TRX Gold Corporation (TRX) Fair Value 2026

TRX · Gold ·

By CirclFi Research Team · Data from SEC EDGAR, FRED & GDELT

Quality Score

2.3 /10

32 fundamental signals · 1 models active

Value Trap Risk

SAFE (0/100)

Quick Summary — As of 2026-08-28, TRX Gold Corporation (TRX) trades at $1.15. QOC: 2.3/10. Value Trap Risk: 0/100 (SAFE). 1/13 models active.

Key Facts

Ticker
TRX
Price
$1.15
Quality Score
2.3/10
Value Trap Risk
0/100
Models Active
1/13
Last Updated
Strength: Regime Cross-Sectional suggests +164.5% upside with 24% confidence
Risk: Below-average Quality Score of 2.3/10 signals weak fundamentals

What Fair Value Does Each Model Give TRX?

1 Intrinsic Value Models vs. Current Price ($1.15)

Core Models (Unlocked)
Model Fair Value Upside
Relative · Medium Conviction
 $3.04 +164.5%

All Models Active

All 1 models are displayed above.

What Is TRX Gold Corporation (TRX) Worth in 2026?

According to the CirclFi Deep Alpha Valuation Engine, TRX Gold Corporation is potentially undervalued at its current price of $1.15. Based on our 13-model framework, TRX Gold Corporation's intrinsic value is estimated at a median fair value of $3.04 — representing +164.5% implied upside — with 1 out of 1 active models confirming this thesis.

What Do the Models Say About TRX?

1 of 13 models are currently active for TRX. All 1 active models suggest the stock trades below fair value. See which stocks rank higher →

How Does TRX Rank in Gold?

Among 58 Gold stocks, TRX ranks #58 by Quality of Company score. CirclFi's QOC score of 2.3/10 evaluates 32 fundamental signals. A score of 2.3 signals below-average fundamentals.

See all Most Undervalued Gold Stocks →

TRX Gold Corporation operates in a competitive landscape where fundamental quality metrics are key differentiators for long-term value creation.

Is TRX a Value Trap?

CirclFi's Value Trap algorithm assigns TRX a score of 0/100 (SAFE). This indicates minimal risk. Fundamentals are healthy. The score cross-references apparent undervaluation against fundamental deterioration signals. Browse lowest value-trap stocks →

Multi-Model Methodology

1 of 13 models are active for TRX Gold Corporation. Limited activation may indicate insufficient history. Each model applies a fundamentally different valuation philosophy. See the complete methodology →

According to the CirclFi Deep Alpha Valuation Engine, TRX Gold Corporation scores 2.3 out of 10 on our 32-signal quality assessment, a weak rating that exhibits fundamental weaknesses that warrant careful scrutiny. The QOC score synthesizes profitability margins, revenue growth reliability, debt management, and capital allocation into a single metric designed to separate durable businesses from statistically cheap ones.

CirclFi runs 13 independent models for each stock. Browse all stocks with 13-model coverage →

Data Sources & Confidence

Every TRX valuation is built from SEC EDGAR XBRL filings — 700+ standardized financial tags. Macroeconomic context from FRED calibrates discount rates, while GDELT news sentiment feeds into our Sentiment SOTP model. All pipelines run daily. Read the complete data methodology →

Across TRX's 1 active models, average confidence is 24%. Lower confidence may reflect limited history or high volatility.

CirclFi's output is a research starting point, not a buy/sell signal. All data updates daily. Read the full methodology →

This analysis is produced by the CirclFi Valuation Engine using quantitative models applied to SEC EDGAR filings, public market feeds, and FRED macroeconomic indicators. It is not financial advice.

Read the full investment analysis: Should You Buy TRX Gold Corporation Stock in 2026? →

Bull case, bear case, risk factors & peer comparison — updated daily

Which Similar Gold Stocks Should You Also Analyze?

