Coherent Corp. (COHR) Fair Value 2026

COHR · Scientific & Technical Instruments ·

By CirclFi Research Team · Data from SEC EDGAR, FRED & GDELT

Quality Score

7.5 /10

32 fundamental signals · 7 models active

Value Trap Risk

SAFE (24/100)

Quick Summary — As of 2026-08-27, Coherent Corp. (COHR) trades at $295.39, versus a $146.00 median fair value across its 7 active models — 50.6% below the current price. QOC: 7.5/10. Value Trap Risk: 24/100 (SAFE). 7/13 models active.

Key Facts

Ticker
COHR
Price
$295.39
Quality Score
7.5/10
Value Trap Risk
24/100
Models Active
7/13
Last Updated
Strength: 7 independent models provide multi-angle coverage
Risk: Majority of models suggest overvaluation

Is Coherent Corp. (COHR) Undervalued or Overvalued in 2026?

According to CirclFi’s 7-model valuation engine, Coherent Corp. (COHR) appears overvalued as of : the median of 7 independent fair value estimates is $146.00, 50.6% below the current price of $295.39. Estimates range from $24.08 to $561.64. COHR scores 7.5/10 on fundamental quality and 24/100 on value-trap risk.

For context, the median US equity CirclFi rates trades at an implied -23.7% versus its own 13-model consensus, across 3,801 rated companies as of 2026-08-27. COHR’s -50.6% gap is wider than that market norm, and the Scientific & Technical Instruments sector median is -44.5%. Full market index →

This verdict compares price to intrinsic value only — it is not a buy or sell rating. For the decision case (bull vs bear arguments, risk factors, peers), read Should You Buy Coherent Corp. Stock in 2026? →

What Fair Value Does Each Model Give COHR?

7 Intrinsic Value Models vs. Current Price ($295.39)

Core Models (Unlocked)
Model Fair Value Upside
Ensemble · Low Conviction
 $113.90 -61.4%
Scenario · High Conviction
 $146.00 -50.6%
Intrinsic · High Conviction
 $38.28 -87.0%
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What Is COHR's Fair Value Range?

Spread across 7 independent models · $24.08 to $561.64

CirclFi's 7 active models place Coherent Corp. (COHR) between $24.08 and $561.64 per share, a spread of 368% of the median. The median of that range — $146.00 — is the fair value CirclFi publishes for COHR, against a current price of $295.39.

Low · ML-RIVHigh · Regime Cross
$24.08median $146.00$561.64
Where the range comes from
Most bearish modelML Residual Income$24.08
Most bullish modelRegime Cross-Sectional$561.64
Model agreement1 bullish · 6 bearishwide

A band this wide is itself the finding. When independent methods land far apart, they are reading a business whose value depends heavily on which lens you apply — volatile earnings, heavy reinvestment, or an asset base that cash-flow and asset-based methods score differently. That disagreement is information: it says the choice of method matters more than usual for COHR. Treat the median as one reading among several and compare the individual models below before acting.

Every figure above is one model's standalone output on COHR, not a CirclFi price target. How each model works →

What Is Coherent Corp. (COHR) Worth in 2026?

According to the CirclFi Deep Alpha Valuation Engine, Coherent Corp.'s intrinsic value is estimated at $146.00. Trading at its current price of $295.39, the valuation engine raises significant caution: 6 of 7 models flag downside risk, projecting a median implied return of -50.6%. The most optimistic model, Regime Cross, places fair value at $561.64 (+90.1%), while ML-RIV — the most conservative — estimates $24.08 (-91.8%). This +182.0% gap reflects genuine analytical uncertainty about Coherent Corp.'s intrinsic worth.

What Do the Models Say About COHR?

7 of 13 models are currently active for COHR. Of these, 1 model suggests upside while 6 models suggest overvaluation. Taken together, their median fair value for COHR is $146.00 — the figure CirclFi publishes as this stock's fair value. See which stocks rank higher →

How Does COHR Rank in Scientific & Technical Instruments?

Among 40 Scientific & Technical Instruments stocks, COHR ranks #18 by Quality of Company score. CirclFi's QOC score of 7.5/10 evaluates 32 fundamental signals. A score of 7.5 indicates above-average quality.

Coherent Corp. operates in a competitive landscape where fundamental quality metrics are key differentiators for long-term value creation.

Is COHR a Value Trap?

CirclFi's Value Trap algorithm assigns COHR a score of 24/100 (SAFE). This indicates minimal risk. Fundamentals are healthy. The score cross-references apparent undervaluation against fundamental deterioration signals. Browse lowest value-trap stocks →

Multi-Model Methodology

7 of 13 models are active for Coherent Corp.. Moderate coverage provides meaningful perspective. Each model applies a fundamentally different valuation philosophy. See the complete methodology →

According to the CirclFi Deep Alpha Valuation Engine, Coherent Corp. scores 7.5 out of 10 on our 32-signal quality assessment, a solid rating that maintains reasonable quality metrics with some areas for improvement. The QOC score synthesizes profitability margins, revenue growth reliability, debt management, and capital allocation into a single metric designed to separate durable businesses from statistically cheap ones.

The gap between the most bullish and bearish model spans +182.0% — demonstrating why single-model analysis is dangerous. Browse all stocks with 13-model coverage →

Data Sources & Confidence

Every COHR valuation is built from SEC EDGAR XBRL filings — 700+ standardized financial tags. Macroeconomic context from FRED calibrates discount rates, while GDELT news sentiment feeds into our Sentiment SOTP model. All pipelines run daily. Read the complete data methodology →

Across COHR's 7 active models, average confidence is 43%. Lower confidence may reflect limited history or high volatility.

