Credo Technology Group Holding Ltd (CRDO) Fair Value 2026

CRDO · Semiconductors ·

By CirclFi Research Team · Data from SEC EDGAR, FRED & GDELT

Quality Score

9.6 /10

32 fundamental signals · 8 models active

Value Trap Risk

SAFE (14/100)

Quick Summary — As of 2026-08-27, Credo Technology Group Holding Ltd (CRDO) trades at $240.24, versus a $57.58 median fair value across its 8 active models — 76.0% below the current price. QOC: 9.6/10. Value Trap Risk: 14/100 (SAFE). 8/13 models active. Within that set, the Bayesian DCF component alone returns $19.50.

Key Facts

Ticker
CRDO
Price
$240.24
Quality Score
9.6/10
Value Trap Risk
14/100
Models Active
8/13
Last Updated
Strength: Quality Score of 9.6/10 indicates strong fundamentals
Risk: Majority of models suggest overvaluation

Is Credo Technology Group Holding Ltd (CRDO) Undervalued or Overvalued in 2026?

According to CirclFi’s 8-model valuation engine, Credo Technology Group Holding Ltd (CRDO) appears overvalued as of : the median of 8 independent fair value estimates is $57.58, 76.0% below the current price of $240.24. Estimates range from $13.53 to $401.29. CRDO scores 9.6/10 on fundamental quality and 14/100 on value-trap risk.

For context, the median US equity CirclFi rates trades at an implied -23.7% versus its own 13-model consensus, across 3,801 rated companies as of 2026-08-27. CRDO’s -76.0% gap is wider than that market norm, and the Semiconductors sector median is -62.5%. Full market index →

This verdict compares price to intrinsic value only — it is not a buy or sell rating. For the decision case (bull vs bear arguments, risk factors, peers), read Should You Buy Credo Technology Group Holding Ltd Stock in 2026? →

What Fair Value Does Each Model Give CRDO?

8 Intrinsic Value Models vs. Current Price ($240.24)

Core Models (Unlocked)
Model Fair Value Upside
Intrinsic · High Conviction
 $19.50 -91.9%
Ensemble · Low Conviction
 $49.58 -79.4%
Scenario · High Conviction
 $65.58 -72.7%
Intrinsic · High Conviction
 $13.53 -94.4%
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What Is CRDO's Fair Value Range?

Spread across 8 independent models · $13.53 to $401.29

CirclFi's 8 active models place Credo Technology Group Holding Ltd (CRDO) between $13.53 and $401.29 per share, a spread of 673% of the median. The median of that range — $57.58 — is the fair value CirclFi publishes for CRDO, against a current price of $240.24.

Low · RCMH-DCFHigh · Regime Cross
$13.53median $57.58$401.29
Where the range comes from
Most bearish modelRCMH-DCF$13.53
Most bullish modelRegime Cross-Sectional$401.29
Model agreement1 bullish · 7 bearishwide

A band this wide is itself the finding. When independent methods land far apart, they are reading a business whose value depends heavily on which lens you apply — volatile earnings, heavy reinvestment, or an asset base that cash-flow and asset-based methods score differently. That disagreement is information: it says the choice of method matters more than usual for CRDO. Treat the median as one reading among several and compare the individual models below before acting.

Every figure above is one model's standalone output on CRDO, not a CirclFi price target. How each model works →

What Is Credo Technology Group Holding Ltd (CRDO) Worth in 2026?

According to the CirclFi Deep Alpha Valuation Engine, Credo Technology Group Holding Ltd's intrinsic value is estimated at $57.58. Trading at its current price of $240.24, the valuation engine raises significant caution: 7 of 8 models flag downside risk, projecting a median implied return of -76.0%. Model dispersion is worth noting: Regime Cross targets $401.29 (+67.0%), versus RCMH-DCF at $13.53 (-94.4%). This +161.4% range highlights the importance of multi-model analysis rather than relying on any single methodology.

What Do the Models Say About CRDO?