9 related Gold stocks with 13-model coverage

EQXEquinox Gold Corp.QOC 2.5FSMFortuna Mining Corp.QOC 9.3AAUCAllied Gold CorporationQOC 2.6NEMNewmont CorporationQOC 9.3CNLCollective Mining Ltd.QOC 2.6RGLDRoyal Gold, Inc.QOC 9.1NAMMNamib MineralsQOC 6.7THMInternational Tower Hill Mines Ltd.QOC 5.2GAUGaliano Gold Inc.QOC 3.1

Read investment analysis: EQX · FSM · AAUC · NEM · CNL · RGLD · NAMM · THM · GAU

Which Other Stocks Have a Similar Quality Score to TRX?

7 companies across all industries closest to TRX’s Quality of Company score of 2.3/10.

BIYABaiya International Group Inc.QOC 2.3GGRGogoro Inc.QOC 2.3EZGOEZGO Technologies Ltd.QOC 2.3NEXNNexxen International Ltd.QOC 2.3HTCOHigh-Trend International GroupQOC 2.3AZIAutozi Internet Technology (Global) Ltd.QOC 2.3NVDANVIDIA CorporationQOC 10.0

Read investment analysis: BIYA · GGR · EZGO · NEXN · HTCO · AZI · NVDA

Where Does TRX Sit in CirclFi's Gold Rankings?

TRX is ranked against every other Gold stock CirclFi covers in each of these screens.

See all Gold stocks ranked →

What Else Do Investors Ask About TRX Gold Corporation’s Valuation?

What is TRX Gold Corporation's intrinsic value in 2026?

CirclFi does not yet have enough active models to publish a median fair value for TRX Gold Corporation (TRX). The Quality of Company score is 2.3/10 across 32 fundamental signals. All models use SEC EDGAR filings updated daily. See our methodology page for how each model works.

Is TRX overvalued or undervalued right now?

At $1.15, 1 of 1 active models suggest TRX may be undervalued, while 0 indicate potential overvaluation. The assessment depends on which methodology best fits TRX Gold Corporation's business model in Gold.

What does a Quality of Company score of 2.3 mean for TRX?

TRX Gold Corporation's QOC of 2.3/10 reflects 32 fundamental signals: profitability margins, revenue growth consistency, balance sheet leverage, free cash flow generation, and capital allocation efficiency. Scores below 5 flag potential fundamental weaknesses requiring careful analysis.

How many valuation models does CirclFi run on TRX?

CirclFi analyzes TRX with 13 institutional-grade models daily: Bayesian DCF (Monte Carlo + jump-diffusion), EPV (Greenwald zero-growth), EROIC Spread (McKinsey reinvestment), First Chicago (3-scenario), Markov DDM (regime-switching), ML-RIV (machine learning residual income), Dynamic NAV (asset-based), PWERM (option-theoretic), Regime Cross-Sectional (relative), Sentiment SOTP (hybrid), CUCE Ensemble (meta-model), FTNN Topology (neural network), and RCMH-DCF (conditional regime). Currently 1 of 13 are active for this stock. Read the full methodology →

Is TRX a value trap in 2026?

TRX Gold Corporation's Value Trap score is 0/100 (SAFE). This low score indicates the current valuation is not artificially depressed by fundamental deterioration, suggesting genuine opportunity rather than a trap. Browse stocks by value-trap risk →

Cite this analysis — “CirclFi assigns TRX Gold Corporation (TRX) a Quality of Company score of 2.3/10 across 32 fundamental signals as of 2026-08-28.” Source: circlfi.com/stock/TRX/ · Methodology
Primary sources for this TRX valuation
  • Financial statements: TRX Gold Corporation 10-K and 10-Q filings on SEC EDGAR (CIK 0001173643) — 700+ standardized XBRL tags, published by the U.S. Securities and Exchange Commission.
  • Discount-rate inputs: FRED, Federal Reserve Bank of St. Louis — risk-free rates, VIX, yield curve, inflation.
  • News sentiment: The GDELT Project — global media tone, input to the Sentiment SOTP model.
  • Model definitions: CirclFi methodology — the published specification for all 13 models, including the academic sources each one implements.

Market data for TRX as of ; valuations recomputed .