MultiSensor AI Holdings, Inc. (MSAI) Fair Value 2026

MSAI · Electronic Components ·

By CirclFi Research Team · Data from SEC EDGAR, FRED & GDELT

Quality Score

5.3 /10

32 fundamental signals · 1 models active

Value Trap Risk

LOW (28/100)

Quick Summary — As of 2026-08-27, MultiSensor AI Holdings, Inc. (MSAI) trades at $5.43. QOC: 5.3/10. Value Trap Risk: 28/100 (LOW). 1/13 models active.

Key Facts

Ticker
MSAI
Price
$5.43
Quality Score
5.3/10
Value Trap Risk
28/100
Models Active
1/13
Last Updated
Strength: Dynamic NAV suggests +109.7% upside with 49% confidence
Risk: Limited model coverage (1/13) may reduce confidence

What Fair Value Does Each Model Give MSAI?

1 Intrinsic Value Models vs. Current Price ($5.43)

Core Models (Unlocked)
Model Fair Value Upside
Asset-Based · Medium Conviction
 $11.39 +109.7%

All Models Active

All 1 models are displayed above.

What Is MultiSensor AI Holdings, Inc. (MSAI) Worth in 2026?

According to the CirclFi Deep Alpha Valuation Engine, MultiSensor AI Holdings, Inc.'s intrinsic value is estimated at a median fair value of $11.39. At a current market price of $5.43, 1 of 1 active valuation models identify upside potential, projecting a median implied return of +109.7%.

What Do the Models Say About MSAI?

1 of 13 models are currently active for MSAI. All 1 active models suggest the stock trades below fair value. See which stocks rank higher →

How Does MSAI Rank in Electronic Components?

Among 46 Electronic Components stocks, MSAI ranks #40 by Quality of Company score. CirclFi's QOC score of 5.3/10 evaluates 32 fundamental signals. A score of 5.3 reflects mixed fundamentals.

MultiSensor AI Holdings, Inc. operates in a competitive landscape where fundamental quality metrics are key differentiators for long-term value creation.

Is MSAI a Value Trap?

CirclFi's Value Trap algorithm assigns MSAI a score of 28/100 (LOW). This indicates low risk. The financial profile does not exhibit typical value trap warning signs. The score cross-references apparent undervaluation against fundamental deterioration signals. Browse lowest value-trap stocks →

Multi-Model Methodology

1 of 13 models are active for MultiSensor AI Holdings, Inc.. Limited activation may indicate insufficient history. Each model applies a fundamentally different valuation philosophy. See the complete methodology →

According to the CirclFi Deep Alpha Valuation Engine, MultiSensor AI Holdings, Inc. scores 5.3 out of 10 on our 32-signal quality assessment, a moderate rating that shows mixed signals across our quality framework with notable weaknesses. The QOC score synthesizes profitability margins, revenue growth reliability, debt management, and capital allocation into a single metric designed to separate durable businesses from statistically cheap ones.

CirclFi runs 13 independent models for each stock. Browse all stocks with 13-model coverage →

Data Sources & Confidence

Every MSAI valuation is built from SEC EDGAR XBRL filings — 700+ standardized financial tags. Macroeconomic context from FRED calibrates discount rates, while GDELT news sentiment feeds into our Sentiment SOTP model. All pipelines run daily. Read the complete data methodology →

Across MSAI's 1 active models, average confidence is 49%. Lower confidence may reflect limited history or high volatility.

CirclFi's output is a research starting point, not a buy/sell signal. All data updates daily. Read the full methodology →

This analysis is produced by the CirclFi Valuation Engine using quantitative models applied to SEC EDGAR filings, public market feeds, and FRED macroeconomic indicators. It is not financial advice.

Read the full investment analysis: Should You Buy MultiSensor AI Holdings, Inc. Stock in 2026? →

Bull case, bear case, risk factors & peer comparison — updated daily

Which Similar Electronic Components Stocks Should You Also Analyze?

