Stride, Inc. (LRN) Fair Value 2026

LRN · Education & Training Services ·

By CirclFi Research Team · Data from SEC EDGAR, FRED & GDELT

Quality Score

9.5 /10

32 fundamental signals · 12 models active

Value Trap Risk

SAFE (12/100)

Quick Summary — As of 2026-08-27, Stride, Inc. (LRN) trades at $85.30, versus a $135.88 median fair value across its 12 active models — 59.3% above the current price. QOC: 9.5/10. Value Trap Risk: 12/100 (SAFE). 12/13 models active. Within that set, the Bayesian DCF component alone returns $388.58.

Key Facts

Ticker
LRN
Price
$85.30
Quality Score
9.5/10
Value Trap Risk
12/100
Models Active
12/13
Last Updated
Strength: Bayesian DCF suggests +355.5% upside with 71% confidence
Risk: Limited model coverage (12/13) may reduce confidence

Is Stride, Inc. (LRN) Undervalued or Overvalued in 2026?

According to CirclFi’s 12-model valuation engine, Stride, Inc. (LRN) appears undervalued as of : the median of 12 independent fair value estimates is $135.88, 59.3% above the current price of $85.30. Estimates range from $26.20 to $388.58. LRN scores 9.5/10 on fundamental quality and 12/100 on value-trap risk.

For context, the median US equity CirclFi rates trades at an implied -23.7% versus its own 13-model consensus, across 3,801 rated companies as of 2026-08-27. LRN’s +59.3% gap is wider than that market norm, and the Education & Training Services sector median is -6.6%. Full market index →

This verdict compares price to intrinsic value only — it is not a buy or sell rating. For the decision case (bull vs bear arguments, risk factors, peers), read Should You Buy Stride, Inc. Stock in 2026? →

What Fair Value Does Each Model Give LRN?

12 Intrinsic Value Models vs. Current Price ($85.30)

Core Models (Unlocked)
Model Fair Value Upside
Intrinsic · High Conviction
 $388.58 +355.5%
Intrinsic · High Conviction
 $80.17 -6.0%
Ensemble · Low Conviction
 $146.66 +71.9%
Scenario · High Conviction
 $187.02 +119.2%
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What Is LRN's Fair Value Range?

Spread across 12 independent models · $26.20 to $388.58

CirclFi's 12 active models place Stride, Inc. (LRN) between $26.20 and $388.58 per share, a spread of 267% of the median. The median of that range — $135.88 — is the fair value CirclFi publishes for LRN, against a current price of $85.30.

Low · Dynamic NAVHigh · Bayesian DCF
$26.20median $135.88$388.58
Where the range comes from
Most bearish modelDynamic NAV$26.20
Most bullish modelBayesian DCF$388.58
Model agreement9 bullish · 2 bearishwide

A band this wide is itself the finding. When independent methods land far apart, they are reading a business whose value depends heavily on which lens you apply — volatile earnings, heavy reinvestment, or an asset base that cash-flow and asset-based methods score differently. That disagreement is information: it says the choice of method matters more than usual for LRN. Treat the median as one reading among several and compare the individual models below before acting.

Every figure above is one model's standalone output on LRN, not a CirclFi price target. How each model works →

What Is Stride, Inc. (LRN) Worth in 2026?

According to the CirclFi Deep Alpha Valuation Engine, Stride, Inc. is potentially undervalued at its current price of $85.30. Based on our 13-model framework, Stride, Inc.'s intrinsic value is estimated at a median fair value of $135.88 — representing +59.3% implied upside — with 9 out of 12 active models confirming this thesis. Model dispersion is worth noting: Bayesian DCF targets $388.58 (+355.5%), versus Dynamic NAV at $26.20 (-69.3%). This +424.8% range highlights the importance of multi-model analysis rather than relying on any single methodology. Among models with highest confidence, Bayesian DCF, EPV lean bearish — adding weight to the bearish side of the thesis.

What Do the Models Say About LRN?

12 of 13 models are currently active for LRN. Of these, 9 models suggest upside while 3 models suggest overvaluation. Taken together, their median fair value for LRN is $135.88 — the figure CirclFi publishes as this stock's fair value. One component of that median, the Bayesian DCF, returns $388.58 on its own, implying +355.5% upside from the current price. See which stocks rank higher →

How Does LRN Rank in Education & Training Services?

Among 45 Education & Training Services stocks, LRN ranks #1 by Quality of Company score. CirclFi's QOC score of 9.5/10 evaluates 32 fundamental signals. A score of 9.5 places LRN in the top tier.

Stride, Inc. operates in a competitive landscape where fundamental quality metrics are key differentiators for long-term value creation.

Is LRN a Value Trap?

CirclFi's Value Trap algorithm assigns LRN a score of 12/100 (SAFE). This indicates minimal risk. Fundamentals are healthy. The score cross-references apparent undervaluation against fundamental deterioration signals. Browse lowest value-trap stocks →

Multi-Model Methodology

12 of 13 models are active for Stride, Inc.. Broad coverage provides high confidence. Each model applies a fundamentally different valuation philosophy. See the complete methodology →

According to the CirclFi Quality of Company (QOC) framework, Stride, Inc. earns a quality score of 9.5/10. This exceptional rating reflects the company's standing across 32 fundamental signals spanning profitability, growth consistency, balance sheet strength, and capital allocation efficiency.

