Covista Inc. (CVSA) Fair Value 2026

CVSA · Education & Training Services ·

By CirclFi Research Team · Data from SEC EDGAR, FRED & GDELT

Quality Score

8.8 /10

32 fundamental signals · 11 models active

Value Trap Risk

SAFE (12/100)

Quick Summary — As of 2026-08-28, Covista Inc. (CVSA) trades at $134.47, versus a $126.42 median fair value across its 11 active models — 6.0% below the current price. QOC: 8.8/10. Value Trap Risk: 12/100 (SAFE). 11/13 models active. Within that set, the Bayesian DCF component alone returns $251.93.

Key Facts

Ticker
CVSA
Price
$134.47
Quality Score
8.8/10
Value Trap Risk
12/100
Models Active
11/13
Last Updated
Strength: Bayesian DCF suggests +87.4% upside with 68% confidence
Risk: Majority of models suggest overvaluation

Is Covista Inc. (CVSA) Undervalued or Overvalued in 2026?

According to CirclFi’s 11-model valuation engine, Covista Inc. (CVSA) appears fairly valued as of : the median of 11 independent fair value estimates is $126.42, within 6.0% of the current price of $134.47. Estimates range from $62.28 to $312.26. CVSA scores 8.8/10 on fundamental quality and 12/100 on value-trap risk.

For context, the median US equity CirclFi rates trades at an implied -23.4% versus its own 13-model consensus, across 3,809 rated companies as of 2026-08-28. CVSA’s -6.0% gap is narrower than that market norm, and the Education & Training Services sector median is -5.3%. Full market index →

This verdict compares price to intrinsic value only — it is not a buy or sell rating. For the decision case (bull vs bear arguments, risk factors, peers), read Should You Buy Covista Inc. Stock in 2026? →

What Fair Value Does Each Model Give CVSA?

11 Intrinsic Value Models vs. Current Price ($134.47)

Core Models (Unlocked)
Model Fair Value Upside
Intrinsic · High Conviction
 $251.93 +87.4%
Intrinsic · High Conviction
 $62.28 -53.7%
Ensemble · Low Conviction
 $133.09 -1.0%
Scenario · High Conviction
 $126.42 -6.0%
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What Is CVSA's Fair Value Range?

Spread across 11 independent models · $62.28 to $312.26

CirclFi's 11 active models place Covista Inc. (CVSA) between $62.28 and $312.26 per share, a spread of 198% of the median. The median of that range — $126.42 — is the fair value CirclFi publishes for CVSA, against a current price of $134.47.

Low · EPVHigh · Markov DDM
$62.28median $126.42$312.26
Where the range comes from
Most bearish modelEarnings Power Value (EPV)$62.28
Most bullish modelMarkov DDM$312.26
Model agreement4 bullish · 6 bearishwide

A band this wide is itself the finding. When independent methods land far apart, they are reading a business whose value depends heavily on which lens you apply — volatile earnings, heavy reinvestment, or an asset base that cash-flow and asset-based methods score differently. That disagreement is information: it says the choice of method matters more than usual for CVSA. Treat the median as one reading among several and compare the individual models below before acting.

Every figure above is one model's standalone output on CVSA, not a CirclFi price target. How each model works →

What Is Covista Inc. (CVSA) Worth in 2026?

According to the CirclFi Deep Alpha Valuation Engine, Covista Inc.'s intrinsic value is estimated at $126.42, presenting a divided outlook at the current price of $134.47. With a median implied return of -6.0% across a split 4–6 (bull–bear) consensus, the model spread of +185.9% underscores analytical uncertainty. Notably, Markov DDM sees the most upside at +132.2% (fair value: $312.26), while EPV is the most conservative at -53.7% ($62.28). The spread between these extremes — +185.9% — reveals how different analytical frameworks can reach starkly different conclusions. Among models with highest confidence, EPV lean bearish — adding weight to the bearish side of the thesis.

What Do the Models Say About CVSA?

11 of 13 models are currently active for CVSA. Of these, 4 models suggest upside while 7 models suggest overvaluation. Taken together, their median fair value for CVSA is $126.42 — the figure CirclFi publishes as this stock's fair value. One component of that median, the Bayesian DCF, returns $251.93 on its own, implying +87.4% upside from the current price. See which stocks rank higher →

How Does CVSA Rank in Education & Training Services?

Among 46 Education & Training Services stocks, CVSA ranks #3 by Quality of Company score. CirclFi's QOC score of 8.8/10 evaluates 32 fundamental signals. A score of 8.8 places CVSA in the top tier.

Covista Inc. operates in a competitive landscape where fundamental quality metrics are key differentiators for long-term value creation.

Is CVSA a Value Trap?

CirclFi's Value Trap algorithm assigns CVSA a score of 12/100 (SAFE). This indicates minimal risk. Fundamentals are healthy. The score cross-references apparent undervaluation against fundamental deterioration signals. Browse lowest value-trap stocks →

Multi-Model Methodology

11 of 13 models are active for Covista Inc.. Broad coverage provides high confidence. Each model applies a fundamentally different valuation philosophy. See the complete methodology →

According to the CirclFi Quality of Company (QOC) framework, which evaluates 32 signals including margin stability, revenue growth trajectory, leverage, and free cash flow generation, Covista Inc. is rated at 8.8/10. This strong-tier score demonstrates strong fundamentals across the majority of our quality signals.

