Broadcom Inc. (AVGO) Fair Value 2026

AVGO · Semiconductors & Related Devices ·

By CirclFi Research Team · Data from SEC EDGAR, FRED & GDELT

Quality Score

10.0 /10

32 fundamental signals · 12 models active

Value Trap Risk

SAFE (5/100)

Quick Summary — As of 2026-07-13, Broadcom Inc. (AVGO) trades at $384.05, approximately 345% above CirclFi’s Bayesian DCF fair value of $86.29. QOC: 10.0/10. Value Trap Risk: 5/100 (SAFE). 12/13 models active.

Key Facts

Ticker
AVGO
Price
$384.05
Quality Score
10.0/10
Value Trap Risk
5/100
Models Active
12/13
Last Updated
Strength: Quality Score of 10.0/10 indicates strong fundamentals
Risk: Majority of models suggest overvaluation

Valuation Matrix

12 Intrinsic Value Models vs. Current Price ($384.05)

Core Models (Unlocked)
Model Fair Value Upside
Bayesian DCF
High Conviction
$86.29 -77.5%
Earnings Power Value
Low Conviction
$6.36 -98.3%
CUCE Ensemble
Low Conviction
$94.67 -75.3%
First Chicago
High Conviction
$108.36 -71.8%

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What Is Broadcom Inc. (AVGO) Worth in 2026?

According to the CirclFi Deep Alpha Valuation Engine, Broadcom Inc.'s intrinsic value is estimated at $120.57, suggesting the stock is overvalued at its current price of $384.05. With 11 out of 12 models flagging downside (-68.6% average return), the market may be pricing in unsustainable growth. Notably, PWERM sees the most upside at +2.8% (fair value: $394.96), while EPV is the most conservative at -98.3% ($6.36). The spread between these extremes — +101.2% — reveals how different analytical frameworks can reach starkly different conclusions.

What Do the Models Say About AVGO?

12 of 13 models are currently active for AVGO. Of these, 1 model suggests upside while 11 models suggest overvaluation. The Bayesian DCF estimates AVGO's intrinsic value at $86.29, implying -77.5% downside from the current price. See which stocks rank higher →

How Does AVGO Rank in Semiconductors & Related Devices?

Among 86 Semiconductors & Related Devices stocks, AVGO ranks #1 by Quality of Company score. CirclFi's QOC score of 10.0/10 evaluates 32 fundamental signals. A score of 10.0 places AVGO in the top tier.

See all Most Undervalued Semiconductors & Related Devices Stocks →

Within the Semiconductors & Related Devices space, Broadcom Inc. competes in an environment where R&D-to-revenue ratio often separates market leaders from laggards. Understanding these industry-specific dynamics is essential context for interpreting our model outputs.

Is AVGO a Value Trap?

CirclFi's Value Trap algorithm assigns AVGO a score of 5/100 (SAFE). This indicates minimal risk. Fundamentals are healthy. The score cross-references apparent undervaluation against fundamental deterioration signals. Browse lowest value-trap stocks →

Multi-Model Methodology

12 of 13 models are active for Broadcom Inc.. Broad coverage provides high confidence. Each model applies a fundamentally different valuation philosophy. See the complete methodology →

According to the CirclFi Quality of Company (QOC) framework, which evaluates 32 signals including margin stability, revenue growth trajectory, leverage, and free cash flow generation, Broadcom Inc. is rated at 10.0/10. This elite-tier score ranks among the highest-quality businesses in our coverage universe.

The gap between the most bullish and bearish model spans +101.2% — demonstrating why single-model analysis is dangerous. Browse all stocks with 13-model coverage →

Data Sources & Confidence

Every AVGO valuation is built from SEC EDGAR XBRL filings — 700+ standardized financial tags. Macroeconomic context from FRED calibrates discount rates, while GDELT news sentiment feeds into our Sentiment SOTP model. All pipelines run daily. Read the complete data methodology →

Across AVGO's 12 active models, average confidence is 42%. Lower confidence may reflect limited history or high volatility.

CirclFi's output is a research starting point, not a buy/sell signal. All data updates daily. Read the full methodology →

This analysis is produced by the CirclFi Valuation Engine using quantitative models applied to SEC EDGAR filings, public market feeds, and FRED macroeconomic indicators. It is not financial advice.

Read the full investment analysis: Should You Buy Broadcom Inc. Stock in 2026? →

Bull case, bear case, risk factors & peer comparison — updated daily

Which Similar Semiconductors & Related Devices Stocks Should You Also Analyze?

8 related Semiconductors & Related Devices stocks with 13-model coverage

Read investment analysis: CRDO · CRUS · MPWR · NVDA · NXPI

See all Semiconductors & Related Devices stocks ranked →

Frequently Asked Questions About Broadcom Inc.

What is Broadcom Inc.'s intrinsic value in 2026?

Based on CirclFi's 13-model analysis, Broadcom Inc. (AVGO) has multiple fair value estimates. The Bayesian DCF model runs 10,000 Monte Carlo simulations with jump-diffusion to estimate intrinsic value at $86.29. The Quality of Company score is 10.0/10 across 32 fundamental signals. All models use SEC EDGAR filings updated daily. See our methodology page for how each model works.

Is AVGO overvalued or undervalued right now?

At $384.05, 1 of 12 active models suggest AVGO may be undervalued, while 11 indicate potential overvaluation. The assessment depends on which methodology best fits Broadcom Inc.'s business model in Semiconductors & Related Devices.

What does a Quality of Company score of 10.0 mean for AVGO?

Broadcom Inc.'s QOC of 10.0/10 reflects 32 fundamental signals: profitability margins, revenue growth consistency, balance sheet leverage, free cash flow generation, and capital allocation efficiency. Scores above 7 indicate strong fundamentals and disciplined management.

How many valuation models does CirclFi run on AVGO?

CirclFi analyzes AVGO with 13 institutional-grade models daily: Bayesian DCF (Monte Carlo + jump-diffusion), EPV (Greenwald zero-growth), EROIC Spread (McKinsey reinvestment), First Chicago (3-scenario), Markov DDM (regime-switching), ML-RIV (machine learning residual income), Dynamic NAV (asset-based), PWERM (option-theoretic), Regime Cross-Sectional (relative), Sentiment SOTP (hybrid), CUCE Ensemble (meta-model), FTNN Topology (neural network), and RCMH-DCF (conditional regime). Currently 12 of 13 are active for this stock. Read the full methodology →

Is AVGO a value trap in 2026?

Broadcom Inc.'s Value Trap score is 5/100 (SAFE). This low score indicates the current valuation is not artificially depressed by fundamental deterioration, suggesting genuine opportunity rather than a trap. Browse stocks by value-trap risk →

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