Coeur Mining, Inc. (CDE) Fair Value 2026

CDE · Gold ·

By CirclFi Research Team · Data from SEC EDGAR, FRED & GDELT

Quality Score

9.0 /10

32 fundamental signals · 10 models active

Value Trap Risk

SAFE (11/100)

Quick Summary — As of 2026-08-27, Coeur Mining, Inc. (CDE) trades at $22.21, versus a $8.93 median fair value across its 10 active models — 59.8% below the current price. QOC: 9.0/10. Value Trap Risk: 11/100 (SAFE). 10/13 models active. Within that set, the Bayesian DCF component alone returns $4.93.

Key Facts

Ticker
CDE
Price
$22.21
Quality Score
9.0/10
Value Trap Risk
11/100
Models Active
10/13
Last Updated
Strength: Quality Score of 9.0/10 indicates strong fundamentals
Risk: Majority of models suggest overvaluation

Is Coeur Mining, Inc. (CDE) Undervalued or Overvalued in 2026?

According to CirclFi’s 10-model valuation engine, Coeur Mining, Inc. (CDE) appears overvalued as of : the median of 10 independent fair value estimates is $8.93, 59.8% below the current price of $22.21. Estimates range from $3.41 to $38.66. CDE scores 9.0/10 on fundamental quality and 11/100 on value-trap risk.

For context, the median US equity CirclFi rates trades at an implied -23.7% versus its own 13-model consensus, across 3,801 rated companies as of 2026-08-27. CDE’s -59.8% gap is wider than that market norm, and the Gold sector median is -28.9%. Full market index →

This verdict compares price to intrinsic value only — it is not a buy or sell rating. For the decision case (bull vs bear arguments, risk factors, peers), read Should You Buy Coeur Mining, Inc. Stock in 2026? →

What Fair Value Does Each Model Give CDE?

10 Intrinsic Value Models vs. Current Price ($22.21)

Core Models (Unlocked)
Model Fair Value Upside
Intrinsic · High Conviction
 $4.93 -77.8%
Ensemble · Low Conviction
 $8.59 -61.3%
Scenario · High Conviction
 $10.81 -51.3%
Intrinsic · High Conviction
 $7.25 -67.4%
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What Is CDE's Fair Value Range?

Spread across 10 independent models · $3.41 to $38.66

CirclFi's 10 active models place Coeur Mining, Inc. (CDE) between $3.41 and $38.66 per share, a spread of 395% of the median. The median of that range — $8.93 — is the fair value CirclFi publishes for CDE, against a current price of $22.21.

Low · RCMH-DCFHigh · Regime Cross
$3.41median $8.93$38.66
Where the range comes from
Most bearish modelRCMH-DCF$3.41
Most bullish modelRegime Cross-Sectional$38.66
Model agreement1 bullish · 9 bearishwide

A band this wide is itself the finding. When independent methods land far apart, they are reading a business whose value depends heavily on which lens you apply — volatile earnings, heavy reinvestment, or an asset base that cash-flow and asset-based methods score differently. That disagreement is information: it says the choice of method matters more than usual for CDE. Treat the median as one reading among several and compare the individual models below before acting.

Every figure above is one model's standalone output on CDE, not a CirclFi price target. How each model works →

What Is Coeur Mining, Inc. (CDE) Worth in 2026?

According to the CirclFi Deep Alpha Valuation Engine, Coeur Mining, Inc.'s intrinsic value is estimated at $8.93. Trading at its current price of $22.21, the valuation engine raises significant caution: 9 of 10 models flag downside risk, projecting a median implied return of -59.8%. The most optimistic model, Regime Cross, places fair value at $38.66 (+74.1%), while RCMH-DCF — the most conservative — estimates $3.41 (-84.7%). This +158.7% gap reflects genuine analytical uncertainty about Coeur Mining, Inc.'s intrinsic worth.

What Do the Models Say About CDE?

10 of 13 models are currently active for CDE. Of these, 1 model suggests upside while 9 models suggest overvaluation. Taken together, their median fair value for CDE is $8.93 — the figure CirclFi publishes as this stock's fair value. One component of that median, the Bayesian DCF, returns $4.93 on its own, implying -77.8% downside from the current price. See which stocks rank higher →

How Does CDE Rank in Gold?

Among 57 Gold stocks, CDE ranks #4 by Quality of Company score. CirclFi's QOC score of 9.0/10 evaluates 32 fundamental signals. A score of 9.0 places CDE in the top tier.

See all Most Undervalued Gold Stocks →

Coeur Mining, Inc. operates in a competitive landscape where fundamental quality metrics are key differentiators for long-term value creation.

Is CDE a Value Trap?

CirclFi's Value Trap algorithm assigns CDE a score of 11/100 (SAFE). This indicates minimal risk. Fundamentals are healthy. The score cross-references apparent undervaluation against fundamental deterioration signals. Browse lowest value-trap stocks →

Multi-Model Methodology

10 of 13 models are active for Coeur Mining, Inc.. Broad coverage provides high confidence. Each model applies a fundamentally different valuation philosophy. See the complete methodology →

According to the CirclFi Quality of Company (QOC) framework, Coeur Mining, Inc. earns a quality score of 9.0/10. This exceptional rating reflects the company's standing across 32 fundamental signals spanning profitability, growth consistency, balance sheet strength, and capital allocation efficiency.

The gap between the most bullish and bearish model spans +158.7% — demonstrating why single-model analysis is dangerous. Browse all stocks with 13-model coverage →

Data Sources & Confidence

Every CDE valuation is built from SEC EDGAR XBRL filings — 700+ standardized financial tags. Macroeconomic context from FRED calibrates discount rates, while GDELT news sentiment feeds into our Sentiment SOTP model. All pipelines run daily. Read the complete data methodology →

Across CDE's 10 active models, average confidence is 43%. Lower confidence may reflect limited history or high volatility.

