What Is Newmont Corporation (NEM) Worth in 2026?
According to the CirclFi Deep Alpha Valuation Engine, Newmont Corporation's intrinsic value is estimated at a composite fair value of $88.85. Trading at $93.10, the stock is approaching fair value or slight overvaluation (implied return of -4.6%), as 8 of 13 models suggest limited further upside. Model dispersion is worth noting: Markov DDM targets $187.39 (+101.3%), versus Dynamic NAV at $16.41 (-82.4%). This +183.6% range highlights the importance of multi-model analysis rather than relying on any single methodology. Among models with highest confidence, EPV lean bearish — adding weight to the bearish side of the thesis.
What Do the Models Say About NEM?
13 of 13 models are currently active for NEM. Of these, 5 models suggest upside while 8 models suggest overvaluation. The Bayesian DCF estimates NEM's intrinsic value at $45.25, implying -51.4% downside from the current price. See which stocks rank higher →
How Does NEM Rank in Gold and Silver Ores?
Among 64 Gold and Silver Ores stocks, NEM ranks #2 by Quality of Company score. CirclFi's QOC score of 9.3/10 evaluates 32 fundamental signals. A score of 9.3 places NEM in the top tier.
See all Most Undervalued Gold and Silver Ores Stocks →
Newmont Corporation operates in a competitive landscape where fundamental quality metrics are key differentiators for long-term value creation.
Is NEM a Value Trap?
CirclFi's Value Trap algorithm assigns NEM a score of 6/100 (SAFE). This indicates minimal risk. Fundamentals are healthy. The score cross-references apparent undervaluation against fundamental deterioration signals. Browse lowest value-trap stocks →
Multi-Model Methodology
13 of 13 models are active for Newmont Corporation. Broad coverage provides high confidence. Each model applies a fundamentally different valuation philosophy. See the complete methodology →
According to the CirclFi Deep Alpha Valuation Engine, Newmont Corporation scores 9.3 out of 10 on our 32-signal quality assessment, a elite rating that ranks among the highest-quality businesses in our coverage universe. The QOC score synthesizes profitability margins, revenue growth reliability, debt management, and capital allocation into a single metric designed to separate durable businesses from statistically cheap ones.
The gap between the most bullish and bearish model spans +183.6% — demonstrating why single-model analysis is dangerous. Browse all stocks with 13-model coverage →
Data Sources & Confidence
Every NEM valuation is built from SEC EDGAR XBRL filings — 700+ standardized financial tags. Macroeconomic context from FRED calibrates discount rates, while GDELT news sentiment feeds into our Sentiment SOTP model. All pipelines run daily. Read the complete data methodology →
Across NEM's 13 active models, average confidence is 48%. Lower confidence may reflect limited history or high volatility.
CirclFi's output is a research starting point, not a buy/sell signal. All data updates daily. Read the full methodology →
Buy with Gumroad