KLA Corporation (KLAC) Fair Value 2026

KLAC · Semiconductor Equipment & Materials ·

By CirclFi Research Team · Data from SEC EDGAR, FRED & GDELT

Quality Score

9.8 /10

32 fundamental signals · 9 models active

Value Trap Risk

SAFE (12/100)

Quick Summary — As of 2026-08-27, KLA Corporation (KLAC) trades at $183.77, versus a $45.29 median fair value across its 9 active models — 75.4% below the current price. QOC: 9.8/10. Value Trap Risk: 12/100 (SAFE). 9/13 models active. Within that set, the Bayesian DCF component alone returns $46.56.

Key Facts

Ticker
KLAC
Price
$183.77
Quality Score
9.8/10
Value Trap Risk
12/100
Models Active
9/13
Last Updated
Strength: Quality Score of 9.8/10 indicates strong fundamentals
Risk: Majority of models suggest overvaluation

Is KLA Corporation (KLAC) Undervalued or Overvalued in 2026?

According to CirclFi’s 9-model valuation engine, KLA Corporation (KLAC) appears overvalued as of : the median of 9 independent fair value estimates is $45.29, 75.4% below the current price of $183.77. Estimates range from $16.98 to $293.69. KLAC scores 9.8/10 on fundamental quality and 12/100 on value-trap risk.

For context, the median US equity CirclFi rates trades at an implied -23.7% versus its own 13-model consensus, across 3,801 rated companies as of 2026-08-27. KLAC’s -75.4% gap is wider than that market norm, and the Semiconductor Equipment & Materials sector median is -71.1%. Full market index →

This verdict compares price to intrinsic value only — it is not a buy or sell rating. For the decision case (bull vs bear arguments, risk factors, peers), read Should You Buy KLA Corporation Stock in 2026? →

What Fair Value Does Each Model Give KLAC?

9 Intrinsic Value Models vs. Current Price ($183.77)

Core Models (Unlocked)
Model Fair Value Upside
Intrinsic · High Conviction
 $46.56 -74.7%
Intrinsic · High Conviction
 $24.28 -86.8%
Ensemble · Low Conviction
 $45.29 -75.4%
Scenario · High Conviction
 $81.55 -55.6%
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What Is KLAC's Fair Value Range?

Spread across 9 independent models · $16.98 to $293.69

CirclFi's 9 active models place KLA Corporation (KLAC) between $16.98 and $293.69 per share, a spread of 611% of the median. The median of that range — $45.29 — is the fair value CirclFi publishes for KLAC, against a current price of $183.77.

Low · Markov DDMHigh · Regime Cross
$16.98median $45.29$293.69
Where the range comes from
Most bearish modelMarkov DDM$16.98
Most bullish modelRegime Cross-Sectional$293.69
Model agreement1 bullish · 8 bearishwide

A band this wide is itself the finding. When independent methods land far apart, they are reading a business whose value depends heavily on which lens you apply — volatile earnings, heavy reinvestment, or an asset base that cash-flow and asset-based methods score differently. That disagreement is information: it says the choice of method matters more than usual for KLAC. Treat the median as one reading among several and compare the individual models below before acting.

Every figure above is one model's standalone output on KLAC, not a CirclFi price target. How each model works →

What Is KLA Corporation (KLAC) Worth in 2026?

According to the CirclFi Deep Alpha Valuation Engine, KLA Corporation's intrinsic value is estimated at $45.29, suggesting the stock is overvalued at its current price of $183.77. With 8 out of 9 models flagging downside (-75.4% vs price), the market may be pricing in unsustainable growth. Notably, Regime Cross sees the most upside at +59.8% (fair value: $293.69), while Markov DDM is the most conservative at -90.8% ($16.98). The spread between these extremes — +150.6% — reveals how different analytical frameworks can reach starkly different conclusions. Among models with highest confidence, Bayesian DCF, EPV lean bearish — adding weight to the bearish side of the thesis.

What Do the Models Say About KLAC?

9 of 13 models are currently active for KLAC. Of these, 1 model suggests upside while 8 models suggest overvaluation. Taken together, their median fair value for KLAC is $45.29 — the figure CirclFi publishes as this stock's fair value. One component of that median, the Bayesian DCF, returns $46.56 on its own, implying -74.7% downside from the current price. See which stocks rank higher →

How Does KLAC Rank in Semiconductor Equipment & Materials?

Among 32 Semiconductor Equipment & Materials stocks, KLAC ranks #1 by Quality of Company score. CirclFi's QOC score of 9.8/10 evaluates 32 fundamental signals. A score of 9.8 places KLAC in the top tier.

As a chip maker, KLA Corporation operates in a sector where design win pipeline is a critical driver of valuation. Investors evaluating KLAC should weigh these sector-specific dynamics alongside our model-derived fair values.

Is KLAC a Value Trap?

CirclFi's Value Trap algorithm assigns KLAC a score of 12/100 (SAFE). This indicates minimal risk. Fundamentals are healthy. The score cross-references apparent undervaluation against fundamental deterioration signals. Browse lowest value-trap stocks →

Multi-Model Methodology

9 of 13 models are active for KLA Corporation. Moderate coverage provides meaningful perspective. Each model applies a fundamentally different valuation philosophy. See the complete methodology →

According to the CirclFi 32-factor quality framework, KLA Corporation's fundamental quality profile registers 9.8/10. This exceptional score captures the company's profitability depth, growth consistency, balance sheet resilience, and shareholder return track record.

