Badger Meter, Inc. (BMI) Fair Value 2026

BMI · Totalizing Fluid Meters & Counting Devices ·

By CirclFi Research Team · Data from SEC EDGAR, FRED & GDELT

Quality Score

9.1 /10

32 fundamental signals · 13 models active

Value Trap Risk

SAFE (20/100)

Quick Summary — As of 2026-07-13, Badger Meter, Inc. (BMI) trades at $140.03, approximately 59% above CirclFi’s Bayesian DCF fair value of $88.08. QOC: 9.1/10. Value Trap Risk: 20/100 (SAFE). 13/13 models active.

Key Facts

Ticker
BMI
Price
$140.03
Quality Score
9.1/10
Value Trap Risk
20/100
Models Active
13/13
Last Updated
Strength: First Chicago suggests +2.9% upside with 55% confidence
Risk: Majority of models suggest overvaluation

Valuation Matrix

13 Intrinsic Value Models vs. Current Price ($140.03)

Core Models (Unlocked)
Model Fair Value Upside
Bayesian DCF
High Conviction
$88.08 -37.1%
Earnings Power Value
High Conviction
$33.31 -76.2%
CUCE Ensemble
Medium Conviction
$77.28 -44.8%
First Chicago
High Conviction
$144.04 +2.9%

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What Is Badger Meter, Inc. (BMI) Worth in 2026?

According to the CirclFi Deep Alpha Valuation Engine, Badger Meter, Inc.'s intrinsic value is estimated at $83.79. Trading at its current price of $140.03, the valuation engine raises significant caution: 11 of 13 models flag downside risk, projecting an average implied return of -40.2%. The most optimistic model, First Chicago, places fair value at $144.04 (+2.9%), while Dynamic NAV — the most conservative — estimates $20.52 (-85.3%). This +88.2% gap reflects genuine analytical uncertainty about Badger Meter, Inc.'s intrinsic worth.

What Do the Models Say About BMI?

13 of 13 models are currently active for BMI. Of these, 1 model suggests upside while 12 models suggest overvaluation. The Bayesian DCF estimates BMI's intrinsic value at $88.08, implying -37.1% downside from the current price. See which stocks rank higher →

How Does BMI Rank in Totalizing Fluid Meters & Counting Devices?

Among 2 Totalizing Fluid Meters & Counting Devices stocks, BMI ranks #1 by Quality of Company score. CirclFi's QOC score of 9.1/10 evaluates 32 fundamental signals. A score of 9.1 places BMI in the top tier.

Badger Meter, Inc. operates in a competitive landscape where fundamental quality metrics are key differentiators for long-term value creation.

Is BMI a Value Trap?

CirclFi's Value Trap algorithm assigns BMI a score of 20/100 (SAFE). This indicates minimal risk. Fundamentals are healthy. The score cross-references apparent undervaluation against fundamental deterioration signals. Browse lowest value-trap stocks →

Multi-Model Methodology

13 of 13 models are active for Badger Meter, Inc.. Broad coverage provides high confidence. Each model applies a fundamentally different valuation philosophy. See the complete methodology →

According to the CirclFi Deep Alpha Valuation Engine, Badger Meter, Inc. scores 9.1 out of 10 on our 32-signal quality assessment, a elite rating that ranks among the highest-quality businesses in our coverage universe. The QOC score synthesizes profitability margins, revenue growth reliability, debt management, and capital allocation into a single metric designed to separate durable businesses from statistically cheap ones.

The gap between the most bullish and bearish model spans +88.2% — demonstrating why single-model analysis is dangerous. Browse all stocks with 13-model coverage →

Data Sources & Confidence

Every BMI valuation is built from SEC EDGAR XBRL filings — 700+ standardized financial tags. Macroeconomic context from FRED calibrates discount rates, while GDELT news sentiment feeds into our Sentiment SOTP model. All pipelines run daily. Read the complete data methodology →

Across BMI's 13 active models, average confidence is 48%. Lower confidence may reflect limited history or high volatility.

CirclFi's output is a research starting point, not a buy/sell signal. All data updates daily. Read the full methodology →

This analysis is produced by the CirclFi Valuation Engine using quantitative models applied to SEC EDGAR filings, public market feeds, and FRED macroeconomic indicators. It is not financial advice.

Read the full investment analysis: Should You Buy Badger Meter, Inc. Stock in 2026? →

Bull case, bear case, risk factors & peer comparison — updated daily

Which Similar Totalizing Fluid Meters & Counting Devices Stocks Should You Also Analyze?

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Frequently Asked Questions About Badger Meter, Inc.

What is Badger Meter, Inc.'s intrinsic value in 2026?

Based on CirclFi's 13-model analysis, Badger Meter, Inc. (BMI) has multiple fair value estimates. The Bayesian DCF model runs 10,000 Monte Carlo simulations with jump-diffusion to estimate intrinsic value at $88.08. The Quality of Company score is 9.1/10 across 32 fundamental signals. All models use SEC EDGAR filings updated daily. See our methodology page for how each model works.

Is BMI overvalued or undervalued right now?

At $140.03, 1 of 13 active models suggest BMI may be undervalued, while 12 indicate potential overvaluation. The assessment depends on which methodology best fits Badger Meter, Inc.'s business model in Totalizing Fluid Meters & Counting Devices.

What does a Quality of Company score of 9.1 mean for BMI?

Badger Meter, Inc.'s QOC of 9.1/10 reflects 32 fundamental signals: profitability margins, revenue growth consistency, balance sheet leverage, free cash flow generation, and capital allocation efficiency. Scores above 7 indicate strong fundamentals and disciplined management.

How many valuation models does CirclFi run on BMI?

CirclFi analyzes BMI with 13 institutional-grade models daily: Bayesian DCF (Monte Carlo + jump-diffusion), EPV (Greenwald zero-growth), EROIC Spread (McKinsey reinvestment), First Chicago (3-scenario), Markov DDM (regime-switching), ML-RIV (machine learning residual income), Dynamic NAV (asset-based), PWERM (option-theoretic), Regime Cross-Sectional (relative), Sentiment SOTP (hybrid), CUCE Ensemble (meta-model), FTNN Topology (neural network), and RCMH-DCF (conditional regime). Currently 13 of 13 are active for this stock. Read the full methodology →

Is BMI a value trap in 2026?

Badger Meter, Inc.'s Value Trap score is 20/100 (SAFE). This low score indicates the current valuation is not artificially depressed by fundamental deterioration, suggesting genuine opportunity rather than a trap. Browse stocks by value-trap risk →

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