11 related Electronic Components stocks with 13-model coverage

RALRalliant CorporationQOC 5.5IMTEIntegrated Media Technology LimitedQOC 4.7REFRResearch Frontiers IncorporatedQOC 6.0WBXWallbox N.V.QOC 4.4OPTXSyntec Optics Holdings, Inc.QOC 6.0ELTKEltek Ltd.QOC 2.7JBLJabil Inc.QOC 9.0BHEBenchmark Electronics, Inc.QOC 8.3MEIMethode Electronics, Inc.QOC 7.0CLSCelestica Inc.QOC 9.4APHAmphenol CorporationQOC 9.3

Read investment analysis: RAL · IMTE · REFR · WBX · OPTX · ELTK · JBL · BHE · MEI · CLS · APH

Which Other Stocks Have a Similar Quality Score to MSAI?

7 companies across all industries closest to MSAI’s Quality of Company score of 5.3/10.

NIXXNixxy, Inc.QOC 5.3SAFXXCF Global, Inc.QOC 5.3LULufax Holding LtdQOC 5.3BRWCBirdie Win CorporationQOC 5.3VETVermilion Energy Inc.QOC 5.3HMHHMH Holding Inc.QOC 5.3NVDANVIDIA CorporationQOC 10.0

Read investment analysis: NIXX · SAFX · LU · BRWC · VET · HMH · NVDA

What Else Do Investors Ask About MultiSensor AI Holdings, Inc.’s Valuation?

What is MultiSensor AI Holdings, Inc.'s intrinsic value in 2026?

CirclFi does not yet have enough active models to publish a median fair value for MultiSensor AI Holdings, Inc. (MSAI). The Quality of Company score is 5.3/10 across 32 fundamental signals. All models use SEC EDGAR filings updated daily. See our methodology page for how each model works.

Is MSAI overvalued or undervalued right now?

At $5.43, 1 of 1 active models suggest MSAI may be undervalued, while 0 indicate potential overvaluation. The assessment depends on which methodology best fits MultiSensor AI Holdings, Inc.'s business model in Electronic Components.

What does a Quality of Company score of 5.3 mean for MSAI?

MultiSensor AI Holdings, Inc.'s QOC of 5.3/10 reflects 32 fundamental signals: profitability margins, revenue growth consistency, balance sheet leverage, free cash flow generation, and capital allocation efficiency. Scores between 5-7 reflect moderate fundamentals with areas for improvement.

How many valuation models does CirclFi run on MSAI?

CirclFi analyzes MSAI with 13 institutional-grade models daily: Bayesian DCF (Monte Carlo + jump-diffusion), EPV (Greenwald zero-growth), EROIC Spread (McKinsey reinvestment), First Chicago (3-scenario), Markov DDM (regime-switching), ML-RIV (machine learning residual income), Dynamic NAV (asset-based), PWERM (option-theoretic), Regime Cross-Sectional (relative), Sentiment SOTP (hybrid), CUCE Ensemble (meta-model), FTNN Topology (neural network), and RCMH-DCF (conditional regime). Currently 1 of 13 are active for this stock. Read the full methodology →

Is MSAI a value trap in 2026?

MultiSensor AI Holdings, Inc.'s Value Trap score is 28/100 (LOW). This low score indicates the current valuation is not artificially depressed by fundamental deterioration, suggesting genuine opportunity rather than a trap. Browse stocks by value-trap risk →

Cite this analysis — “CirclFi assigns MultiSensor AI Holdings, Inc. (MSAI) a Quality of Company score of 5.3/10 across 32 fundamental signals as of 2026-08-27.” Source: circlfi.com/stock/MSAI/ · Methodology
Primary sources for this MSAI valuation
  • Financial statements: MultiSensor AI Holdings, Inc. 10-K and 10-Q filings on SEC EDGAR (CIK 0001863990) — 700+ standardized XBRL tags, published by the U.S. Securities and Exchange Commission.
  • Discount-rate inputs: FRED, Federal Reserve Bank of St. Louis — risk-free rates, VIX, yield curve, inflation.
  • News sentiment: The GDELT Project — global media tone, input to the Sentiment SOTP model.
  • Model definitions: CirclFi methodology — the published specification for all 13 models, including the academic sources each one implements.

Market data for MSAI as of ; valuations recomputed .