Namib Minerals (NAMM) Fair Value 2026

NAMM · Gold ·

By CirclFi Research Team · Data from SEC EDGAR, FRED & GDELT

Quality Score

6.7 /10

32 fundamental signals · 3 models active

Value Trap Risk

SAFE (0/100)

Quick Summary — As of 2026-08-27, Namib Minerals (NAMM) trades at $1.47, versus a $2.11 median fair value across its 3 active models — 43.4% above the current price. QOC: 6.7/10. Value Trap Risk: 0/100 (SAFE). 3/13 models active. Within that set, the Bayesian DCF component alone returns $1.11.

Key Facts

Ticker
NAMM
Price
$1.47
Quality Score
6.7/10
Value Trap Risk
0/100
Models Active
3/13
Last Updated
Strength: CUCE Ensemble suggests +447.2% upside with 1% confidence
Risk: Limited model coverage (3/13) may reduce confidence

Is Namib Minerals (NAMM) Undervalued or Overvalued in 2026?

According to CirclFi’s 3-model valuation engine, Namib Minerals (NAMM) appears undervalued as of : the median of 3 independent fair value estimates is $2.11, 43.4% above the current price of $1.47. Estimates range from $1.11 to $8.04. NAMM scores 6.7/10 on fundamental quality and 0/100 on value-trap risk.

For context, the median US equity CirclFi rates trades at an implied -23.7% versus its own 13-model consensus, across 3,801 rated companies as of 2026-08-27. NAMM’s +43.4% gap is wider than that market norm, and the Gold sector median is -28.9%. Full market index →

This verdict compares price to intrinsic value only — it is not a buy or sell rating. For the decision case (bull vs bear arguments, risk factors, peers), read Should You Buy Namib Minerals Stock in 2026? →

What Fair Value Does Each Model Give NAMM?

3 Intrinsic Value Models vs. Current Price ($1.47)

Core Models (Unlocked)
Model Fair Value Upside
Intrinsic · Medium Conviction
 $1.11 -24.8%
Ensemble · Low Conviction
 $8.04 +447.2%
Intrinsic · Low Conviction
 $2.11 +43.4%

All Models Active

All 3 models are displayed above.

What Is NAMM's Fair Value Range?

Spread across 3 independent models · $1.11 to $8.04

CirclFi's 3 active models place Namib Minerals (NAMM) between $1.11 and $8.04 per share, a spread of 329% of the median. The median of that range — $2.11 — is the fair value CirclFi publishes for NAMM, against a current price of $1.47.

Low · Bayesian DCFHigh · CUCE
$1.11median $2.11$8.04
Where the range comes from
Most bearish modelBayesian DCF$1.11
Most bullish modelCUCE$8.04
Model agreement2 bullish · 1 bearishwide

A band this wide is itself the finding. When independent methods land far apart, they are reading a business whose value depends heavily on which lens you apply — volatile earnings, heavy reinvestment, or an asset base that cash-flow and asset-based methods score differently. That disagreement is information: it says the choice of method matters more than usual for NAMM. Treat the median as one reading among several and compare the individual models below before acting.

Every figure above is one model's standalone output on NAMM, not a CirclFi price target. How each model works →

What Is Namib Minerals (NAMM) Worth in 2026?

According to the CirclFi Deep Alpha Valuation Engine, our multi-model framework produces a cautiously optimistic read on Namib Minerals at $1.47. With an estimated intrinsic value of $2.11 and 2 of 3 models pointing higher, the median implied return is +43.4%. The most optimistic model, CUCE, places fair value at $8.04 (+447.2%), while Bayesian DCF — the most conservative — estimates $1.11 (-24.8%). This +472.0% gap reflects genuine analytical uncertainty about Namib Minerals's intrinsic worth.

What Do the Models Say About NAMM?

3 of 13 models are currently active for NAMM. Of these, 2 models suggest upside while 1 model suggests overvaluation. Taken together, their median fair value for NAMM is $2.11 — the figure CirclFi publishes as this stock's fair value. One component of that median, the Bayesian DCF, returns $1.11 on its own, implying -24.8% downside from the current price. See which stocks rank higher →

How Does NAMM Rank in Gold?

Among 57 Gold stocks, NAMM ranks #13 by Quality of Company score. CirclFi's QOC score of 6.7/10 evaluates 32 fundamental signals. A score of 6.7 indicates above-average quality.

See all Most Undervalued Gold Stocks →

Namib Minerals operates in a competitive landscape where fundamental quality metrics are key differentiators for long-term value creation.

Is NAMM a Value Trap?

CirclFi's Value Trap algorithm assigns NAMM a score of 0/100 (SAFE). This indicates minimal risk. Fundamentals are healthy. The score cross-references apparent undervaluation against fundamental deterioration signals. Browse lowest value-trap stocks →

Multi-Model Methodology

3 of 13 models are active for Namib Minerals. Limited activation may indicate insufficient history. Each model applies a fundamentally different valuation philosophy. See the complete methodology →

According to the CirclFi 32-factor quality framework, Namib Minerals's fundamental quality profile registers 6.7/10. This respectable score captures the company's profitability depth, growth consistency, balance sheet resilience, and shareholder return track record.

The gap between the most bullish and bearish model spans +472.0% — demonstrating why single-model analysis is dangerous. Browse all stocks with 13-model coverage →

Data Sources & Confidence

Every NAMM valuation is built from SEC EDGAR XBRL filings — 700+ standardized financial tags. Macroeconomic context from FRED calibrates discount rates, while GDELT news sentiment feeds into our Sentiment SOTP model. All pipelines run daily. Read the complete data methodology →

Across NAMM's 3 active models, average confidence is 15%. Lower confidence may reflect limited history or high volatility.