The gap between the most bullish and bearish model spans +185.9% — demonstrating why single-model analysis is dangerous. Browse all stocks with 13-model coverage →

Data Sources & Confidence

Every CVSA valuation is built from SEC EDGAR XBRL filings — 700+ standardized financial tags. Macroeconomic context from FRED calibrates discount rates, while GDELT news sentiment feeds into our Sentiment SOTP model. All pipelines run daily. Read the complete data methodology →

Across CVSA's 11 active models, average confidence is 49%. Lower confidence may reflect limited history or high volatility.

CirclFi's output is a research starting point, not a buy/sell signal. All data updates daily. Read the full methodology →

This analysis is produced by the CirclFi Valuation Engine using quantitative models applied to SEC EDGAR filings, public market feeds, and FRED macroeconomic indicators. It is not financial advice.

Read the full investment analysis: Should You Buy Covista Inc. Stock in 2026? →

Bull case, bear case, risk factors & peer comparison — updated daily

Which Similar Education & Training Services Stocks Should You Also Analyze?

9 related Education & Training Services stocks with 13-model coverage

UTIUniversal Technical Institute, Inc.QOC 9.1LAURLaureate Education, Inc.QOC 8.7LRNStride, Inc.QOC 9.5IHiHuman Inc.QOC 8.6GNSGenius Group LimitedQOC 1.7STGSunlands Technology GroupQOC 8.6EDUNew Oriental Education & Technology Group Inc.QOC 8.1KLCKinderCare Learning Companies, Inc.QOC 6.3BRWCBirdie Win CorporationQOC 5.3

Read investment analysis: UTI · LAUR · LRN · IH · GNS · STG · EDU · KLC · BRWC

Which Other Stocks Have a Similar Quality Score to CVSA?

7 companies across all industries closest to CVSA’s Quality of Company score of 8.8/10.

RDYDr. Reddy's Laboratories LimitedQOC 8.8UALUnited Airlines Holdings, Inc.QOC 8.8IRIngersoll Rand Inc.QOC 8.8BLKBBlackbaud, Inc.QOC 8.8RMNIRimini Street, Inc.QOC 8.8EACOEACO CorporationQOC 8.8NVDANVIDIA CorporationQOC 10.0

Read investment analysis: RDY · UAL · IR · BLKB · RMNI · EACO · NVDA

What Else Do Investors Ask About Covista Inc.’s Valuation?

What is Covista Inc.'s intrinsic value in 2026?

CirclFi puts Covista Inc. (CVSA)'s intrinsic value at $126.42 — the median of 11 independent model estimates as of 2026-08-28, ranging from $62.28 to $312.26. One component of that median, the Bayesian DCF, runs 10,000 Monte Carlo simulations with jump-diffusion and returns $251.93 on its own. The Quality of Company score is 8.8/10 across 32 fundamental signals. All models use SEC EDGAR filings updated daily. See our methodology page for how each model works.

Is CVSA overvalued or undervalued right now?

At $134.47, 4 of 11 active models suggest CVSA may be undervalued, while 7 indicate potential overvaluation. The median of all 11 fair value estimates is $126.42, within 6.0% of the current price of $134.47 — a consensus view that CVSA is fairly valued. The assessment depends on which methodology best fits Covista Inc.'s business model in Education & Training Services.

What does a Quality of Company score of 8.8 mean for CVSA?

Covista Inc.'s QOC of 8.8/10 reflects 32 fundamental signals: profitability margins, revenue growth consistency, balance sheet leverage, free cash flow generation, and capital allocation efficiency. Scores above 7 indicate strong fundamentals and disciplined management.

How many valuation models does CirclFi run on CVSA?

CirclFi analyzes CVSA with 13 institutional-grade models daily: Bayesian DCF (Monte Carlo + jump-diffusion), EPV (Greenwald zero-growth), EROIC Spread (McKinsey reinvestment), First Chicago (3-scenario), Markov DDM (regime-switching), ML-RIV (machine learning residual income), Dynamic NAV (asset-based), PWERM (option-theoretic), Regime Cross-Sectional (relative), Sentiment SOTP (hybrid), CUCE Ensemble (meta-model), FTNN Topology (neural network), and RCMH-DCF (conditional regime). Currently 11 of 13 are active for this stock. Read the full methodology →

Which valuation models are most bullish and most bearish on CVSA?

Of the 11 models currently active on CVSA, Markov DDM is the most bullish at $312.26 per share, and Earnings Power Value (EPV) is the most bearish at $62.28. CirclFi's published fair value for CVSA is the median of that range, $126.42, not either extreme. The gap between the two ends equals 198% of the median — a wide spread, meaning the methods genuinely disagree and the median should carry less weight. Browse stocks by value-trap risk →

Is CVSA a value trap in 2026?

Covista Inc.'s Value Trap score is 12/100 (SAFE). This low score indicates the current valuation is not artificially depressed by fundamental deterioration, suggesting genuine opportunity rather than a trap.

Cite this analysis — “According to CirclFi’s 11-model valuation engine, Covista Inc. (CVSA) has a median fair value of $126.42 — within 6.0% of the current price of $134.47 — as of 2026-08-28.” Source: circlfi.com/stock/CVSA/ · Methodology
Primary sources for this CVSA valuation
  • Financial statements: Covista Inc. 10-K and 10-Q filings on SEC EDGAR (CIK 0000730464) — 700+ standardized XBRL tags, published by the U.S. Securities and Exchange Commission.
  • Discount-rate inputs: FRED, Federal Reserve Bank of St. Louis — risk-free rates, VIX, yield curve, inflation.
  • News sentiment: The GDELT Project — global media tone, input to the Sentiment SOTP model.
  • Model definitions: CirclFi methodology — the published specification for all 13 models, including the academic sources each one implements.

Market data for CVSA as of ; valuations recomputed .

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