What Is Sterling Infrastructure, Inc. (STRL) Worth in 2026?
According to the CirclFi Deep Alpha Valuation Engine, Sterling Infrastructure, Inc.'s intrinsic value is estimated at $283.49, suggesting the stock is overvalued at its current price of $660.04. With 11 out of 12 models flagging downside (-57.0% average return), the market may be pricing in unsustainable growth. Notably, PWERM sees the most upside at +20.6% (fair value: $796.26), while EPV is the most conservative at -93.4% ($43.86). The spread between these extremes — +114.0% — reveals how different analytical frameworks can reach starkly different conclusions. Among models with highest confidence, EPV, Markov DDM lean bearish — adding weight to the bearish side of the thesis.
What Do the Models Say About STRL?
12 of 13 models are currently active for STRL. Of these, 1 model suggests upside while 11 models suggest overvaluation. The Bayesian DCF estimates STRL's intrinsic value at $226.81, implying -65.6% downside from the current price. See which stocks rank higher →
How Does STRL Rank in Heavy Construction Other Than Bldg Const - Contractors?
Among 12 Heavy Construction Other Than Bldg Const - Contractors stocks, STRL ranks #1 by Quality of Company score. CirclFi's QOC score of 10.0/10 evaluates 32 fundamental signals. A score of 10.0 places STRL in the top tier.
As a manufacturing company, Sterling Infrastructure, Inc. operates in a sector where organic revenue growth is a critical driver of valuation. Investors evaluating STRL should weigh these sector-specific dynamics alongside our model-derived fair values.
Is STRL a Value Trap?
The Value Trap algorithm is not active for STRL. The score cross-references apparent undervaluation against fundamental deterioration signals. Browse lowest value-trap stocks →
Multi-Model Methodology
12 of 13 models are active for Sterling Infrastructure, Inc.. Broad coverage provides high confidence. Each model applies a fundamentally different valuation philosophy. See the complete methodology →
According to the CirclFi 32-factor quality framework, Sterling Infrastructure, Inc.'s fundamental quality profile registers 10.0/10. This exceptional score captures the company's profitability depth, growth consistency, balance sheet resilience, and shareholder return track record.
The gap between the most bullish and bearish model spans +114.0% — demonstrating why single-model analysis is dangerous. Browse all stocks with 13-model coverage →
Data Sources & Confidence
Every STRL valuation is built from SEC EDGAR XBRL filings — 700+ standardized financial tags. Macroeconomic context from FRED calibrates discount rates, while GDELT news sentiment feeds into our Sentiment SOTP model. All pipelines run daily. Read the complete data methodology →
Across STRL's 12 active models, average confidence is 47%. Lower confidence may reflect limited history or high volatility.
CirclFi's output is a research starting point, not a buy/sell signal. All data updates daily. Read the full methodology →
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