Contango Silver & Gold Inc. (CTGO) Fair Value 2026

CTGO · Gold and Silver Ores ·

By CirclFi Research Team · Data from SEC EDGAR, FRED & GDELT

Quality Score

5.0 /10

32 fundamental signals · 12 models active

Value Trap Risk

SAFE (24/100)

Quick Summary — As of 2026-07-15, Contango Silver & Gold Inc. (CTGO) trades at $16.79, approximately 320% above CirclFi’s Bayesian DCF fair value of $4.00. QOC: 5.0/10. Value Trap Risk: 24/100 (SAFE). 12/13 models active.

Key Facts

Ticker
CTGO
Price
$16.79
Quality Score
5.0/10
Value Trap Risk
24/100
Models Active
12/13
Last Updated
Strength: First Chicago suggests +15.2% upside with 50% confidence
Risk: Majority of models suggest overvaluation

Is Contango Silver & Gold Inc. (CTGO) Undervalued or Overvalued in 2026?

According to CirclFi’s 12-model valuation engine, Contango Silver & Gold Inc. (CTGO) appears overvalued as of : the median of 12 independent fair value estimates is $13.07, 22.1% below the current price of $16.79. Estimates range from $3.90 to $25.19. CTGO scores 5.0/10 on fundamental quality and 24/100 on value-trap risk.

This verdict compares price to intrinsic value only — it is not a buy or sell rating. For the decision case (bull vs bear arguments, risk factors, peers), read Should You Buy Contango Silver & Gold Inc. Stock in 2026? →

Valuation Matrix

12 Intrinsic Value Models vs. Current Price ($16.79)

Core Models (Unlocked)
Model Fair Value Upside
Bayesian DCF
High Conviction
 $4.00 -76.2%
Earnings Power Value
High Conviction
 $3.90 -76.8%
CUCE Ensemble
Low Conviction
 $11.58 -31.1%
First Chicago
High Conviction
 $19.34 +15.2%

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What Is Contango Silver & Gold Inc. (CTGO) Worth in 2026?

According to the CirclFi Deep Alpha Valuation Engine, the balance of valuation evidence tilts cautious on Contango Silver & Gold Inc. at its current price of $16.79. The composite intrinsic value is estimated at $12.85 (-23.4% average return), with 7 models flagging overvaluation risk. Notably, Regime Cross sees the most upside at +50.0% (fair value: $25.19), while EPV is the most conservative at -76.8% ($3.90). The spread between these extremes — +126.8% — reveals how different analytical frameworks can reach starkly different conclusions.

What Do the Models Say About CTGO?

12 of 13 models are currently active for CTGO. Of these, 3 models suggest upside while 9 models suggest overvaluation. The Bayesian DCF estimates CTGO's intrinsic value at $4.00, implying -76.2% downside from the current price. See which stocks rank higher →

How Does CTGO Rank in Gold and Silver Ores?

Among 62 Gold and Silver Ores stocks, CTGO ranks #25 by Quality of Company score. CirclFi's QOC score of 5.0/10 evaluates 32 fundamental signals. A score of 5.0 reflects mixed fundamentals.

See all Most Undervalued Gold and Silver Ores Stocks →

Contango Silver & Gold Inc. operates in a competitive landscape where fundamental quality metrics are key differentiators for long-term value creation.

Is CTGO a Value Trap?

CirclFi's Value Trap algorithm assigns CTGO a score of 24/100 (SAFE). This indicates minimal risk. Fundamentals are healthy. The score cross-references apparent undervaluation against fundamental deterioration signals. Browse lowest value-trap stocks →

Multi-Model Methodology

12 of 13 models are active for Contango Silver & Gold Inc.. Broad coverage provides high confidence. Each model applies a fundamentally different valuation philosophy. See the complete methodology →

According to the CirclFi Quality of Company (QOC) framework, which evaluates 32 signals including margin stability, revenue growth trajectory, leverage, and free cash flow generation, Contango Silver & Gold Inc. is rated at 5.0/10. This moderate-tier score shows mixed signals across our quality framework with notable weaknesses.