The gap between the most bullish and bearish model spans +150.6% — demonstrating why single-model analysis is dangerous. Browse all stocks with 13-model coverage →

Data Sources & Confidence

Every KLAC valuation is built from SEC EDGAR XBRL filings — 700+ standardized financial tags. Macroeconomic context from FRED calibrates discount rates, while GDELT news sentiment feeds into our Sentiment SOTP model. All pipelines run daily. Read the complete data methodology →

Across KLAC's 9 active models, average confidence is 55%. Moderate confidence indicates reasonable fit.

CirclFi's output is a research starting point, not a buy/sell signal. All data updates daily. Read the full methodology →

This analysis is produced by the CirclFi Valuation Engine using quantitative models applied to SEC EDGAR filings, public market feeds, and FRED macroeconomic indicators. It is not financial advice.

Read the full investment analysis: Should You Buy KLA Corporation Stock in 2026? →

Bull case, bear case, risk factors & peer comparison — updated daily

Which Similar Semiconductor Equipment & Materials Stocks Should You Also Analyze?

9 related Semiconductor Equipment & Materials stocks with 13-model coverage

DQDaqo New Energy Corp.QOC 2.4ASMLASML Holding N.V.QOC 9.7ATOMAtomera IncorporatedQOC 6.1LRCXLam Research CorporationQOC 9.7SMTKSmartKem, Inc.QOC 6.2NVMINova Ltd.QOC 9.6PLABPhotronics, Inc.QOC 8.9AMKRAmkor Technology, Inc.QOC 7.8ICHRIchor Holdings, Ltd.QOC 6.8

Read investment analysis: DQ · ASML · ATOM · LRCX · SMTK · NVMI · PLAB · AMKR · ICHR

Which Other Stocks Have a Similar Quality Score to KLAC?

6 companies across all industries closest to KLAC’s Quality of Company score of 9.8/10.

ADSKAutodesk, Inc.QOC 9.8FUTUFutu Holdings LimitedQOC 9.8HCIHCI Group, Inc.QOC 9.9NFLXNetflix, Inc.QOC 9.8NVDANVIDIA CorporationQOC 10.0ANETArista Networks, Inc.QOC 9.8

Read investment analysis: ADSK · FUTU · HCI · NFLX · NVDA · ANET

What Else Do Investors Ask About KLA Corporation’s Valuation?

What is KLA Corporation's intrinsic value in 2026?

CirclFi puts KLA Corporation (KLAC)'s intrinsic value at $45.29 — the median of 9 independent model estimates as of 2026-08-27, ranging from $16.98 to $293.69. One component of that median, the Bayesian DCF, runs 10,000 Monte Carlo simulations with jump-diffusion and returns $46.56 on its own. The Quality of Company score is 9.8/10 across 32 fundamental signals. All models use SEC EDGAR filings updated daily. See our methodology page for how each model works.

Is KLAC overvalued or undervalued right now?

At $183.77, 1 of 9 active models suggest KLAC may be undervalued, while 8 indicate potential overvaluation. The median of all 9 fair value estimates is $45.29, 75.4% below the current price of $183.77 — a consensus view that KLAC is overvalued. The assessment depends on which methodology best fits KLA Corporation's business model in Semiconductor Equipment & Materials.

What does a Quality of Company score of 9.8 mean for KLAC?

KLA Corporation's QOC of 9.8/10 reflects 32 fundamental signals: profitability margins, revenue growth consistency, balance sheet leverage, free cash flow generation, and capital allocation efficiency. Scores above 7 indicate strong fundamentals and disciplined management.

How many valuation models does CirclFi run on KLAC?

CirclFi analyzes KLAC with 13 institutional-grade models daily: Bayesian DCF (Monte Carlo + jump-diffusion), EPV (Greenwald zero-growth), EROIC Spread (McKinsey reinvestment), First Chicago (3-scenario), Markov DDM (regime-switching), ML-RIV (machine learning residual income), Dynamic NAV (asset-based), PWERM (option-theoretic), Regime Cross-Sectional (relative), Sentiment SOTP (hybrid), CUCE Ensemble (meta-model), FTNN Topology (neural network), and RCMH-DCF (conditional regime). Currently 9 of 13 are active for this stock. Read the full methodology →

Which valuation models are most bullish and most bearish on KLAC?

Of the 9 models currently active on KLAC, Regime Cross-Sectional is the most bullish at $293.69 per share, and Markov DDM is the most bearish at $16.98. CirclFi's published fair value for KLAC is the median of that range, $45.29, not either extreme. The gap between the two ends equals 611% of the median — a wide spread, meaning the methods genuinely disagree and the median should carry less weight. Browse stocks by value-trap risk →

Is KLAC a value trap in 2026?

KLA Corporation's Value Trap score is 12/100 (SAFE). This low score indicates the current valuation is not artificially depressed by fundamental deterioration, suggesting genuine opportunity rather than a trap.

Cite this analysis — “According to CirclFi’s 9-model valuation engine, KLA Corporation (KLAC) has a median fair value of $45.29 — 75.4% below the current price of $183.77 — as of 2026-08-27.” Source: circlfi.com/stock/KLAC/ · Methodology
Primary sources for this KLAC valuation
  • Financial statements: KLA Corporation 10-K and 10-Q filings on SEC EDGAR (CIK 0000319201) — 700+ standardized XBRL tags, published by the U.S. Securities and Exchange Commission.
  • Discount-rate inputs: FRED, Federal Reserve Bank of St. Louis — risk-free rates, VIX, yield curve, inflation.
  • News sentiment: The GDELT Project — global media tone, input to the Sentiment SOTP model.
  • Model definitions: CirclFi methodology — the published specification for all 13 models, including the academic sources each one implements.

Market data for KLAC as of ; valuations recomputed .

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