CirclFi's output is a research starting point, not a buy/sell signal. All data updates daily. Read the full methodology →

This analysis is produced by the CirclFi Valuation Engine using quantitative models applied to SEC EDGAR filings, public market feeds, and FRED macroeconomic indicators. It is not financial advice.

Read the full investment analysis: Should You Buy Namib Minerals Stock in 2026? →

Bull case, bear case, risk factors & peer comparison — updated daily

Which Similar Gold Stocks Should You Also Analyze?

11 related Gold stocks with 13-model coverage

OROR Royalties Inc.QOC 6.8SASeabridge Gold Inc.QOC 6.2CGAUCenterra Gold Inc.QOC 6.9GLDGGoldMining Inc.QOC 6.2KGCKinross Gold CorporationQOC 8.2OGCOceanaGold CorporationQOC 6.1CTGOContango Silver & Gold Inc.QOC 5.3MINEMayfair Gold Corp.QOC 3.4AAUCAllied Gold CorporationQOC 2.6FSMFortuna Mining Corp.QOC 9.3NEMNewmont CorporationQOC 9.3

Read investment analysis: OR · SA · CGAU · GLDG · KGC · OGC · CTGO · MINE · AAUC · FSM · NEM

Which Other Stocks Have a Similar Quality Score to NAMM?

7 companies across all industries closest to NAMM’s Quality of Company score of 6.7/10.

LASRnLIGHT, Inc.QOC 6.7LAWCS Disco, Inc.QOC 6.7VRMEVerifyMe, Inc.QOC 6.7AXTIAXT, Inc.QOC 6.7AVAHAveanna Healthcare Holdings Inc.QOC 6.7KTCCKey Tronic CorporationQOC 6.7NVDANVIDIA CorporationQOC 10.0

Read investment analysis: LASR · LAW · VRME · AXTI · AVAH · KTCC · NVDA

Where Does NAMM Sit in CirclFi's Gold Rankings?

NAMM is ranked against every other Gold stock CirclFi covers in each of these screens.

See all Gold stocks ranked →

What Else Do Investors Ask About Namib Minerals’s Valuation?

What is Namib Minerals's intrinsic value in 2026?

CirclFi puts Namib Minerals (NAMM)'s intrinsic value at $2.11 — the median of 3 independent model estimates as of 2026-08-27, ranging from $1.11 to $8.04. One component of that median, the Bayesian DCF, runs 10,000 Monte Carlo simulations with jump-diffusion and returns $1.11 on its own. The Quality of Company score is 6.7/10 across 32 fundamental signals. All models use SEC EDGAR filings updated daily. See our methodology page for how each model works.

Is NAMM overvalued or undervalued right now?

At $1.47, 2 of 3 active models suggest NAMM may be undervalued, while 1 indicate potential overvaluation. The median of all 3 fair value estimates is $2.11, 43.4% above the current price of $1.47 — a consensus view that NAMM is undervalued. The assessment depends on which methodology best fits Namib Minerals's business model in Gold.

What does a Quality of Company score of 6.7 mean for NAMM?

Namib Minerals's QOC of 6.7/10 reflects 32 fundamental signals: profitability margins, revenue growth consistency, balance sheet leverage, free cash flow generation, and capital allocation efficiency. Scores between 5-7 reflect moderate fundamentals with areas for improvement.

How many valuation models does CirclFi run on NAMM?

CirclFi analyzes NAMM with 13 institutional-grade models daily: Bayesian DCF (Monte Carlo + jump-diffusion), EPV (Greenwald zero-growth), EROIC Spread (McKinsey reinvestment), First Chicago (3-scenario), Markov DDM (regime-switching), ML-RIV (machine learning residual income), Dynamic NAV (asset-based), PWERM (option-theoretic), Regime Cross-Sectional (relative), Sentiment SOTP (hybrid), CUCE Ensemble (meta-model), FTNN Topology (neural network), and RCMH-DCF (conditional regime). Currently 3 of 13 are active for this stock. Read the full methodology →

Which valuation models are most bullish and most bearish on NAMM?

Of the 3 models currently active on NAMM, CUCE is the most bullish at $8.04 per share, and Bayesian DCF is the most bearish at $1.11. CirclFi's published fair value for NAMM is the median of that range, $2.11, not either extreme. The gap between the two ends equals 329% of the median — a wide spread, meaning the methods genuinely disagree and the median should carry less weight. Browse stocks by value-trap risk →

Is NAMM a value trap in 2026?

Namib Minerals's Value Trap score is 0/100 (SAFE). This low score indicates the current valuation is not artificially depressed by fundamental deterioration, suggesting genuine opportunity rather than a trap.

Cite this analysis — “According to CirclFi’s 3-model valuation engine, Namib Minerals (NAMM) has a median fair value of $2.11 — 43.4% above the current price of $1.47 — as of 2026-08-27.” Source: circlfi.com/stock/NAMM/ · Methodology
Primary sources for this NAMM valuation
  • Financial statements: Namib Minerals 10-K and 10-Q filings on SEC EDGAR (CIK 0002026514) — 700+ standardized XBRL tags, published by the U.S. Securities and Exchange Commission.
  • Discount-rate inputs: FRED, Federal Reserve Bank of St. Louis — risk-free rates, VIX, yield curve, inflation.
  • News sentiment: The GDELT Project — global media tone, input to the Sentiment SOTP model.
  • Model definitions: CirclFi methodology — the published specification for all 13 models, including the academic sources each one implements.

Market data for NAMM as of ; valuations recomputed .