The gap between the most bullish and bearish model spans +126.8% — demonstrating why single-model analysis is dangerous. Browse all stocks with 13-model coverage →

Data Sources & Confidence

Every CTGO valuation is built from SEC EDGAR XBRL filings — 700+ standardized financial tags. Macroeconomic context from FRED calibrates discount rates, while GDELT news sentiment feeds into our Sentiment SOTP model. All pipelines run daily. Read the complete data methodology →

Across CTGO's 12 active models, average confidence is 44%. Lower confidence may reflect limited history or high volatility.

CirclFi's output is a research starting point, not a buy/sell signal. All data updates daily. Read the full methodology →

This analysis is produced by the CirclFi Valuation Engine using quantitative models applied to SEC EDGAR filings, public market feeds, and FRED macroeconomic indicators. It is not financial advice.

Read the full investment analysis: Should You Buy Contango Silver & Gold Inc. Stock in 2026? →

Bull case, bear case, risk factors & peer comparison — updated daily

Which Similar Gold and Silver Ores Stocks Should You Also Analyze?

8 related Gold and Silver Ores stocks with 13-model coverage

FSMFortuna Mining Corp.QOC 9.4NEMNewmont CorporationQOC 9.3DRDDRDGOLD LimitedQOC 9.2HMYHarmony Gold Mining Company LimQOC 9.1IDRIdaho Strategic Resources, Inc.QOC 8.7KGCKinross Gold CorporationQOC 8.2CDECoeur Mining, Inc.QOC 8.1VOXRVox Royalty Corp.QOC 7.5

Read investment analysis: FSM · NEM · DRD · HMY · IDR

See all Gold and Silver Ores stocks ranked →

Frequently Asked Questions About Contango Silver & Gold Inc.

What is Contango Silver & Gold Inc.'s intrinsic value in 2026?

Based on CirclFi's 13-model analysis, Contango Silver & Gold Inc. (CTGO) has multiple fair value estimates. The Bayesian DCF model runs 10,000 Monte Carlo simulations with jump-diffusion to estimate intrinsic value at $4.00. The Quality of Company score is 5.0/10 across 32 fundamental signals. All models use SEC EDGAR filings updated daily. See our methodology page for how each model works.

Is CTGO overvalued or undervalued right now?

At $16.79, 3 of 12 active models suggest CTGO may be undervalued, while 9 indicate potential overvaluation. The median of all 12 fair value estimates is $13.07, 22.1% below the current price of $16.79 — a consensus view that CTGO is overvalued. The assessment depends on which methodology best fits Contango Silver & Gold Inc.'s business model in Gold and Silver Ores.

What does a Quality of Company score of 5.0 mean for CTGO?

Contango Silver & Gold Inc.'s QOC of 5.0/10 reflects 32 fundamental signals: profitability margins, revenue growth consistency, balance sheet leverage, free cash flow generation, and capital allocation efficiency. Scores between 5-7 reflect moderate fundamentals with areas for improvement.

How many valuation models does CirclFi run on CTGO?

CirclFi analyzes CTGO with 13 institutional-grade models daily: Bayesian DCF (Monte Carlo + jump-diffusion), EPV (Greenwald zero-growth), EROIC Spread (McKinsey reinvestment), First Chicago (3-scenario), Markov DDM (regime-switching), ML-RIV (machine learning residual income), Dynamic NAV (asset-based), PWERM (option-theoretic), Regime Cross-Sectional (relative), Sentiment SOTP (hybrid), CUCE Ensemble (meta-model), FTNN Topology (neural network), and RCMH-DCF (conditional regime). Currently 12 of 13 are active for this stock. Read the full methodology →

Is CTGO a value trap in 2026?

Contango Silver & Gold Inc.'s Value Trap score is 24/100 (SAFE). This low score indicates the current valuation is not artificially depressed by fundamental deterioration, suggesting genuine opportunity rather than a trap. Browse stocks by value-trap risk →

Cite this analysis — “According to CirclFi’s 12-model valuation engine, Contango Silver & Gold Inc. (CTGO) has a median fair value of $13.07 — 22.1% below the current price of $16.79 — as of 2026-07-15.” Source: circlfi.com/stock/CTGO/ · Methodology

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