8 of 13 models are currently active for CRDO. Of these, 1 model suggests upside while 7 models suggest overvaluation. Taken together, their median fair value for CRDO is $57.58 — the figure CirclFi publishes as this stock's fair value. One component of that median, the Bayesian DCF, returns $19.50 on its own, implying -91.9% downside from the current price. See which stocks rank higher →

How Does CRDO Rank in Semiconductors?

Among 71 Semiconductors stocks, CRDO ranks #3 by Quality of Company score. CirclFi's QOC score of 9.6/10 evaluates 32 fundamental signals. A score of 9.6 places CRDO in the top tier.

See all Most Undervalued Semiconductors Stocks →

The Semiconductors sector introduces analytical considerations specific to semiconductor company businesses. For Credo Technology Group Holding Ltd, metrics like average selling price (ASP) provide important context that general-purpose valuation models may underweight.

Is CRDO a Value Trap?

CirclFi's Value Trap algorithm assigns CRDO a score of 14/100 (SAFE). This indicates minimal risk. Fundamentals are healthy. The score cross-references apparent undervaluation against fundamental deterioration signals. Browse lowest value-trap stocks →

Multi-Model Methodology

8 of 13 models are active for Credo Technology Group Holding Ltd. Moderate coverage provides meaningful perspective. Each model applies a fundamentally different valuation philosophy. See the complete methodology →

According to the CirclFi Deep Alpha Valuation Engine, Credo Technology Group Holding Ltd scores 9.6 out of 10 on our 32-signal quality assessment, a elite rating that ranks among the highest-quality businesses in our coverage universe. The QOC score synthesizes profitability margins, revenue growth reliability, debt management, and capital allocation into a single metric designed to separate durable businesses from statistically cheap ones.

The gap between the most bullish and bearish model spans +161.4% — demonstrating why single-model analysis is dangerous. Browse all stocks with 13-model coverage →

Data Sources & Confidence

Every CRDO valuation is built from SEC EDGAR XBRL filings — 700+ standardized financial tags. Macroeconomic context from FRED calibrates discount rates, while GDELT news sentiment feeds into our Sentiment SOTP model. All pipelines run daily. Read the complete data methodology →

Across CRDO's 8 active models, average confidence is 43%. Lower confidence may reflect limited history or high volatility.

CirclFi's output is a research starting point, not a buy/sell signal. All data updates daily. Read the full methodology →

This analysis is produced by the CirclFi Valuation Engine using quantitative models applied to SEC EDGAR filings, public market feeds, and FRED macroeconomic indicators. It is not financial advice.

Read the full investment analysis: Should You Buy Credo Technology Group Holding Ltd Stock in 2026? →

Bull case, bear case, risk factors & peer comparison — updated daily

Which Similar Semiconductors Stocks Should You Also Analyze?

9 related Semiconductors stocks with 13-model coverage

AVGOBroadcom Inc.QOC 9.8MPWRMonolithic Power Systems, Inc.QOC 9.5NVDANVIDIA CorporationQOC 10.0CRUSCirrus Logic, Inc.QOC 9.5LAESSEALSQ CorpQOC 1.9NXPINXP Semiconductors N.V.QOC 9.5SWKSSkyworks Solutions, Inc.QOC 8.0VSHVishay Intertechnology, Inc.QOC 6.8AMBQAmbiq Micro, Inc.QOC 4.9

Read investment analysis: AVGO · MPWR · NVDA · CRUS · LAES · NXPI · SWKS · VSH · AMBQ

Which Other Stocks Have a Similar Quality Score to CRDO?

6 companies across all industries closest to CRDO’s Quality of Company score of 9.6/10.

PODDInsulet CorporationQOC 9.6OMABGrupo Aeroportuario del Centro Norte, S.A.B. de C.V.QOC 9.6ZMZoom Communications, Inc.QOC 9.6PCTYPaylocity Holding CorporationQOC 9.6NSSCNapco Security Technologies, Inc.QOC 9.6NVMINova Ltd.QOC 9.6

Read investment analysis: PODD · OMAB · ZM · PCTY · NSSC · NVMI

Where Does CRDO Sit in CirclFi's Semiconductors Rankings?

