What Is JAKKS Pacific, Inc. (JAKK) Worth in 2026?
According to the CirclFi Deep Alpha Valuation Engine, JAKKS Pacific, Inc.'s intrinsic value is estimated at a composite fair value of $35.14. While the stock appears modestly undervalued at $22.80 (implied upside of +54.1%), our analysis suggests a thinner margin of safety across 9 of 13 bullish models. Notably, First Chicago sees the most upside at +488.5% (fair value: $134.18), while Markov DDM is the most conservative at -69.0% ($7.07). The spread between these extremes — +557.5% — reveals how different analytical frameworks can reach starkly different conclusions. Among models with highest confidence, EPV lean bearish — adding weight to the bearish side of the thesis.
What Do the Models Say About JAKK?
13 of 13 models are currently active for JAKK. Of these, 9 models suggest upside while 4 models suggest overvaluation. The Bayesian DCF estimates JAKK's intrinsic value at $38.84, implying +70.4% upside from the current price. See which stocks rank higher →
How Does JAKK Rank in Games, Toys & Children's Vehicles (No Dolls & Bicycles)?
Among 4 Games, Toys & Children's Vehicles (No Dolls & Bicycles) stocks, JAKK ranks #1 by Quality of Company score. CirclFi's QOC score of 7.8/10 evaluates 32 fundamental signals. A score of 7.8 indicates above-average quality.
As a vehicle manufacturer, JAKKS Pacific, Inc. operates in a sector where warranty cost ratio is a critical driver of valuation. Investors evaluating JAKK should weigh these sector-specific dynamics alongside our model-derived fair values.
Is JAKK a Value Trap?
CirclFi's Value Trap algorithm assigns JAKK a score of 12/100 (SAFE). This indicates minimal risk. Fundamentals are healthy. The score cross-references apparent undervaluation against fundamental deterioration signals. Browse lowest value-trap stocks →
Multi-Model Methodology
13 of 13 models are active for JAKKS Pacific, Inc.. Broad coverage provides high confidence. Each model applies a fundamentally different valuation philosophy. See the complete methodology →
According to the CirclFi 32-factor quality framework, JAKKS Pacific, Inc.'s fundamental quality profile registers 7.8/10. This robust score captures the company's profitability depth, growth consistency, balance sheet resilience, and shareholder return track record.
The gap between the most bullish and bearish model spans +557.5% — demonstrating why single-model analysis is dangerous. Browse all stocks with 13-model coverage →
Data Sources & Confidence
Every JAKK valuation is built from SEC EDGAR XBRL filings — 700+ standardized financial tags. Macroeconomic context from FRED calibrates discount rates, while GDELT news sentiment feeds into our Sentiment SOTP model. All pipelines run daily. Read the complete data methodology →
Across JAKK's 13 active models, average confidence is 49%. Lower confidence may reflect limited history or high volatility.
CirclFi's output is a research starting point, not a buy/sell signal. All data updates daily. Read the full methodology →
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