What Is NXP Semiconductors N.V. (NXPI) Worth in 2026?
According to the CirclFi Deep Alpha Valuation Engine, the balance of valuation evidence tilts cautious on NXP Semiconductors N.V. at its current price of $278.39. The composite intrinsic value is estimated at $265.34 (-4.7% average return), with 7 models flagging overvaluation risk. Notably, Markov DDM sees the most upside at +266.5% (fair value: $1,020.34), while EPV is the most conservative at -85.4% ($40.61). The spread between these extremes — +351.9% — reveals how different analytical frameworks can reach starkly different conclusions. Among models with highest confidence, EPV lean bearish — adding weight to the bearish side of the thesis.
What Do the Models Say About NXPI?
12 of 13 models are currently active for NXPI. Of these, 4 models suggest upside while 8 models suggest overvaluation. The Bayesian DCF estimates NXPI's intrinsic value at $90.62, implying -67.4% downside from the current price. See which stocks rank higher →
How Does NXPI Rank in Semiconductors & Related Devices?
Among 86 Semiconductors & Related Devices stocks, NXPI ranks #6 by Quality of Company score. CirclFi's QOC score of 10.0/10 evaluates 32 fundamental signals. A score of 10.0 places NXPI in the top tier.
See all Most Undervalued Semiconductors & Related Devices Stocks →
As a chip maker, NXP Semiconductors N.V. operates in a sector where inventory days is a critical driver of valuation. Investors evaluating NXPI should weigh these sector-specific dynamics alongside our model-derived fair values.
Is NXPI a Value Trap?
CirclFi's Value Trap algorithm assigns NXPI a score of 12/100 (SAFE). This indicates minimal risk. Fundamentals are healthy. The score cross-references apparent undervaluation against fundamental deterioration signals. Browse lowest value-trap stocks →
Multi-Model Methodology
12 of 13 models are active for NXP Semiconductors N.V.. Broad coverage provides high confidence. Each model applies a fundamentally different valuation philosophy. See the complete methodology →
According to the CirclFi 32-factor quality framework, NXP Semiconductors N.V.'s fundamental quality profile registers 10.0/10. This exceptional score captures the company's profitability depth, growth consistency, balance sheet resilience, and shareholder return track record.
The gap between the most bullish and bearish model spans +351.9% — demonstrating why single-model analysis is dangerous. Browse all stocks with 13-model coverage →
Data Sources & Confidence
Every NXPI valuation is built from SEC EDGAR XBRL filings — 700+ standardized financial tags. Macroeconomic context from FRED calibrates discount rates, while GDELT news sentiment feeds into our Sentiment SOTP model. All pipelines run daily. Read the complete data methodology →
Across NXPI's 12 active models, average confidence is 50%. Moderate confidence indicates reasonable fit.
CirclFi's output is a research starting point, not a buy/sell signal. All data updates daily. Read the full methodology →
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