CirclFi's output is a research starting point, not a buy/sell signal. All data updates daily. Read the full methodology →

This analysis is produced by the CirclFi Valuation Engine using quantitative models applied to SEC EDGAR filings, public market feeds, and FRED macroeconomic indicators. It is not financial advice.

Read the full investment analysis: Should You Buy Coeur Mining, Inc. Stock in 2026? →

Bull case, bear case, risk factors & peer comparison — updated daily

Which Similar Gold Stocks Should You Also Analyze?

9 related Gold stocks with 13-model coverage

RGLDRoyal Gold, Inc.QOC 9.1DRDDRDGOLD LimitedQOC 9.0NEMNewmont CorporationQOC 9.3BBarrick Mining CorporationQOC 8.8FSMFortuna Mining Corp.QOC 9.3HMYHarmony Gold Mining Company LimitedQOC 8.6FTCOFortitude Gold CorporationQOC 5.9AUSTAustin Gold Corp.QOC 4.9FNVFranco-Nevada CorporationQOC 2.9

Read investment analysis: RGLD · DRD · NEM · B · FSM · HMY · FTCO · AUST · FNV

Which Other Stocks Have a Similar Quality Score to CDE?

6 companies across all industries closest to CDE’s Quality of Company score of 9.0/10.

ELMDElectromed, Inc.QOC 9.0REPXRiley Exploration Permian, Inc.QOC 9.0EGANeGain CorporationQOC 9.0CHKPCheck Point Software Technologies Ltd.QOC 9.0ECEcopetrol S.A.QOC 9.0NVDANVIDIA CorporationQOC 10.0

Read investment analysis: ELMD · REPX · EGAN · CHKP · EC · NVDA

Where Does CDE Sit in CirclFi's Gold Rankings?

CDE is ranked against every other Gold stock CirclFi covers in each of these screens.

See all Gold stocks ranked →

What Else Do Investors Ask About Coeur Mining, Inc.’s Valuation?

What is Coeur Mining, Inc.'s intrinsic value in 2026?

CirclFi puts Coeur Mining, Inc. (CDE)'s intrinsic value at $8.93 — the median of 10 independent model estimates as of 2026-08-27, ranging from $3.41 to $38.66. One component of that median, the Bayesian DCF, runs 10,000 Monte Carlo simulations with jump-diffusion and returns $4.93 on its own. The Quality of Company score is 9.0/10 across 32 fundamental signals. All models use SEC EDGAR filings updated daily. See our methodology page for how each model works.

Is CDE overvalued or undervalued right now?

At $22.21, 1 of 10 active models suggest CDE may be undervalued, while 9 indicate potential overvaluation. The median of all 10 fair value estimates is $8.93, 59.8% below the current price of $22.21 — a consensus view that CDE is overvalued. The assessment depends on which methodology best fits Coeur Mining, Inc.'s business model in Gold.

What does a Quality of Company score of 9.0 mean for CDE?

Coeur Mining, Inc.'s QOC of 9.0/10 reflects 32 fundamental signals: profitability margins, revenue growth consistency, balance sheet leverage, free cash flow generation, and capital allocation efficiency. Scores above 7 indicate strong fundamentals and disciplined management.

How many valuation models does CirclFi run on CDE?

CirclFi analyzes CDE with 13 institutional-grade models daily: Bayesian DCF (Monte Carlo + jump-diffusion), EPV (Greenwald zero-growth), EROIC Spread (McKinsey reinvestment), First Chicago (3-scenario), Markov DDM (regime-switching), ML-RIV (machine learning residual income), Dynamic NAV (asset-based), PWERM (option-theoretic), Regime Cross-Sectional (relative), Sentiment SOTP (hybrid), CUCE Ensemble (meta-model), FTNN Topology (neural network), and RCMH-DCF (conditional regime). Currently 10 of 13 are active for this stock. Read the full methodology →

Which valuation models are most bullish and most bearish on CDE?

Of the 10 models currently active on CDE, Regime Cross-Sectional is the most bullish at $38.66 per share, and RCMH-DCF is the most bearish at $3.41. CirclFi's published fair value for CDE is the median of that range, $8.93, not either extreme. The gap between the two ends equals 395% of the median — a wide spread, meaning the methods genuinely disagree and the median should carry less weight. Browse stocks by value-trap risk →

Is CDE a value trap in 2026?

Coeur Mining, Inc.'s Value Trap score is 11/100 (SAFE). This low score indicates the current valuation is not artificially depressed by fundamental deterioration, suggesting genuine opportunity rather than a trap.

Cite this analysis — “According to CirclFi’s 10-model valuation engine, Coeur Mining, Inc. (CDE) has a median fair value of $8.93 — 59.8% below the current price of $22.21 — as of 2026-08-27.” Source: circlfi.com/stock/CDE/ · Methodology
Primary sources for this CDE valuation
  • Financial statements: Coeur Mining, Inc. 10-K and 10-Q filings on SEC EDGAR (CIK 0000215466) — 700+ standardized XBRL tags, published by the U.S. Securities and Exchange Commission.
  • Discount-rate inputs: FRED, Federal Reserve Bank of St. Louis — risk-free rates, VIX, yield curve, inflation.
  • News sentiment: The GDELT Project — global media tone, input to the Sentiment SOTP model.
  • Model definitions: CirclFi methodology — the published specification for all 13 models, including the academic sources each one implements.

Market data for CDE as of ; valuations recomputed .

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