CRDO is ranked against every other Semiconductors stock CirclFi covers in each of these screens.

See all Semiconductors stocks ranked →

What Else Do Investors Ask About Credo Technology Group Holding Ltd’s Valuation?

What is Credo Technology Group Holding Ltd's intrinsic value in 2026?

CirclFi puts Credo Technology Group Holding Ltd (CRDO)'s intrinsic value at $57.58 — the median of 8 independent model estimates as of 2026-08-27, ranging from $13.53 to $401.29. One component of that median, the Bayesian DCF, runs 10,000 Monte Carlo simulations with jump-diffusion and returns $19.50 on its own. The Quality of Company score is 9.6/10 across 32 fundamental signals. All models use SEC EDGAR filings updated daily. See our methodology page for how each model works.

Is CRDO overvalued or undervalued right now?

At $240.24, 1 of 8 active models suggest CRDO may be undervalued, while 7 indicate potential overvaluation. The median of all 8 fair value estimates is $57.58, 76.0% below the current price of $240.24 — a consensus view that CRDO is overvalued. The assessment depends on which methodology best fits Credo Technology Group Holding Ltd's business model in Semiconductors.

What does a Quality of Company score of 9.6 mean for CRDO?

Credo Technology Group Holding Ltd's QOC of 9.6/10 reflects 32 fundamental signals: profitability margins, revenue growth consistency, balance sheet leverage, free cash flow generation, and capital allocation efficiency. Scores above 7 indicate strong fundamentals and disciplined management.

How many valuation models does CirclFi run on CRDO?

CirclFi analyzes CRDO with 13 institutional-grade models daily: Bayesian DCF (Monte Carlo + jump-diffusion), EPV (Greenwald zero-growth), EROIC Spread (McKinsey reinvestment), First Chicago (3-scenario), Markov DDM (regime-switching), ML-RIV (machine learning residual income), Dynamic NAV (asset-based), PWERM (option-theoretic), Regime Cross-Sectional (relative), Sentiment SOTP (hybrid), CUCE Ensemble (meta-model), FTNN Topology (neural network), and RCMH-DCF (conditional regime). Currently 8 of 13 are active for this stock. Read the full methodology →

Which valuation models are most bullish and most bearish on CRDO?

Of the 8 models currently active on CRDO, Regime Cross-Sectional is the most bullish at $401.29 per share, and RCMH-DCF is the most bearish at $13.53. CirclFi's published fair value for CRDO is the median of that range, $57.58, not either extreme. The gap between the two ends equals 673% of the median — a wide spread, meaning the methods genuinely disagree and the median should carry less weight. Browse stocks by value-trap risk →

Is CRDO a value trap in 2026?

Credo Technology Group Holding Ltd's Value Trap score is 14/100 (SAFE). This low score indicates the current valuation is not artificially depressed by fundamental deterioration, suggesting genuine opportunity rather than a trap.

Cite this analysis — “According to CirclFi’s 8-model valuation engine, Credo Technology Group Holding Ltd (CRDO) has a median fair value of $57.58 — 76.0% below the current price of $240.24 — as of 2026-08-27.” Source: circlfi.com/stock/CRDO/ · Methodology
Primary sources for this CRDO valuation
  • Financial statements: Credo Technology Group Holding Ltd 10-K and 10-Q filings on SEC EDGAR (CIK 0001807794) — 700+ standardized XBRL tags, published by the U.S. Securities and Exchange Commission.
  • Discount-rate inputs: FRED, Federal Reserve Bank of St. Louis — risk-free rates, VIX, yield curve, inflation.
  • News sentiment: The GDELT Project — global media tone, input to the Sentiment SOTP model.
  • Model definitions: CirclFi methodology — the published specification for all 13 models, including the academic sources each one implements.

Market data for CRDO as of ; valuations recomputed .

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