Escalade, Incorporated (ESCA) Fair Value 2026

ESCA · Leisure ·

By CirclFi Research Team · Data from SEC EDGAR, FRED & GDELT

Quality Score

7.8 /10

32 fundamental signals · 11 models active

Value Trap Risk

LOW (28/100)

Quick Summary — As of 2026-08-27, Escalade, Incorporated (ESCA) trades at $20.05, versus a $16.32 median fair value across its 11 active models — 18.6% below the current price. QOC: 7.8/10. Value Trap Risk: 28/100 (LOW). 11/13 models active. Within that set, the Bayesian DCF component alone returns $18.81.

Key Facts

Ticker
ESCA
Price
$20.05
Quality Score
7.8/10
Value Trap Risk
28/100
Models Active
11/13
Last Updated
Strength: 11 independent models provide multi-angle coverage
Risk: Majority of models suggest overvaluation

Is Escalade, Incorporated (ESCA) Undervalued or Overvalued in 2026?

According to CirclFi’s 11-model valuation engine, Escalade, Incorporated (ESCA) appears overvalued as of : the median of 11 independent fair value estimates is $16.32, 18.6% below the current price of $20.05. Estimates range from $6.64 to $36.80. ESCA scores 7.8/10 on fundamental quality and 28/100 on value-trap risk.

For context, the median US equity CirclFi rates trades at an implied -23.7% versus its own 13-model consensus, across 3,801 rated companies as of 2026-08-27. ESCA’s -18.6% gap is narrower than that market norm, and the Leisure sector median is -28.3%. Full market index →

This verdict compares price to intrinsic value only — it is not a buy or sell rating. For the decision case (bull vs bear arguments, risk factors, peers), read Should You Buy Escalade, Incorporated Stock in 2026? →

What Fair Value Does Each Model Give ESCA?

11 Intrinsic Value Models vs. Current Price ($20.05)

Core Models (Unlocked)
Model Fair Value Upside
Intrinsic · High Conviction
 $18.81 -6.2%
Intrinsic · High Conviction
 $13.15 -34.4%
Ensemble · Medium Conviction
 $16.32 -18.6%
Intrinsic · High Conviction
 $13.05 -34.9%
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What Is ESCA's Fair Value Range?

Spread across 11 independent models · $6.64 to $36.80

CirclFi's 11 active models place Escalade, Incorporated (ESCA) between $6.64 and $36.80 per share, a spread of 185% of the median. The median of that range — $16.32 — is the fair value CirclFi publishes for ESCA, against a current price of $20.05.

Low · Dynamic NAVHigh · RCMH-DCF
$6.64median $16.32$36.80
Where the range comes from
Most bearish modelDynamic NAV$6.64
Most bullish modelRCMH-DCF$36.80
Model agreement2 bullish · 8 bearishwide

A band this wide is itself the finding. When independent methods land far apart, they are reading a business whose value depends heavily on which lens you apply — volatile earnings, heavy reinvestment, or an asset base that cash-flow and asset-based methods score differently. That disagreement is information: it says the choice of method matters more than usual for ESCA. Treat the median as one reading among several and compare the individual models below before acting.

Every figure above is one model's standalone output on ESCA, not a CirclFi price target. How each model works →

What Is Escalade, Incorporated (ESCA) Worth in 2026?

According to the CirclFi Deep Alpha Valuation Engine, Escalade, Incorporated's intrinsic value is estimated at a median fair value of $16.32. Trading at $20.05, the stock is approaching fair value or slight overvaluation (implied return of -18.6%), as 8 of 11 models suggest limited further upside. Model dispersion is worth noting: RCMH-DCF targets $36.80 (+83.5%), versus Dynamic NAV at $6.64 (-66.9%). This +150.4% range highlights the importance of multi-model analysis rather than relying on any single methodology. Among models with highest confidence, Bayesian DCF, EPV lean bearish — adding weight to the bearish side of the thesis.

What Do the Models Say About ESCA?

11 of 13 models are currently active for ESCA. Of these, 2 models suggest upside while 9 models suggest overvaluation. Taken together, their median fair value for ESCA is $16.32 — the figure CirclFi publishes as this stock's fair value. One component of that median, the Bayesian DCF, returns $18.81 on its own, implying -6.2% downside from the current price. See which stocks rank higher →

How Does ESCA Rank in Leisure?

Among 37 Leisure stocks, ESCA ranks #10 by Quality of Company score. CirclFi's QOC score of 7.8/10 evaluates 32 fundamental signals. A score of 7.8 indicates above-average quality.

Escalade, Incorporated operates in a competitive landscape where fundamental quality metrics are key differentiators for long-term value creation.

Is ESCA a Value Trap?

CirclFi's Value Trap algorithm assigns ESCA a score of 28/100 (LOW). This indicates low risk. The financial profile does not exhibit typical value trap warning signs. The score cross-references apparent undervaluation against fundamental deterioration signals. Browse lowest value-trap stocks →

Multi-Model Methodology

11 of 13 models are active for Escalade, Incorporated. Broad coverage provides high confidence. Each model applies a fundamentally different valuation philosophy. See the complete methodology →

According to the CirclFi Quality of Company (QOC) framework, Escalade, Incorporated earns a quality score of 7.8/10. This robust rating reflects the company's standing across 32 fundamental signals spanning profitability, growth consistency, balance sheet strength, and capital allocation efficiency.

The gap between the most bullish and bearish model spans +150.4% — demonstrating why single-model analysis is dangerous. Browse all stocks with 13-model coverage →

Data Sources & Confidence

Every ESCA valuation is built from SEC EDGAR XBRL filings — 700+ standardized financial tags. Macroeconomic context from FRED calibrates discount rates, while GDELT news sentiment feeds into our Sentiment SOTP model. All pipelines run daily. Read the complete data methodology →

Across ESCA's 11 active models, average confidence is 55%. Moderate confidence indicates reasonable fit.

