + jump-diffusion), EPV (Greenwald zero-growth), EROIC Spread (McKinsey reinvestment), First Chicago (3-scenario), Markov DDM (regime-switching), ML-RIV (machine learning residual income), Dynamic NAV (asset-based), PWERM (option-theoretic), Regime Cross-Sectional (relative), Sentiment SOTP (hybrid), CUCE Ensemble (meta-model), FTNN Topology (neural network), and RCMH-DCF (conditional regime). Currently 11 of 13 are active for this stock. Read the full methodology →

Which valuation models are most bullish and most bearish on CALY?

Of the 11 models currently active on CALY, RCMH-DCF is the most bullish at $33.02 per share, and Earnings Power Value (EPV) is the most bearish at $3.57. CirclFi's published fair value for CALY is the median of that range, $14.37, not either extreme. The gap between the two ends equals 205% of the median — a wide spread, meaning the methods genuinely disagree and the median should carry less weight. Browse stocks by value-trap risk →

Is CALY a value trap in 2026?

Callaway Golf Company's Value Trap score is 29/100 (LOW). This low score indicates the current valuation is not artificially depressed by fundamental deterioration, suggesting genuine opportunity rather than a trap.

Cite this analysis — “According to CirclFi’s 11-model valuation engine, Callaway Golf Company (CALY) has a median fair value of $14.37 — essentially in line with the current price of $14.28 — as of 2026-10-07.” Source: circlfi.com/stock/CALY/ · Methodology
Primary sources for this CALY valuation
  • Financial statements: Callaway Golf Company 10-K and 10-Q filings on SEC EDGAR (CIK 0000837465) — 700+ standardized XBRL tags, published by the U.S. Securities and Exchange Commission.
  • Discount-rate inputs: FRED, Federal Reserve Bank of St. Louis — risk-free rates, VIX, yield curve, inflation.
  • News sentiment: The GDELT Project — global media tone, input to the Sentiment SOTP model.
  • Model definitions: CirclFi methodology — the published specification for all 13 models, including the academic sources each one implements.

Market data for CALY as of ; valuations recomputed .

You’ve done the research. Don’t stop at half the picture.

Stop collecting opinions. Let 11 mathematical frameworks give you clarity on CALY.

Unlock All 11 Fair Values — $60/mo

Cancel anytime · Less than a cup of coffee · Instant access

7 models hidden for CALY Unlock All 11 — $60/mo