McGraw Hill, Inc. (MH) Fair Value 2026

MH · Education & Training Services ·

By CirclFi Research Team · Data from SEC EDGAR, FRED & GDELT

Quality Score

7.5 /10

32 fundamental signals · 10 models active

Value Trap Risk

SAFE (20/100)

Quick Summary — As of 2026-08-28, McGraw Hill, Inc. (MH) trades at $13.22, versus a $14.73 median fair value across its 10 active models — 11.4% above the current price. QOC: 7.5/10. Value Trap Risk: 20/100 (SAFE). 10/13 models active. Within that set, the Bayesian DCF component alone returns $19.57.

Key Facts

Ticker
MH
Price
$13.22
Quality Score
7.5/10
Value Trap Risk
20/100
Models Active
10/13
Last Updated
Strength: Bayesian DCF suggests +48.0% upside with 72% confidence
Risk: Limited model coverage (10/13) may reduce confidence

Is McGraw Hill, Inc. (MH) Undervalued or Overvalued in 2026?

According to CirclFi’s 10-model valuation engine, McGraw Hill, Inc. (MH) appears undervalued as of : the median of 10 independent fair value estimates is $14.73, 11.4% above the current price of $13.22. Estimates range from $0.17 to $29.27. MH scores 7.5/10 on fundamental quality and 20/100 on value-trap risk.

For context, the median US equity CirclFi rates trades at an implied -23.4% versus its own 13-model consensus, across 3,809 rated companies as of 2026-08-28. MH’s +11.4% gap is narrower than that market norm, and the Education & Training Services sector median is -5.3%. Full market index →

This verdict compares price to intrinsic value only — it is not a buy or sell rating. For the decision case (bull vs bear arguments, risk factors, peers), read Should You Buy McGraw Hill, Inc. Stock in 2026? →

What Fair Value Does Each Model Give MH?

10 Intrinsic Value Models vs. Current Price ($13.22)

Core Models (Unlocked)
Model Fair Value Upside
Intrinsic · High Conviction
 $19.57 +48.0%
Intrinsic · Low Conviction
 $0.17 -98.7%
Ensemble · Low Conviction
 $15.01 +13.5%
Intrinsic · High Conviction
 $5.37 -59.4%
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What Is MH's Fair Value Range?

Spread across 10 independent models · $0.17 to $29.27

CirclFi's 10 active models place McGraw Hill, Inc. (MH) between $0.17 and $29.27 per share, a spread of 198% of the median. The median of that range — $14.73 — is the fair value CirclFi publishes for MH, against a current price of $13.22.

Low · EPVHigh · Regime Cross
$0.17median $14.73$29.27
Where the range comes from
Most bearish modelEarnings Power Value (EPV)$0.17
Most bullish modelRegime Cross-Sectional$29.27
Model agreement6 bullish · 4 bearishwide

A band this wide is itself the finding. When independent methods land far apart, they are reading a business whose value depends heavily on which lens you apply — volatile earnings, heavy reinvestment, or an asset base that cash-flow and asset-based methods score differently. That disagreement is information: it says the choice of method matters more than usual for MH. Treat the median as one reading among several and compare the individual models below before acting.

Every figure above is one model's standalone output on MH, not a CirclFi price target. How each model works →

What Is McGraw Hill, Inc. (MH) Worth in 2026?

According to the CirclFi Deep Alpha Valuation Engine, McGraw Hill, Inc.'s intrinsic value is estimated at $14.73, suggesting a +11.4% median upside from the current price of $13.22. While 6 models see room for appreciation, model agreement is not unanimous as 4 models flag potential overvaluation. Model dispersion is worth noting: Regime Cross targets $29.27 (+121.4%), versus EPV at $0.17 (-98.7%). This +220.1% range highlights the importance of multi-model analysis rather than relying on any single methodology. Among models with highest confidence, Bayesian DCF lean bullish — adding weight to the bullish side of the thesis.

What Do the Models Say About MH?

10 of 13 models are currently active for MH. Of these, 6 models suggest upside while 4 models suggest overvaluation. Taken together, their median fair value for MH is $14.73 — the figure CirclFi publishes as this stock's fair value. One component of that median, the Bayesian DCF, returns $19.57 on its own, implying +48.0% upside from the current price. See which stocks rank higher →

How Does MH Rank in Education & Training Services?

Among 46 Education & Training Services stocks, MH ranks #17 by Quality of Company score. CirclFi's QOC score of 7.5/10 evaluates 32 fundamental signals. A score of 7.5 indicates above-average quality.

McGraw Hill, Inc. operates in a competitive landscape where fundamental quality metrics are key differentiators for long-term value creation.

Is MH a Value Trap?

CirclFi's Value Trap algorithm assigns MH a score of 20/100 (SAFE). This indicates minimal risk. Fundamentals are healthy. The score cross-references apparent undervaluation against fundamental deterioration signals. Browse lowest value-trap stocks →

Multi-Model Methodology

10 of 13 models are active for McGraw Hill, Inc.. Broad coverage provides high confidence. Each model applies a fundamentally different valuation philosophy. See the complete methodology →

According to the CirclFi 32-factor quality framework, McGraw Hill, Inc.'s fundamental quality profile registers 7.5/10. This robust score captures the company's profitability depth, growth consistency, balance sheet resilience, and shareholder return track record.

The gap between the most bullish and bearish model spans +220.1% — demonstrating why single-model analysis is dangerous. Browse all stocks with 13-model coverage →

Data Sources & Confidence

Every MH valuation is built from SEC EDGAR XBRL filings — 700+ standardized financial tags. Macroeconomic context from FRED calibrates discount rates, while GDELT news sentiment feeds into our Sentiment SOTP model. All pipelines run daily. Read the complete data methodology →

Across MH's 10 active models, average confidence is 42%. Lower confidence may reflect limited history or high volatility.

