IES Holdings, Inc. (IESC) Fair Value 2026

IESC · Engineering & Construction ·

By CirclFi Research Team · Data from SEC EDGAR, FRED & GDELT

Quality Score

9.4 /10

32 fundamental signals · 8 models active

Value Trap Risk

SAFE (18/100)

Quick Summary — As of 2026-08-27, IES Holdings, Inc. (IESC) trades at $333.67, versus a $161.00 median fair value across its 8 active models — 51.7% below the current price. QOC: 9.4/10. Value Trap Risk: 18/100 (SAFE). 8/13 models active. Within that set, the Bayesian DCF component alone returns $56.80.

Key Facts

Ticker
IESC
Price
$333.67
Quality Score
9.4/10
Value Trap Risk
18/100
Models Active
8/13
Last Updated
Strength: Quality Score of 9.4/10 indicates strong fundamentals
Risk: Majority of models suggest overvaluation

Is IES Holdings, Inc. (IESC) Undervalued or Overvalued in 2026?

According to CirclFi’s 8-model valuation engine, IES Holdings, Inc. (IESC) appears overvalued as of : the median of 8 independent fair value estimates is $161.00, 51.7% below the current price of $333.67. Estimates range from $43.24 to $459.24. IESC scores 9.4/10 on fundamental quality and 18/100 on value-trap risk.

For context, the median US equity CirclFi rates trades at an implied -23.7% versus its own 13-model consensus, across 3,801 rated companies as of 2026-08-27. IESC’s -51.7% gap is wider than that market norm, and the Engineering & Construction sector median is -33.6%. Full market index →

This verdict compares price to intrinsic value only — it is not a buy or sell rating. For the decision case (bull vs bear arguments, risk factors, peers), read Should You Buy IES Holdings, Inc. Stock in 2026? →

What Fair Value Does Each Model Give IESC?

8 Intrinsic Value Models vs. Current Price ($333.67)

Core Models (Unlocked)
Model Fair Value Upside
Intrinsic · High Conviction
 $56.80 -83.0%
Ensemble · Low Conviction
 $140.02 -58.0%
Scenario · High Conviction
 $238.71 -28.5%
Intrinsic · High Conviction
 $43.24 -87.0%
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What Is IESC's Fair Value Range?

Spread across 8 independent models · $43.24 to $459.24

CirclFi's 8 active models place IES Holdings, Inc. (IESC) between $43.24 and $459.24 per share, a spread of 258% of the median. The median of that range — $161.00 — is the fair value CirclFi publishes for IESC, against a current price of $333.67.

Low · EROICHigh · Regime Cross
$43.24median $161.00$459.24
Where the range comes from
Most bearish modelEROIC Spread$43.24
Most bullish modelRegime Cross-Sectional$459.24
Model agreement1 bullish · 7 bearishwide

A band this wide is itself the finding. When independent methods land far apart, they are reading a business whose value depends heavily on which lens you apply — volatile earnings, heavy reinvestment, or an asset base that cash-flow and asset-based methods score differently. That disagreement is information: it says the choice of method matters more than usual for IESC. Treat the median as one reading among several and compare the individual models below before acting.

Every figure above is one model's standalone output on IESC, not a CirclFi price target. How each model works →

What Is IES Holdings, Inc. (IESC) Worth in 2026?

According to the CirclFi Deep Alpha Valuation Engine, IES Holdings, Inc.'s intrinsic value is estimated at $161.00. Trading at its current price of $333.67, the valuation engine raises significant caution: 7 of 8 models flag downside risk, projecting a median implied return of -51.7%. Notably, Regime Cross sees the most upside at +37.6% (fair value: $459.24), while EROIC is the most conservative at -87.0% ($43.24). The spread between these extremes — +124.7% — reveals how different analytical frameworks can reach starkly different conclusions.

What Do the Models Say About IESC?

8 of 13 models are currently active for IESC. Of these, 1 model suggests upside while 7 models suggest overvaluation. Taken together, their median fair value for IESC is $161.00 — the figure CirclFi publishes as this stock's fair value. One component of that median, the Bayesian DCF, returns $56.80 on its own, implying -83.0% downside from the current price. See which stocks rank higher →

How Does IESC Rank in Engineering & Construction?

Among 53 Engineering & Construction stocks, IESC ranks #3 by Quality of Company score. CirclFi's QOC score of 9.4/10 evaluates 32 fundamental signals. A score of 9.4 places IESC in the top tier.

See all Most Undervalued Engineering & Construction Stocks →

IES Holdings, Inc.'s positioning within the Engineering & Construction segment means that order backlog depth plays an outsized role in fundamental analysis. The sector's unique characteristics — including electrification tailwinds — shape both the opportunity set and risk profile.

Is IESC a Value Trap?

CirclFi's Value Trap algorithm assigns IESC a score of 18/100 (SAFE). This indicates minimal risk. Fundamentals are healthy. The score cross-references apparent undervaluation against fundamental deterioration signals. Browse lowest value-trap stocks →

Multi-Model Methodology

8 of 13 models are active for IES Holdings, Inc.. Moderate coverage provides meaningful perspective. Each model applies a fundamentally different valuation philosophy. See the complete methodology →

According to the CirclFi Quality of Company (QOC) framework, IES Holdings, Inc. earns a quality score of 9.4/10. This exceptional rating reflects the company's standing across 32 fundamental signals spanning profitability, growth consistency, balance sheet strength, and capital allocation efficiency.

The gap between the most bullish and bearish model spans +124.7% — demonstrating why single-model analysis is dangerous. Browse all stocks with 13-model coverage →

Data Sources & Confidence

Every IESC valuation is built from SEC EDGAR XBRL filings — 700+ standardized financial tags. Macroeconomic context from FRED calibrates discount rates, while GDELT news sentiment feeds into our Sentiment SOTP model. All pipelines run daily. Read the complete data methodology →

Across IESC's 8 active models, average confidence is 47%. Lower confidence may reflect limited history or high volatility.

