AngloGold Ashanti PLC (AU) Fair Value 2026

AU · Gold and Silver Ores ·

By CirclFi Research Team · Data from SEC EDGAR, FRED & GDELT

Quality Score

9.2 /10

32 fundamental signals · 13 models active

Value Trap Risk

LOW (27/100)

Quick Summary — As of 2026-07-13, AngloGold Ashanti PLC (AU) trades at $79.77, approximately 41% below CirclFi’s Bayesian DCF fair value of $135.63. QOC: 9.2/10. Value Trap Risk: 27/100 (LOW). 13/13 models active.

Key Facts

Ticker
AU
Price
$79.77
Quality Score
9.2/10
Value Trap Risk
27/100
Models Active
13/13
Last Updated
Strength: Bayesian DCF suggests +70.0% upside with 52% confidence
Risk: Majority of models suggest overvaluation

Valuation Matrix

13 Intrinsic Value Models vs. Current Price ($79.77)

Core Models (Unlocked)
Model Fair Value Upside
Bayesian DCF
High Conviction
 $135.63 +70.0%
Earnings Power Value
Medium Conviction
 $18.06 -77.4%
CUCE Ensemble
Low Conviction
 $54.57 -31.6%
First Chicago
Medium Conviction
 $22.44 -71.9%

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What Is AngloGold Ashanti PLC (AU) Worth in 2026?

According to the CirclFi Deep Alpha Valuation Engine, AngloGold Ashanti PLC's intrinsic value is estimated at a composite fair value of $54.82. Trading at $79.77, the stock is approaching fair value or slight overvaluation (implied return of -31.3%), as 8 of 13 models suggest limited further upside. The most optimistic model, Bayesian DCF, places fair value at $135.63 (+70.0%), while Dynamic NAV — the most conservative — estimates $5.85 (-92.7%). This +162.7% gap reflects genuine analytical uncertainty about AngloGold Ashanti PLC's intrinsic worth.

What Do the Models Say About AU?

13 of 13 models are currently active for AU. Of these, 3 models suggest upside while 10 models suggest overvaluation. The Bayesian DCF estimates AU's intrinsic value at $135.63, implying +70.0% upside from the current price. See which stocks rank higher →

How Does AU Rank in Gold and Silver Ores?

Among 64 Gold and Silver Ores stocks, AU ranks #4 by Quality of Company score. CirclFi's QOC score of 9.2/10 evaluates 32 fundamental signals. A score of 9.2 places AU in the top tier.

See all Most Undervalued Gold and Silver Ores Stocks →

AngloGold Ashanti PLC operates in a competitive landscape where fundamental quality metrics are key differentiators for long-term value creation.

Is AU a Value Trap?

CirclFi's Value Trap algorithm assigns AU a score of 27/100 (LOW). This indicates low risk. The financial profile does not exhibit typical value trap warning signs. The score cross-references apparent undervaluation against fundamental deterioration signals. Browse lowest value-trap stocks →

Multi-Model Methodology

13 of 13 models are active for AngloGold Ashanti PLC. Broad coverage provides high confidence. Each model applies a fundamentally different valuation philosophy. See the complete methodology →

According to the CirclFi Quality of Company (QOC) framework, AngloGold Ashanti PLC earns a quality score of 9.2/10. This exceptional rating reflects the company's standing across 32 fundamental signals spanning profitability, growth consistency, balance sheet strength, and capital allocation efficiency.

The gap between the most bullish and bearish model spans +162.7% — demonstrating why single-model analysis is dangerous. Browse all stocks with 13-model coverage →

Data Sources & Confidence

Every AU valuation is built from SEC EDGAR XBRL filings — 700+ standardized financial tags. Macroeconomic context from FRED calibrates discount rates, while GDELT news sentiment feeds into our Sentiment SOTP model. All pipelines run daily. Read the complete data methodology →

Across AU's 13 active models, average confidence is 36%. Lower confidence may reflect limited history or high volatility.

CirclFi's output is a research starting point, not a buy/sell signal. All data updates daily. Read the full methodology →

This analysis is produced by the CirclFi Valuation Engine using quantitative models applied to SEC EDGAR filings, public market feeds, and FRED macroeconomic indicators. It is not financial advice.

Read the full investment analysis: Should You Buy AngloGold Ashanti PLC Stock in 2026? →

Bull case, bear case, risk factors & peer comparison — updated daily

Which Similar Gold and Silver Ores Stocks Should You Also Analyze?

8 related Gold and Silver Ores stocks with 13-model coverage

FSMFortuna Mining Corp.QOC 9.4NEMNewmont CorporationQOC 9.3DRDDRDGOLD LimitedQOC 9.2HMYHarmony Gold Mining Company LimQOC 9.1IDRIdaho Strategic Resources, Inc.QOC 8.7KGCKinross Gold CorporationQOC 8.2CDECoeur Mining, Inc.QOC 8.1VOXRVox Royalty Corp.QOC 7.5

Read investment analysis: FSM · NEM · DRD · HMY · IDR

See all Gold and Silver Ores stocks ranked →

Frequently Asked Questions About AngloGold Ashanti PLC

What is AngloGold Ashanti PLC's intrinsic value in 2026?

Based on CirclFi's 13-model analysis, AngloGold Ashanti PLC (AU) has multiple fair value estimates. The Bayesian DCF model runs 10,000 Monte Carlo simulations with jump-diffusion to estimate intrinsic value at $135.63. The Quality of Company score is 9.2/10 across 32 fundamental signals. All models use SEC EDGAR filings updated daily. See our methodology page for how each model works.

Is AU overvalued or undervalued right now?

At $79.77, 3 of 13 active models suggest AU may be undervalued, while 10 indicate potential overvaluation. The assessment depends on which methodology best fits AngloGold Ashanti PLC's business model in Gold and Silver Ores.

What does a Quality of Company score of 9.2 mean for AU?

AngloGold Ashanti PLC's QOC of 9.2/10 reflects 32 fundamental signals: profitability margins, revenue growth consistency, balance sheet leverage, free cash flow generation, and capital allocation efficiency. Scores above 7 indicate strong fundamentals and disciplined management.

How many valuation models does CirclFi run on AU?

CirclFi analyzes AU with 13 institutional-grade models daily: Bayesian DCF (Monte Carlo + jump-diffusion), EPV (Greenwald zero-growth), EROIC Spread (McKinsey reinvestment), First Chicago (3-scenario), Markov DDM (regime-switching), ML-RIV (machine learning residual income), Dynamic NAV (asset-based), PWERM (option-theoretic), Regime Cross-Sectional (relative), Sentiment SOTP (hybrid), CUCE Ensemble (meta-model), FTNN Topology (neural network), and RCMH-DCF (conditional regime). Currently 13 of 13 are active for this stock. Read the full methodology →

Is AU a value trap in 2026?

AngloGold Ashanti PLC's Value Trap score is 27/100 (LOW). This low score indicates the current valuation is not artificially depressed by fundamental deterioration, suggesting genuine opportunity rather than a trap. Browse stocks by value-trap risk →

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