CirclFi's output is a research starting point, not a buy/sell signal. All data updates daily. Read the full methodology →

This analysis is produced by the CirclFi Valuation Engine using quantitative models applied to SEC EDGAR filings, public market feeds, and FRED macroeconomic indicators. It is not financial advice.

Read the full investment analysis: Should You Buy McGraw Hill, Inc. Stock in 2026? →

Bull case, bear case, risk factors & peer comparison — updated daily

Which Similar Education & Training Services Stocks Should You Also Analyze?

11 related Education & Training Services stocks with 13-model coverage

LINCLincoln Educational Services CorporationQOC 7.6DAOYoudao, Inc.QOC 7.4FEDUFour Seasons Education (Cayman) Inc.QOC 8.0COURCoursera, Inc.QOC 7.3EDUNew Oriental Education & Technology Group Inc.QOC 8.1GOTUGaotu Techedu Inc.QOC 7.2JDZGJIADE LimitedQOC 6.1XXITwenty One Capital, Inc.QOC 4.8IHiHuman Inc.QOC 8.6LRNStride, Inc.QOC 9.5UTIUniversal Technical Institute, Inc.QOC 9.1

Read investment analysis: LINC · DAO · FEDU · COUR · EDU · GOTU · JDZG · XXI · IH · LRN · UTI

Which Other Stocks Have a Similar Quality Score to MH?

7 companies across all industries closest to MH’s Quality of Company score of 7.5/10.

MMM3M CompanyQOC 7.5CUZCousins Properties IncorporatedQOC 7.5UNFIUnited Natural Foods, Inc.QOC 7.5SNDSmart Sand, Inc.QOC 7.5PFEPfizer Inc.QOC 7.5ICUIICU Medical, Inc.QOC 7.5NVDANVIDIA CorporationQOC 10.0

Read investment analysis: MMM · CUZ · UNFI · SND · PFE · ICUI · NVDA

What Else Do Investors Ask About McGraw Hill, Inc.’s Valuation?

What is McGraw Hill, Inc.'s intrinsic value in 2026?

CirclFi puts McGraw Hill, Inc. (MH)'s intrinsic value at $14.73 — the median of 10 independent model estimates as of 2026-08-28, ranging from $0.17 to $29.27. One component of that median, the Bayesian DCF, runs 10,000 Monte Carlo simulations with jump-diffusion and returns $19.57 on its own. The Quality of Company score is 7.5/10 across 32 fundamental signals. All models use SEC EDGAR filings updated daily. See our methodology page for how each model works.

Is MH overvalued or undervalued right now?

At $13.22, 6 of 10 active models suggest MH may be undervalued, while 4 indicate potential overvaluation. The median of all 10 fair value estimates is $14.73, 11.4% above the current price of $13.22 — a consensus view that MH is undervalued. The assessment depends on which methodology best fits McGraw Hill, Inc.'s business model in Education & Training Services.

What does a Quality of Company score of 7.5 mean for MH?

McGraw Hill, Inc.'s QOC of 7.5/10 reflects 32 fundamental signals: profitability margins, revenue growth consistency, balance sheet leverage, free cash flow generation, and capital allocation efficiency. Scores above 7 indicate strong fundamentals and disciplined management.

How many valuation models does CirclFi run on MH?

CirclFi analyzes MH with 13 institutional-grade models daily: Bayesian DCF (Monte Carlo + jump-diffusion), EPV (Greenwald zero-growth), EROIC Spread (McKinsey reinvestment), First Chicago (3-scenario), Markov DDM (regime-switching), ML-RIV (machine learning residual income), Dynamic NAV (asset-based), PWERM (option-theoretic), Regime Cross-Sectional (relative), Sentiment SOTP (hybrid), CUCE Ensemble (meta-model), FTNN Topology (neural network), and RCMH-DCF (conditional regime). Currently 10 of 13 are active for this stock. Read the full methodology →

Which valuation models are most bullish and most bearish on MH?

Of the 10 models currently active on MH, Regime Cross-Sectional is the most bullish at $29.27 per share, and Earnings Power Value (EPV) is the most bearish at $0.17. CirclFi's published fair value for MH is the median of that range, $14.73, not either extreme. The gap between the two ends equals 198% of the median — a wide spread, meaning the methods genuinely disagree and the median should carry less weight. Browse stocks by value-trap risk →

Is MH a value trap in 2026?

McGraw Hill, Inc.'s Value Trap score is 20/100 (SAFE). This low score indicates the current valuation is not artificially depressed by fundamental deterioration, suggesting genuine opportunity rather than a trap.

Cite this analysis — “According to CirclFi’s 10-model valuation engine, McGraw Hill, Inc. (MH) has a median fair value of $14.73 — 11.4% above the current price of $13.22 — as of 2026-08-28.” Source: circlfi.com/stock/MH/ · Methodology
Primary sources for this MH valuation
  • Financial statements: McGraw Hill, Inc. 10-K and 10-Q filings on SEC EDGAR (CIK 0001951070) — 700+ standardized XBRL tags, published by the U.S. Securities and Exchange Commission.
  • Discount-rate inputs: FRED, Federal Reserve Bank of St. Louis — risk-free rates, VIX, yield curve, inflation.
  • News sentiment: The GDELT Project — global media tone, input to the Sentiment SOTP model.
  • Model definitions: CirclFi methodology — the published specification for all 13 models, including the academic sources each one implements.

Market data for MH as of ; valuations recomputed .

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