CirclFi's output is a research starting point, not a buy/sell signal. All data updates daily. Read the full methodology →

This analysis is produced by the CirclFi Valuation Engine using quantitative models applied to SEC EDGAR filings, public market feeds, and FRED macroeconomic indicators. It is not financial advice.

Read the full investment analysis: Should You Buy Escalade, Incorporated Stock in 2026? →

Bull case, bear case, risk factors & peer comparison — updated daily

Which Similar Leisure Stocks Should You Also Analyze?

11 related Leisure stocks with 13-model coverage

LEATLeatt CorporationQOC 7.9PTONPeloton Interactive, Inc.QOC 7.8LTHLife Time Group Holdings, Inc.QOC 7.9CALYCallaway Golf CompanyQOC 7.5HEREHere Group LimitedQOC 7.9JAKKJAKKS Pacific, Inc.QOC 7.5BWMGBrownie's Marine Group, Inc.QOC 6.3TRUGTruGolf Holdings, Inc.QOC 5.2GDHGGolden Heaven Group Holdings Ltd.QOC 1.7GOLFAcushnet Holdings Corp.QOC 8.9PLNTPlanet Fitness, Inc.QOC 8.7

Read investment analysis: LEAT · PTON · LTH · CALY · HERE · JAKK · BWMG · TRUG · GDHG · GOLF · PLNT

Which Other Stocks Have a Similar Quality Score to ESCA?

7 companies across all industries closest to ESCA’s Quality of Company score of 7.8/10.

DTMDT Midstream, Inc.QOC 7.8NKSHNational Bankshares, Inc.QOC 7.8VIVTelefônica Brasil S.A.QOC 7.8PDFSPDF Solutions, Inc.QOC 7.8BURLBurlington Stores, Inc.QOC 7.8ATRCAtriCure, Inc.QOC 7.8NVDANVIDIA CorporationQOC 10.0

Read investment analysis: DTM · NKSH · VIV · PDFS · BURL · ATRC · NVDA

What Else Do Investors Ask About Escalade, Incorporated’s Valuation?

What is Escalade, Incorporated's intrinsic value in 2026?

CirclFi puts Escalade, Incorporated (ESCA)'s intrinsic value at $16.32 — the median of 11 independent model estimates as of 2026-08-27, ranging from $6.64 to $36.80. One component of that median, the Bayesian DCF, runs 10,000 Monte Carlo simulations with jump-diffusion and returns $18.81 on its own. The Quality of Company score is 7.8/10 across 32 fundamental signals. All models use SEC EDGAR filings updated daily. See our methodology page for how each model works.

Is ESCA overvalued or undervalued right now?

At $20.05, 2 of 11 active models suggest ESCA may be undervalued, while 9 indicate potential overvaluation. The median of all 11 fair value estimates is $16.32, 18.6% below the current price of $20.05 — a consensus view that ESCA is overvalued. The assessment depends on which methodology best fits Escalade, Incorporated's business model in Leisure.

What does a Quality of Company score of 7.8 mean for ESCA?

Escalade, Incorporated's QOC of 7.8/10 reflects 32 fundamental signals: profitability margins, revenue growth consistency, balance sheet leverage, free cash flow generation, and capital allocation efficiency. Scores above 7 indicate strong fundamentals and disciplined management.

How many valuation models does CirclFi run on ESCA?

CirclFi analyzes ESCA with 13 institutional-grade models daily: Bayesian DCF (Monte Carlo + jump-diffusion), EPV (Greenwald zero-growth), EROIC Spread (McKinsey reinvestment), First Chicago (3-scenario), Markov DDM (regime-switching), ML-RIV (machine learning residual income), Dynamic NAV (asset-based), PWERM (option-theoretic), Regime Cross-Sectional (relative), Sentiment SOTP (hybrid), CUCE Ensemble (meta-model), FTNN Topology (neural network), and RCMH-DCF (conditional regime). Currently 11 of 13 are active for this stock. Read the full methodology →

Which valuation models are most bullish and most bearish on ESCA?

Of the 11 models currently active on ESCA, RCMH-DCF is the most bullish at $36.80 per share, and Dynamic NAV is the most bearish at $6.64. CirclFi's published fair value for ESCA is the median of that range, $16.32, not either extreme. The gap between the two ends equals 185% of the median — a wide spread, meaning the methods genuinely disagree and the median should carry less weight. Browse stocks by value-trap risk →

Is ESCA a value trap in 2026?

Escalade, Incorporated's Value Trap score is 28/100 (LOW). This low score indicates the current valuation is not artificially depressed by fundamental deterioration, suggesting genuine opportunity rather than a trap.

Cite this analysis — “According to CirclFi’s 11-model valuation engine, Escalade, Incorporated (ESCA) has a median fair value of $16.32 — 18.6% below the current price of $20.05 — as of 2026-08-27.” Source: circlfi.com/stock/ESCA/ · Methodology
Primary sources for this ESCA valuation
  • Financial statements: Escalade, Incorporated 10-K and 10-Q filings on SEC EDGAR (CIK 0000033488) — 700+ standardized XBRL tags, published by the U.S. Securities and Exchange Commission.
  • Discount-rate inputs: FRED, Federal Reserve Bank of St. Louis — risk-free rates, VIX, yield curve, inflation.
  • News sentiment: The GDELT Project — global media tone, input to the Sentiment SOTP model.
  • Model definitions: CirclFi methodology — the published specification for all 13 models, including the academic sources each one implements.

Market data for ESCA as of ; valuations recomputed .

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