Contango Silver & Gold Inc. (CTGO) Fair Value 2026

CTGO · Gold ·

By CirclFi Research Team · Data from SEC EDGAR, FRED & GDELT

Quality Score

5.3 /10

32 fundamental signals · 2 models active

Value Trap Risk

LOW (34/100)

Quick Summary — As of 2026-08-28, Contango Silver & Gold Inc. (CTGO) trades at $19.27, versus a $34.39 median fair value across its 2 active models — 78.5% above the current price. QOC: 5.3/10. Value Trap Risk: 34/100 (LOW). 2/13 models active.

Key Facts

Ticker
CTGO
Price
$19.27
Quality Score
5.3/10
Value Trap Risk
34/100
Models Active
2/13
Last Updated
Strength: Regime Cross-Sectional suggests +225.9% upside with 46% confidence
Risk: Limited model coverage (2/13) may reduce confidence

Is Contango Silver & Gold Inc. (CTGO) Undervalued or Overvalued in 2026?

According to CirclFi’s 2-model valuation engine, Contango Silver & Gold Inc. (CTGO) appears undervalued as of : the median of 2 independent fair value estimates is $34.39, 78.5% above the current price of $19.27. Estimates range from $5.98 to $62.80. CTGO scores 5.3/10 on fundamental quality and 34/100 on value-trap risk.

For context, the median US equity CirclFi rates trades at an implied -23.4% versus its own 13-model consensus, across 3,809 rated companies as of 2026-08-28. CTGO’s +78.5% gap is wider than that market norm, and the Gold sector median is -29.1%. Full market index →

This verdict compares price to intrinsic value only — it is not a buy or sell rating. For the decision case (bull vs bear arguments, risk factors, peers), read Should You Buy Contango Silver & Gold Inc. Stock in 2026? →

What Fair Value Does Each Model Give CTGO?

2 Intrinsic Value Models vs. Current Price ($19.27)

Core Models (Unlocked)
Model Fair Value Upside
Asset-Based · High Conviction
 $5.98 -69.0%
Relative · Medium Conviction
 $62.80 +225.9%

All Models Active

All 2 models are displayed above.

What Is Contango Silver & Gold Inc. (CTGO) Worth in 2026?

According to the CirclFi Deep Alpha Valuation Engine, Contango Silver & Gold Inc.'s intrinsic value is estimated at $34.39, presenting a divided outlook at the current price of $19.27. With a median implied return of +78.5% across a split 1–1 (bull–bear) consensus, the model spread of +294.8% underscores analytical uncertainty. Notably, Regime Cross sees the most upside at +225.9% (fair value: $62.80), while Dynamic NAV is the most conservative at -69.0% ($5.98). The spread between these extremes — +294.8% — reveals how different analytical frameworks can reach starkly different conclusions.

What Do the Models Say About CTGO?

2 of 13 models are currently active for CTGO. Of these, 1 model suggests upside while 1 model suggests overvaluation. Taken together, their median fair value for CTGO is $34.39 — the figure CirclFi publishes as this stock's fair value. See which stocks rank higher →

How Does CTGO Rank in Gold?

Among 58 Gold stocks, CTGO ranks #28 by Quality of Company score. CirclFi's QOC score of 5.3/10 evaluates 32 fundamental signals. A score of 5.3 reflects mixed fundamentals.

See all Most Undervalued Gold Stocks →

Contango Silver & Gold Inc. operates in a competitive landscape where fundamental quality metrics are key differentiators for long-term value creation.

Is CTGO a Value Trap?

CirclFi's Value Trap algorithm assigns CTGO a score of 34/100 (LOW). This indicates low risk. The financial profile does not exhibit typical value trap warning signs. The score cross-references apparent undervaluation against fundamental deterioration signals. Browse lowest value-trap stocks →

Multi-Model Methodology

2 of 13 models are active for Contango Silver & Gold Inc.. Limited activation may indicate insufficient history. Each model applies a fundamentally different valuation philosophy. See the complete methodology →

According to the CirclFi Quality of Company (QOC) framework, which evaluates 32 signals including margin stability, revenue growth trajectory, leverage, and free cash flow generation, Contango Silver & Gold Inc. is rated at 5.3/10. This moderate-tier score shows mixed signals across our quality framework with notable weaknesses.

The gap between the most bullish and bearish model spans +294.8% — demonstrating why single-model analysis is dangerous. Browse all stocks with 13-model coverage →

Data Sources & Confidence

Every CTGO valuation is built from SEC EDGAR XBRL filings — 700+ standardized financial tags. Macroeconomic context from FRED calibrates discount rates, while GDELT news sentiment feeds into our Sentiment SOTP model. All pipelines run daily. Read the complete data methodology →

Across CTGO's 2 active models, average confidence is 50%. Moderate confidence indicates reasonable fit.

CirclFi's output is a research starting point, not a buy/sell signal. All data updates daily. Read the full methodology →

This analysis is produced by the CirclFi Valuation Engine using quantitative models applied to SEC EDGAR filings, public market feeds, and FRED macroeconomic indicators. It is not financial advice.

