Ambow Education Holding Ltd. Am (AMBO) Fair Value 2026

AMBO · Education & Training Services ·

By CirclFi Research Team · Data from SEC EDGAR, FRED & GDELT

Quality Score

6.6 /10

32 fundamental signals · 7 models active

Value Trap Risk

WARN (43/100)

Quick Summary — As of 2026-08-27, Ambow Education Holding Ltd. Am (AMBO) trades at $2.09, versus a $1.92 median fair value across its 7 active models — 8.1% below the current price. QOC: 6.6/10. Value Trap Risk: 43/100 (WARN). 7/13 models active.

Key Facts

Ticker
AMBO
Price
$2.09
Quality Score
6.6/10
Value Trap Risk
43/100
Models Active
7/13
Last Updated
Strength: 7 independent models provide multi-angle coverage
Risk: Value Trap score of 43 suggests caution despite apparent undervaluation

Is Ambow Education Holding Ltd. Am (AMBO) Undervalued or Overvalued in 2026?

According to CirclFi’s 7-model valuation engine, Ambow Education Holding Ltd. Am (AMBO) appears fairly valued as of : the median of 7 independent fair value estimates is $1.92, within 8.1% of the current price of $2.09. Estimates range from $0.11 to $5.97. AMBO scores 6.6/10 on fundamental quality and 43/100 on value-trap risk.

For context, the median US equity CirclFi rates trades at an implied -23.7% versus its own 13-model consensus, across 3,801 rated companies as of 2026-08-27. AMBO’s -8.1% gap is narrower than that market norm, and the Education & Training Services sector median is -6.6%. Full market index →

This verdict compares price to intrinsic value only — it is not a buy or sell rating. For the decision case (bull vs bear arguments, risk factors, peers), read Should You Buy Ambow Education Holding Ltd. Am Stock in 2026? →

What Fair Value Does Each Model Give AMBO?

7 Intrinsic Value Models vs. Current Price ($2.09)

Core Models (Unlocked)
Model Fair Value Upside
Ensemble · Low Conviction
 $1.92 -8.1%
Asset-Based · High Conviction
 $1.37 -34.5%
Intrinsic · High Conviction
 $0.65 -68.8%
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What Is AMBO's Fair Value Range?

Spread across 7 independent models · $0.11 to $5.97

CirclFi's 7 active models place Ambow Education Holding Ltd. Am (AMBO) between $0.11 and $5.97 per share, a spread of 305% of the median. The median of that range — $1.92 — is the fair value CirclFi publishes for AMBO, against a current price of $2.09.

Low · EROICHigh · Regime Cross
$0.11median $1.92$5.97
Where the range comes from
Most bearish modelEROIC Spread$0.11
Most bullish modelRegime Cross-Sectional$5.97
Model agreement2 bullish · 4 bearishwide

A band this wide is itself the finding. When independent methods land far apart, they are reading a business whose value depends heavily on which lens you apply — volatile earnings, heavy reinvestment, or an asset base that cash-flow and asset-based methods score differently. That disagreement is information: it says the choice of method matters more than usual for AMBO. Treat the median as one reading among several and compare the individual models below before acting.

Every figure above is one model's standalone output on AMBO, not a CirclFi price target. How each model works →

What Is Ambow Education Holding Ltd. Am (AMBO) Worth in 2026?

According to the CirclFi Deep Alpha Valuation Engine, the balance of valuation evidence tilts cautious on Ambow Education Holding Ltd. Am at its current price of $2.09. The median intrinsic value is estimated at $1.92 (-8.1% vs price), with 4 models flagging overvaluation risk. Model dispersion is worth noting: Regime Cross targets $5.97 (+185.8%), versus EROIC at $0.11 (-94.5%). This +280.4% range highlights the importance of multi-model analysis rather than relying on any single methodology.

What Do the Models Say About AMBO?

7 of 13 models are currently active for AMBO. Of these, 3 models suggest upside while 4 models suggest overvaluation. Taken together, their median fair value for AMBO is $1.92 — the figure CirclFi publishes as this stock's fair value. See which stocks rank higher →

How Does AMBO Rank in Education & Training Services?

Among 45 Education & Training Services stocks, AMBO ranks #21 by Quality of Company score. CirclFi's QOC score of 6.6/10 evaluates 32 fundamental signals. A score of 6.6 indicates above-average quality.

Ambow Education Holding Ltd. Am operates in a competitive landscape where fundamental quality metrics are key differentiators for long-term value creation.

Is AMBO a Value Trap?

CirclFi's Value Trap algorithm assigns AMBO a score of 43/100 (WARN). This is a warning signal. Additional research into recent 10-Q filings is recommended. The score cross-references apparent undervaluation against fundamental deterioration signals. Browse lowest value-trap stocks →

Multi-Model Methodology

7 of 13 models are active for Ambow Education Holding Ltd. Am. Moderate coverage provides meaningful perspective. Each model applies a fundamentally different valuation philosophy. See the complete methodology →

According to the CirclFi Quality of Company (QOC) framework, which evaluates 32 signals including margin stability, revenue growth trajectory, leverage, and free cash flow generation, Ambow Education Holding Ltd. Am is rated at 6.6/10. This solid-tier score maintains reasonable quality metrics with some areas for improvement.

The gap between the most bullish and bearish model spans +280.4% — demonstrating why single-model analysis is dangerous. Browse all stocks with 13-model coverage →

Data Sources & Confidence

Every AMBO valuation is built from SEC EDGAR XBRL filings — 700+ standardized financial tags. Macroeconomic context from FRED calibrates discount rates, while GDELT news sentiment feeds into our Sentiment SOTP model. All pipelines run daily. Read the complete data methodology →

Across AMBO's 7 active models, average confidence is 37%. Lower confidence may reflect limited history or high volatility.