CirclFi's output is a research starting point, not a buy/sell signal. All data updates daily. Read the full methodology →

This analysis is produced by the CirclFi Valuation Engine using quantitative models applied to SEC EDGAR filings, public market feeds, and FRED macroeconomic indicators. It is not financial advice.

Read the full investment analysis: Should You Buy Coherent Corp. Stock in 2026? →

Bull case, bear case, risk factors & peer comparison — updated daily

Which Similar Scientific & Technical Instruments Stocks Should You Also Analyze?

11 related Scientific & Technical Instruments stocks with 13-model coverage

VPGVishay Precision Group, Inc.QOC 7.7LGLThe LGL Group, Inc.QOC 7.1MKSIMKS Inc.QOC 8.0MINDMIND Technology, Inc.QOC 6.9FTVFortive CorporationQOC 8.0LCTCLifeloc Technologies, Inc.QOC 6.8QURTQuarta-Rad, Inc.QOC 5.7USBCUSBC, Inc.QOC 3.7AATCAutoscope Technologies CorporationQOC 8.5ACFNAcorn Energy, Inc.QOC 9.4BMIBadger Meter, Inc.QOC 9.3

Read investment analysis: VPG · LGL · MKSI · MIND · FTV · LCTC · QURT · USBC · AATC · ACFN · BMI

Which Other Stocks Have a Similar Quality Score to COHR?

7 companies across all industries closest to COHR’s Quality of Company score of 7.5/10.

PUMPProPetro Holding Corp.QOC 7.5IMMRImmersion CorporationQOC 7.5TECKTeck Resources LimitedQOC 7.5NTRANatera, Inc.QOC 7.5FISFidelity National Information Services, Inc.QOC 7.5TFINTriumph Financial, Inc.QOC 7.5NVDANVIDIA CorporationQOC 10.0

Read investment analysis: PUMP · IMMR · TECK · NTRA · FIS · TFIN · NVDA

What Else Do Investors Ask About Coherent Corp.’s Valuation?

What is Coherent Corp.'s intrinsic value in 2026?

CirclFi puts Coherent Corp. (COHR)'s intrinsic value at $146.00 — the median of 7 independent model estimates as of 2026-08-27, ranging from $24.08 to $561.64. The Quality of Company score is 7.5/10 across 32 fundamental signals. All models use SEC EDGAR filings updated daily. See our methodology page for how each model works.

Is COHR overvalued or undervalued right now?

At $295.39, 1 of 7 active models suggest COHR may be undervalued, while 6 indicate potential overvaluation. The median of all 7 fair value estimates is $146.00, 50.6% below the current price of $295.39 — a consensus view that COHR is overvalued. The assessment depends on which methodology best fits Coherent Corp.'s business model in Scientific & Technical Instruments.

What does a Quality of Company score of 7.5 mean for COHR?

Coherent Corp.'s QOC of 7.5/10 reflects 32 fundamental signals: profitability margins, revenue growth consistency, balance sheet leverage, free cash flow generation, and capital allocation efficiency. Scores above 7 indicate strong fundamentals and disciplined management.

How many valuation models does CirclFi run on COHR?

CirclFi analyzes COHR with 13 institutional-grade models daily: Bayesian DCF (Monte Carlo + jump-diffusion), EPV (Greenwald zero-growth), EROIC Spread (McKinsey reinvestment), First Chicago (3-scenario), Markov DDM (regime-switching), ML-RIV (machine learning residual income), Dynamic NAV (asset-based), PWERM (option-theoretic), Regime Cross-Sectional (relative), Sentiment SOTP (hybrid), CUCE Ensemble (meta-model), FTNN Topology (neural network), and RCMH-DCF (conditional regime). Currently 7 of 13 are active for this stock. Read the full methodology →

Which valuation models are most bullish and most bearish on COHR?

Of the 7 models currently active on COHR, Regime Cross-Sectional is the most bullish at $561.64 per share, and ML Residual Income is the most bearish at $24.08. CirclFi's published fair value for COHR is the median of that range, $146.00, not either extreme. The gap between the two ends equals 368% of the median — a wide spread, meaning the methods genuinely disagree and the median should carry less weight. Browse stocks by value-trap risk →

Is COHR a value trap in 2026?

Coherent Corp.'s Value Trap score is 24/100 (SAFE). This low score indicates the current valuation is not artificially depressed by fundamental deterioration, suggesting genuine opportunity rather than a trap.

Cite this analysis — “According to CirclFi’s 7-model valuation engine, Coherent Corp. (COHR) has a median fair value of $146.00 — 50.6% below the current price of $295.39 — as of 2026-08-27.” Source: circlfi.com/stock/COHR/ · Methodology
Primary sources for this COHR valuation
  • Financial statements: Coherent Corp. 10-K and 10-Q filings on SEC EDGAR (CIK 0000820318) — 700+ standardized XBRL tags, published by the U.S. Securities and Exchange Commission.
  • Discount-rate inputs: FRED, Federal Reserve Bank of St. Louis — risk-free rates, VIX, yield curve, inflation.
  • News sentiment: The GDELT Project — global media tone, input to the Sentiment SOTP model.
  • Model definitions: CirclFi methodology — the published specification for all 13 models, including the academic sources each one implements.

Market data for COHR as of ; valuations recomputed .

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