Read the full investment analysis: Should You Buy Contango Silver & Gold Inc. Stock in 2026? →

Bull case, bear case, risk factors & peer comparison — updated daily

Which Similar Gold Stocks Should You Also Analyze?

11 related Gold stocks with 13-model coverage

VGZVista Gold Corp.QOC 5.4THMInternational Tower Hill Mines Ltd.QOC 5.2GROYGold Royalty Corp.QOC 5.5BMXIBrookmount Explorations Inc.QOC 5.1IAUXi-80 Gold Corp.QOC 5.5PZGParamount Gold Nevada Corp.QOC 5.1MINEMayfair Gold Corp.QOC 3.4EQXEquinox Gold Corp.QOC 2.5OROR Royalties Inc.QOC 6.8FSMFortuna Mining Corp.QOC 9.3NEMNewmont CorporationQOC 9.3

Read investment analysis: VGZ · THM · GROY · BMXI · IAUX · PZG · MINE · EQX · OR · FSM · NEM

Which Other Stocks Have a Similar Quality Score to CTGO?

7 companies across all industries closest to CTGO’s Quality of Company score of 5.3/10.

MERCMercer International Inc.QOC 5.3NKLRTerra Innovatum Global N.V.QOC 5.3CXAICXApp Inc.QOC 5.3FGIFGI Industries Ltd.QOC 5.3LOOPLoop Industries, Inc.QOC 5.3LPSNLivePerson, Inc.QOC 5.3NVDANVIDIA CorporationQOC 10.0

Read investment analysis: MERC · NKLR · CXAI · FGI · LOOP · LPSN · NVDA

Where Does CTGO Sit in CirclFi's Gold Rankings?

CTGO is ranked against every other Gold stock CirclFi covers in each of these screens.

See all Gold stocks ranked →

What Else Do Investors Ask About Contango Silver & Gold Inc.’s Valuation?

What is Contango Silver & Gold Inc.'s intrinsic value in 2026?

CirclFi puts Contango Silver & Gold Inc. (CTGO)'s intrinsic value at $34.39 — the median of 2 independent model estimates as of 2026-08-28, ranging from $5.98 to $62.80. The Quality of Company score is 5.3/10 across 32 fundamental signals. All models use SEC EDGAR filings updated daily. See our methodology page for how each model works.

Is CTGO overvalued or undervalued right now?

At $19.27, 1 of 2 active models suggest CTGO may be undervalued, while 1 indicate potential overvaluation. The median of all 2 fair value estimates is $34.39, 78.5% above the current price of $19.27 — a consensus view that CTGO is undervalued. The assessment depends on which methodology best fits Contango Silver & Gold Inc.'s business model in Gold.

What does a Quality of Company score of 5.3 mean for CTGO?

Contango Silver & Gold Inc.'s QOC of 5.3/10 reflects 32 fundamental signals: profitability margins, revenue growth consistency, balance sheet leverage, free cash flow generation, and capital allocation efficiency. Scores between 5-7 reflect moderate fundamentals with areas for improvement.

How many valuation models does CirclFi run on CTGO?

CirclFi analyzes CTGO with 13 institutional-grade models daily: Bayesian DCF (Monte Carlo + jump-diffusion), EPV (Greenwald zero-growth), EROIC Spread (McKinsey reinvestment), First Chicago (3-scenario), Markov DDM (regime-switching), ML-RIV (machine learning residual income), Dynamic NAV (asset-based), PWERM (option-theoretic), Regime Cross-Sectional (relative), Sentiment SOTP (hybrid), CUCE Ensemble (meta-model), FTNN Topology (neural network), and RCMH-DCF (conditional regime). Currently 2 of 13 are active for this stock. Read the full methodology →

Is CTGO a value trap in 2026?

Contango Silver & Gold Inc.'s Value Trap score is 34/100 (LOW). This low score indicates the current valuation is not artificially depressed by fundamental deterioration, suggesting genuine opportunity rather than a trap. Browse stocks by value-trap risk →

Cite this analysis — “According to CirclFi’s 2-model valuation engine, Contango Silver & Gold Inc. (CTGO) has a median fair value of $34.39 — 78.5% above the current price of $19.27 — as of 2026-08-28.” Source: circlfi.com/stock/CTGO/ · Methodology
Primary sources for this CTGO valuation
  • Financial statements: Contango Silver & Gold Inc. 10-K and 10-Q filings on SEC EDGAR (CIK 0001502377) — 700+ standardized XBRL tags, published by the U.S. Securities and Exchange Commission.
  • Discount-rate inputs: FRED, Federal Reserve Bank of St. Louis — risk-free rates, VIX, yield curve, inflation.
  • News sentiment: The GDELT Project — global media tone, input to the Sentiment SOTP model.
  • Model definitions: CirclFi methodology — the published specification for all 13 models, including the academic sources each one implements.

Market data for CTGO as of ; valuations recomputed .