CirclFi's output is a research starting point, not a buy/sell signal. All data updates daily. Read the full methodology →

This analysis is produced by the CirclFi Valuation Engine using quantitative models applied to SEC EDGAR filings, public market feeds, and FRED macroeconomic indicators. It is not financial advice.

Read the full investment analysis: Should You Buy IES Holdings, Inc. Stock in 2026? →

Bull case, bear case, risk factors & peer comparison — updated daily

Which Similar Engineering & Construction Stocks Should You Also Analyze?

9 related Engineering & Construction stocks with 13-model coverage

STRLSterling Infrastructure, Inc.QOC 9.5EMEEMCOR Group, Inc.QOC 9.4FIXComfort Systems USA, Inc.QOC 9.6AGXArgan, Inc.QOC 9.0ZDAIDirectBooking Technology Co., Ltd.QOC 2.6MYRGMYR Group Inc.QOC 8.7ACAArcosa, Inc.QOC 8.4CDLRCadeler A/SQOC 7.0RITRReitar Logtech Holdings LimitedQOC 5.3

Read investment analysis: STRL · EME · FIX · AGX · ZDAI · MYRG · ACA · CDLR · RITR

Which Other Stocks Have a Similar Quality Score to IESC?

7 companies across all industries closest to IESC’s Quality of Company score of 9.4/10.

CRMSalesforce, Inc.QOC 9.4NOWServiceNow, Inc.QOC 9.4LLYEli Lilly and CompanyQOC 9.4EPACEnerpac Tool Group Corp.QOC 9.4ABNBAirbnb, Inc.QOC 9.5MLIMueller Industries, Inc.QOC 9.4NVDANVIDIA CorporationQOC 10.0

Read investment analysis: CRM · NOW · LLY · EPAC · ABNB · MLI · NVDA

Where Does IESC Sit in CirclFi's Engineering & Construction Rankings?

IESC is ranked against every other Engineering & Construction stock CirclFi covers in each of these screens.

See all Engineering & Construction stocks ranked →

What Else Do Investors Ask About IES Holdings, Inc.’s Valuation?

What is IES Holdings, Inc.'s intrinsic value in 2026?

CirclFi puts IES Holdings, Inc. (IESC)'s intrinsic value at $161.00 — the median of 8 independent model estimates as of 2026-08-27, ranging from $43.24 to $459.24. One component of that median, the Bayesian DCF, runs 10,000 Monte Carlo simulations with jump-diffusion and returns $56.80 on its own. The Quality of Company score is 9.4/10 across 32 fundamental signals. All models use SEC EDGAR filings updated daily. See our methodology page for how each model works.

Is IESC overvalued or undervalued right now?

At $333.67, 1 of 8 active models suggest IESC may be undervalued, while 7 indicate potential overvaluation. The median of all 8 fair value estimates is $161.00, 51.7% below the current price of $333.67 — a consensus view that IESC is overvalued. The assessment depends on which methodology best fits IES Holdings, Inc.'s business model in Engineering & Construction.

What does a Quality of Company score of 9.4 mean for IESC?

IES Holdings, Inc.'s QOC of 9.4/10 reflects 32 fundamental signals: profitability margins, revenue growth consistency, balance sheet leverage, free cash flow generation, and capital allocation efficiency. Scores above 7 indicate strong fundamentals and disciplined management.

How many valuation models does CirclFi run on IESC?

CirclFi analyzes IESC with 13 institutional-grade models daily: Bayesian DCF (Monte Carlo + jump-diffusion), EPV (Greenwald zero-growth), EROIC Spread (McKinsey reinvestment), First Chicago (3-scenario), Markov DDM (regime-switching), ML-RIV (machine learning residual income), Dynamic NAV (asset-based), PWERM (option-theoretic), Regime Cross-Sectional (relative), Sentiment SOTP (hybrid), CUCE Ensemble (meta-model), FTNN Topology (neural network), and RCMH-DCF (conditional regime). Currently 8 of 13 are active for this stock. Read the full methodology →

Which valuation models are most bullish and most bearish on IESC?

Of the 8 models currently active on IESC, Regime Cross-Sectional is the most bullish at $459.24 per share, and EROIC Spread is the most bearish at $43.24. CirclFi's published fair value for IESC is the median of that range, $161.00, not either extreme. The gap between the two ends equals 258% of the median — a wide spread, meaning the methods genuinely disagree and the median should carry less weight. Browse stocks by value-trap risk →

Is IESC a value trap in 2026?

IES Holdings, Inc.'s Value Trap score is 18/100 (SAFE). This low score indicates the current valuation is not artificially depressed by fundamental deterioration, suggesting genuine opportunity rather than a trap.

Cite this analysis — “According to CirclFi’s 8-model valuation engine, IES Holdings, Inc. (IESC) has a median fair value of $161.00 — 51.7% below the current price of $333.67 — as of 2026-08-27.” Source: circlfi.com/stock/IESC/ · Methodology
Primary sources for this IESC valuation
  • Financial statements: IES Holdings, Inc. 10-K and 10-Q filings on SEC EDGAR (CIK 0001048268) — 700+ standardized XBRL tags, published by the U.S. Securities and Exchange Commission.
  • Discount-rate inputs: FRED, Federal Reserve Bank of St. Louis — risk-free rates, VIX, yield curve, inflation.
  • News sentiment: The GDELT Project — global media tone, input to the Sentiment SOTP model.
  • Model definitions: CirclFi methodology — the published specification for all 13 models, including the academic sources each one implements.

Market data for IESC as of ; valuations recomputed .

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