CirclFi's output is a research starting point, not a buy/sell signal. All data updates daily. Read the full methodology →

This analysis is produced by the CirclFi Valuation Engine using quantitative models applied to SEC EDGAR filings, public market feeds, and FRED macroeconomic indicators. It is not financial advice.

Read the full investment analysis: Should You Buy Ambow Education Holding Ltd. Am Stock in 2026? →

Bull case, bear case, risk factors & peer comparison — updated daily

Which Similar Education & Training Services Stocks Should You Also Analyze?

11 related Education & Training Services stocks with 13-model coverage

PCSVPCS Edventures!, Inc.QOC 6.9COE51Talk Online Education GroupQOC 6.6GOTUGaotu Techedu Inc.QOC 7.2YOULYoulife Group Inc.QOC 6.3COURCoursera, Inc.QOC 7.3AACGATA Creativity GlobalQOC 6.3FCHLFitness Champs Holdings LimitedQOC 5.7EEIQEpicQuest Education Group International LimitedQOC 2.5STRAStrategic Education, Inc.QOC 8.4LRNStride, Inc.QOC 9.5UTIUniversal Technical Institute, Inc.QOC 9.1

Read investment analysis: PCSV · COE · GOTU · YOUL · COUR · AACG · FCHL · EEIQ · STRA · LRN · UTI

Which Other Stocks Have a Similar Quality Score to AMBO?

7 companies across all industries closest to AMBO’s Quality of Company score of 6.6/10.

REREATRenew Inc.QOC 6.6OPENOpendoor Technologies Inc.QOC 6.6FWRDForward Air CorporationQOC 6.6MTRXMatrix Service CompanyQOC 6.6CRCLCircle Internet GroupQOC 6.7LINKInterlink Electronics, Inc.QOC 6.6NVDANVIDIA CorporationQOC 10.0

Read investment analysis: RERE · OPEN · FWRD · MTRX · CRCL · LINK · NVDA

What Else Do Investors Ask About Ambow Education Holding Ltd. Am’s Valuation?

What is Ambow Education Holding Ltd. Am's intrinsic value in 2026?

CirclFi puts Ambow Education Holding Ltd. Am (AMBO)'s intrinsic value at $1.92 — the median of 7 independent model estimates as of 2026-08-27, ranging from $0.11 to $5.97. The Quality of Company score is 6.6/10 across 32 fundamental signals. All models use SEC EDGAR filings updated daily. See our methodology page for how each model works.

Is AMBO overvalued or undervalued right now?

At $2.09, 3 of 7 active models suggest AMBO may be undervalued, while 4 indicate potential overvaluation. The median of all 7 fair value estimates is $1.92, within 8.1% of the current price of $2.09 — a consensus view that AMBO is fairly valued. The assessment depends on which methodology best fits Ambow Education Holding Ltd. Am's business model in Education & Training Services.

What does a Quality of Company score of 6.6 mean for AMBO?

Ambow Education Holding Ltd. Am's QOC of 6.6/10 reflects 32 fundamental signals: profitability margins, revenue growth consistency, balance sheet leverage, free cash flow generation, and capital allocation efficiency. Scores between 5-7 reflect moderate fundamentals with areas for improvement.

How many valuation models does CirclFi run on AMBO?

CirclFi analyzes AMBO with 13 institutional-grade models daily: Bayesian DCF (Monte Carlo + jump-diffusion), EPV (Greenwald zero-growth), EROIC Spread (McKinsey reinvestment), First Chicago (3-scenario), Markov DDM (regime-switching), ML-RIV (machine learning residual income), Dynamic NAV (asset-based), PWERM (option-theoretic), Regime Cross-Sectional (relative), Sentiment SOTP (hybrid), CUCE Ensemble (meta-model), FTNN Topology (neural network), and RCMH-DCF (conditional regime). Currently 7 of 13 are active for this stock. Read the full methodology →

Which valuation models are most bullish and most bearish on AMBO?

Of the 7 models currently active on AMBO, Regime Cross-Sectional is the most bullish at $5.97 per share, and EROIC Spread is the most bearish at $0.11. CirclFi's published fair value for AMBO is the median of that range, $1.92, not either extreme. The gap between the two ends equals 305% of the median — a wide spread, meaning the methods genuinely disagree and the median should carry less weight. Browse stocks by value-trap risk →

Is AMBO a value trap in 2026?

Ambow Education Holding Ltd. Am's Value Trap score is 43/100 (WARN). This elevated score suggests the stock may look undervalued but faces deteriorating fundamentals — declining margins, rising debt, or shrinking revenue could make the apparent discount deceptive. Browse our ranked stock lists to compare value-trap scores across industries.

Cite this analysis — “According to CirclFi’s 7-model valuation engine, Ambow Education Holding Ltd. Am (AMBO) has a median fair value of $1.92 — within 8.1% of the current price of $2.09 — as of 2026-08-27.” Source: circlfi.com/stock/AMBO/ · Methodology
Primary sources for this AMBO valuation
  • Financial statements: Ambow Education Holding Ltd. Am 10-K and 10-Q filings on SEC EDGAR (CIK 0001494558) — 700+ standardized XBRL tags, published by the U.S. Securities and Exchange Commission.
  • Discount-rate inputs: FRED, Federal Reserve Bank of St. Louis — risk-free rates, VIX, yield curve, inflation.
  • News sentiment: The GDELT Project — global media tone, input to the Sentiment SOTP model.
  • Model definitions: CirclFi methodology — the published specification for all 13 models, including the academic sources each one implements.

Market data for AMBO as of ; valuations recomputed .

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