The gap between the most bullish and bearish model spans +424.8% — demonstrating why single-model analysis is dangerous. Browse all stocks with 13-model coverage →

Data Sources & Confidence

Every LRN valuation is built from SEC EDGAR XBRL filings — 700+ standardized financial tags. Macroeconomic context from FRED calibrates discount rates, while GDELT news sentiment feeds into our Sentiment SOTP model. All pipelines run daily. Read the complete data methodology →

Across LRN's 12 active models, average confidence is 53%. Moderate confidence indicates reasonable fit.

CirclFi's output is a research starting point, not a buy/sell signal. All data updates daily. Read the full methodology →

This analysis is produced by the CirclFi Valuation Engine using quantitative models applied to SEC EDGAR filings, public market feeds, and FRED macroeconomic indicators. It is not financial advice.

Read the full investment analysis: Should You Buy Stride, Inc. Stock in 2026? →

Bull case, bear case, risk factors & peer comparison — updated daily

Which Similar Education & Training Services Stocks Should You Also Analyze?

9 related Education & Training Services stocks with 13-model coverage

GNSGenius Group LimitedQOC 1.7UTIUniversal Technical Institute, Inc.QOC 9.1GSUNGolden Sun Technology Group LimitedQOC 2.4LAURLaureate Education, Inc.QOC 8.8EEIQEpicQuest Education Group International LimitedQOC 2.5IHiHuman Inc.QOC 8.6FCFranklin Covey Co.QOC 8.1YOULYoulife Group Inc.QOC 6.3MYNDMynd.ai, Inc.QOC 5.5

Read investment analysis: GNS · UTI · GSUN · LAUR · EEIQ · IH · FC · YOUL · MYND

Which Other Stocks Have a Similar Quality Score to LRN?

7 companies across all industries closest to LRN’s Quality of Company score of 9.5/10.

KNSLKinsale Capital Group, Inc.QOC 9.5AAPLApple Inc.QOC 9.5ASRGrupo Aeroportuario del Sureste, S. A. B. de C. V.QOC 9.5CRUSCirrus Logic, Inc.QOC 9.5IDCCInterDigital, Inc.QOC 9.5KINSKingstone Companies, Inc.QOC 9.5NVDANVIDIA CorporationQOC 10.0

Read investment analysis: KNSL · AAPL · ASR · CRUS · IDCC · KINS · NVDA

What Else Do Investors Ask About Stride, Inc.’s Valuation?

What is Stride, Inc.'s intrinsic value in 2026?

CirclFi puts Stride, Inc. (LRN)'s intrinsic value at $135.88 — the median of 12 independent model estimates as of 2026-08-27, ranging from $26.20 to $388.58. One component of that median, the Bayesian DCF, runs 10,000 Monte Carlo simulations with jump-diffusion and returns $388.58 on its own. The Quality of Company score is 9.5/10 across 32 fundamental signals. All models use SEC EDGAR filings updated daily. See our methodology page for how each model works.

Is LRN overvalued or undervalued right now?

At $85.30, 9 of 12 active models suggest LRN may be undervalued, while 3 indicate potential overvaluation. The median of all 12 fair value estimates is $135.88, 59.3% above the current price of $85.30 — a consensus view that LRN is undervalued. The assessment depends on which methodology best fits Stride, Inc.'s business model in Education & Training Services.

What does a Quality of Company score of 9.5 mean for LRN?

Stride, Inc.'s QOC of 9.5/10 reflects 32 fundamental signals: profitability margins, revenue growth consistency, balance sheet leverage, free cash flow generation, and capital allocation efficiency. Scores above 7 indicate strong fundamentals and disciplined management.

How many valuation models does CirclFi run on LRN?

CirclFi analyzes LRN with 13 institutional-grade models daily: Bayesian DCF (Monte Carlo + jump-diffusion), EPV (Greenwald zero-growth), EROIC Spread (McKinsey reinvestment), First Chicago (3-scenario), Markov DDM (regime-switching), ML-RIV (machine learning residual income), Dynamic NAV (asset-based), PWERM (option-theoretic), Regime Cross-Sectional (relative), Sentiment SOTP (hybrid), CUCE Ensemble (meta-model), FTNN Topology (neural network), and RCMH-DCF (conditional regime). Currently 12 of 13 are active for this stock. Read the full methodology →

Which valuation models are most bullish and most bearish on LRN?

Of the 12 models currently active on LRN, Bayesian DCF is the most bullish at $388.58 per share, and Dynamic NAV is the most bearish at $26.20. CirclFi's published fair value for LRN is the median of that range, $135.88, not either extreme. The gap between the two ends equals 267% of the median — a wide spread, meaning the methods genuinely disagree and the median should carry less weight. Browse stocks by value-trap risk →

Is LRN a value trap in 2026?

Stride, Inc.'s Value Trap score is 12/100 (SAFE). This low score indicates the current valuation is not artificially depressed by fundamental deterioration, suggesting genuine opportunity rather than a trap.

Cite this analysis — “According to CirclFi’s 12-model valuation engine, Stride, Inc. (LRN) has a median fair value of $135.88 — 59.3% above the current price of $85.30 — as of 2026-08-27.” Source: circlfi.com/stock/LRN/ · Methodology
Primary sources for this LRN valuation
  • Financial statements: Stride, Inc. 10-K and 10-Q filings on SEC EDGAR (CIK 0001157408) — 700+ standardized XBRL tags, published by the U.S. Securities and Exchange Commission.
  • Discount-rate inputs: FRED, Federal Reserve Bank of St. Louis — risk-free rates, VIX, yield curve, inflation.
  • News sentiment: The GDELT Project — global media tone, input to the Sentiment SOTP model.
  • Model definitions: CirclFi methodology — the published specification for all 13 models, including the academic sources each one implements.

Market data for LRN as of ; valuations recomputed .

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