SEALSQ Corp (LAES) Fair Value 2026

LAES · Semiconductors & Related Devices ·

By CirclFi Research Team · Data from SEC EDGAR, FRED & GDELT

Quality Score

1.9 /10

32 fundamental signals · 11 models active

Value Trap Risk

SAFE (12/100)

Quick Summary — As of 2026-07-13, SEALSQ Corp (LAES) trades at $2.71, approximately 348% above CirclFi’s Bayesian DCF fair value of $0.61. QOC: 1.9/10. Value Trap Risk: 12/100 (SAFE). 11/13 models active.

Key Facts

Ticker
LAES
Price
$2.71
Quality Score
1.9/10
Value Trap Risk
12/100
Models Active
11/13
Last Updated
Strength: First Chicago suggests +44.4% upside with 7% confidence
Risk: Below-average Quality Score of 1.9/10 signals weak fundamentals

Valuation Matrix

11 Intrinsic Value Models vs. Current Price ($2.71)

Core Models (Unlocked)
Model Fair Value Upside
Bayesian DCF
Low Conviction
$0.61 -77.7%
Earnings Power Value
Medium Conviction
$2.45 -9.5%
CUCE Ensemble
Low Conviction
$2.19 -19.2%
First Chicago
Low Conviction
$3.91 +44.4%

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What Is SEALSQ Corp (LAES) Worth in 2026?

According to the CirclFi Deep Alpha Valuation Engine, SEALSQ Corp presents a highly debated valuation profile at its current price of $2.71. The composite intrinsic value is estimated at $2.40 (-11.5% average upside), masking a wide model spread between the 5 bullish models and 6 bearish models. Model dispersion is worth noting: First Chicago targets $3.91 (+44.4%), versus Regime Cross at $0.21 (-92.4%). This +136.8% range highlights the importance of multi-model analysis rather than relying on any single methodology.

What Do the Models Say About LAES?

11 of 13 models are currently active for LAES. Of these, 5 models suggest upside while 6 models suggest overvaluation. The Bayesian DCF estimates LAES's intrinsic value at $0.61, implying -77.7% downside from the current price. See which stocks rank higher →

How Does LAES Rank in Semiconductors & Related Devices?

Among 86 Semiconductors & Related Devices stocks, LAES ranks #84 by Quality of Company score. CirclFi's QOC score of 1.9/10 evaluates 32 fundamental signals. A score of 1.9 signals below-average fundamentals.

See all Most Undervalued Semiconductors & Related Devices Stocks →

As a semiconductor company, SEALSQ Corp operates in a sector where book-to-bill ratio is a critical driver of valuation. Investors evaluating LAES should weigh these sector-specific dynamics alongside our model-derived fair values.

Is LAES a Value Trap?

CirclFi's Value Trap algorithm assigns LAES a score of 12/100 (SAFE). This indicates minimal risk. Fundamentals are healthy. The score cross-references apparent undervaluation against fundamental deterioration signals. Browse lowest value-trap stocks →

Multi-Model Methodology

11 of 13 models are active for SEALSQ Corp. Broad coverage provides high confidence. Each model applies a fundamentally different valuation philosophy. See the complete methodology →

According to the CirclFi 32-factor quality framework, SEALSQ Corp's fundamental quality profile registers 1.9/10. This concerning score captures the company's profitability depth, growth consistency, balance sheet resilience, and shareholder return track record.

The gap between the most bullish and bearish model spans +136.8% — demonstrating why single-model analysis is dangerous. Browse all stocks with 13-model coverage →

Data Sources & Confidence

Every LAES valuation is built from SEC EDGAR XBRL filings — 700+ standardized financial tags. Macroeconomic context from FRED calibrates discount rates, while GDELT news sentiment feeds into our Sentiment SOTP model. All pipelines run daily. Read the complete data methodology →

Across LAES's 11 active models, average confidence is 11%. Lower confidence may reflect limited history or high volatility.

CirclFi's output is a research starting point, not a buy/sell signal. All data updates daily. Read the full methodology →

This analysis is produced by the CirclFi Valuation Engine using quantitative models applied to SEC EDGAR filings, public market feeds, and FRED macroeconomic indicators. It is not financial advice.

Read the full investment analysis: Should You Buy SEALSQ Corp Stock in 2026? →

Bull case, bear case, risk factors & peer comparison — updated daily

Which Similar Semiconductors & Related Devices Stocks Should You Also Analyze?

8 related Semiconductors & Related Devices stocks with 13-model coverage

Read investment analysis: AVGO · CRDO · CRUS · MPWR · NVDA

See all Semiconductors & Related Devices stocks ranked →

Frequently Asked Questions About SEALSQ Corp

What is SEALSQ Corp's intrinsic value in 2026?

Based on CirclFi's 13-model analysis, SEALSQ Corp (LAES) has multiple fair value estimates. The Bayesian DCF model runs 10,000 Monte Carlo simulations with jump-diffusion to estimate intrinsic value at $0.61. The Quality of Company score is 1.9/10 across 32 fundamental signals. All models use SEC EDGAR filings updated daily. See our methodology page for how each model works.

Is LAES overvalued or undervalued right now?

At $2.71, 5 of 11 active models suggest LAES may be undervalued, while 6 indicate potential overvaluation. The assessment depends on which methodology best fits SEALSQ Corp's business model in Semiconductors & Related Devices.

What does a Quality of Company score of 1.9 mean for LAES?

SEALSQ Corp's QOC of 1.9/10 reflects 32 fundamental signals: profitability margins, revenue growth consistency, balance sheet leverage, free cash flow generation, and capital allocation efficiency. Scores below 5 flag potential fundamental weaknesses requiring careful analysis.

How many valuation models does CirclFi run on LAES?

CirclFi analyzes LAES with 13 institutional-grade models daily: Bayesian DCF (Monte Carlo + jump-diffusion), EPV (Greenwald zero-growth), EROIC Spread (McKinsey reinvestment), First Chicago (3-scenario), Markov DDM (regime-switching), ML-RIV (machine learning residual income), Dynamic NAV (asset-based), PWERM (option-theoretic), Regime Cross-Sectional (relative), Sentiment SOTP (hybrid), CUCE Ensemble (meta-model), FTNN Topology (neural network), and RCMH-DCF (conditional regime). Currently 11 of 13 are active for this stock. Read the full methodology →

Is LAES a value trap in 2026?

SEALSQ Corp's Value Trap score is 12/100 (SAFE). This low score indicates the current valuation is not artificially depressed by fundamental deterioration, suggesting genuine opportunity rather than a trap. Browse stocks by value-trap risk →

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