OceanaGold Corporation (OGC) Fair Value 2026

OGC · Gold ·

By CirclFi Research Team · Data from SEC EDGAR, FRED & GDELT

Quality Score

6.1 /10

32 fundamental signals · 1 models active

Value Trap Risk

SAFE (0/100)

Quick Summary — As of 2026-08-27, OceanaGold Corporation (OGC) trades at $31.45. QOC: 6.1/10. Value Trap Risk: 0/100 (SAFE). 1/13 models active.

Key Facts

Ticker
OGC
Price
$31.45
Quality Score
6.1/10
Value Trap Risk
0/100
Models Active
1/13
Last Updated
Strength: Regime Cross-Sectional suggests +64.3% upside with 12% confidence
Risk: Limited model coverage (1/13) may reduce confidence

What Fair Value Does Each Model Give OGC?

1 Intrinsic Value Models vs. Current Price ($31.45)

Core Models (Unlocked)
Model Fair Value Upside
Relative · Low Conviction
 $51.66 +64.3%

All Models Active

All 1 models are displayed above.

What Is OceanaGold Corporation (OGC) Worth in 2026?

According to the CirclFi Deep Alpha Valuation Engine, OceanaGold Corporation's intrinsic value is estimated at a median fair value of $51.66. At a current market price of $31.45, 1 of 1 active valuation models identify upside potential, projecting a median implied return of +64.3%.

What Do the Models Say About OGC?

1 of 13 models are currently active for OGC. All 1 active models suggest the stock trades below fair value. See which stocks rank higher →

How Does OGC Rank in Gold?

Among 57 Gold stocks, OGC ranks #16 by Quality of Company score. CirclFi's QOC score of 6.1/10 evaluates 32 fundamental signals. A score of 6.1 indicates above-average quality.

See all Most Undervalued Gold Stocks →

OceanaGold Corporation operates in a competitive landscape where fundamental quality metrics are key differentiators for long-term value creation.

Is OGC a Value Trap?

CirclFi's Value Trap algorithm assigns OGC a score of 0/100 (SAFE). This indicates minimal risk. Fundamentals are healthy. The score cross-references apparent undervaluation against fundamental deterioration signals. Browse lowest value-trap stocks →

Multi-Model Methodology

1 of 13 models are active for OceanaGold Corporation. Limited activation may indicate insufficient history. Each model applies a fundamentally different valuation philosophy. See the complete methodology →

According to the CirclFi 32-factor quality framework, OceanaGold Corporation's fundamental quality profile registers 6.1/10. This respectable score captures the company's profitability depth, growth consistency, balance sheet resilience, and shareholder return track record.

CirclFi runs 13 independent models for each stock. Browse all stocks with 13-model coverage →

Data Sources & Confidence

Every OGC valuation is built from SEC EDGAR XBRL filings — 700+ standardized financial tags. Macroeconomic context from FRED calibrates discount rates, while GDELT news sentiment feeds into our Sentiment SOTP model. All pipelines run daily. Read the complete data methodology →

Across OGC's 1 active models, average confidence is 12%. Lower confidence may reflect limited history or high volatility.

CirclFi's output is a research starting point, not a buy/sell signal. All data updates daily. Read the full methodology →

This analysis is produced by the CirclFi Valuation Engine using quantitative models applied to SEC EDGAR filings, public market feeds, and FRED macroeconomic indicators. It is not financial advice.

Read the full investment analysis: Should You Buy OceanaGold Corporation Stock in 2026? →

Bull case, bear case, risk factors & peer comparison — updated daily

Which Similar Gold Stocks Should You Also Analyze?

10 related Gold stocks with 13-model coverage

GLDGGoldMining Inc.QOC 6.2MAKOMako Mining Corp.QOC 6.0SASeabridge Gold Inc.QOC 6.2FTCOFortitude Gold CorporationQOC 5.9NAMMNamib MineralsQOC 6.7NFGCNew Found Gold Corp.QOC 5.9PZGParamount Gold Nevada Corp.QOC 5.1AGIAlamos Gold Inc.QOC 2.9FSMFortuna Mining Corp.QOC 9.3NEMNewmont CorporationQOC 9.3

Read investment analysis: GLDG · MAKO · SA · FTCO · NAMM · NFGC · PZG · AGI · FSM · NEM

Which Other Stocks Have a Similar Quality Score to OGC?

7 companies across all industries closest to OGC’s Quality of Company score of 6.1/10.

INISRadnostix, Inc.QOC 6.1JFBJFB Construction HoldingsQOC 6.1FSKFS KKR Capital Corp.QOC 6.1FFFutureFuel Corp.QOC 6.1TEOTelecom Argentina S.A.QOC 6.1RWAYRunway Growth Finance Corp.QOC 6.1NVDANVIDIA CorporationQOC 10.0

Read investment analysis: INIS · JFB · FSK · FF · TEO · RWAY · NVDA

Where Does OGC Sit in CirclFi's Gold Rankings?

OGC is ranked against every other Gold stock CirclFi covers in each of these screens.

See all Gold stocks ranked →

What Else Do Investors Ask About OceanaGold Corporation’s Valuation?

What is OceanaGold Corporation's intrinsic value in 2026?

CirclFi does not yet have enough active models to publish a median fair value for OceanaGold Corporation (OGC). The Quality of Company score is 6.1/10 across 32 fundamental signals. All models use SEC EDGAR filings updated daily. See our methodology page for how each model works.

Is OGC overvalued or undervalued right now?

At $31.45, 1 of 1 active models suggest OGC may be undervalued, while 0 indicate potential overvaluation. The assessment depends on which methodology best fits OceanaGold Corporation's business model in Gold.

What does a Quality of Company score of 6.1 mean for OGC?

OceanaGold Corporation's QOC of 6.1/10 reflects 32 fundamental signals: profitability margins, revenue growth consistency, balance sheet leverage, free cash flow generation, and capital allocation efficiency. Scores between 5-7 reflect moderate fundamentals with areas for improvement.

How many valuation models does CirclFi run on OGC?

CirclFi analyzes OGC with 13 institutional-grade models daily: Bayesian DCF (Monte Carlo + jump-diffusion), EPV (Greenwald zero-growth), EROIC Spread (McKinsey reinvestment), First Chicago (3-scenario), Markov DDM (regime-switching), ML-RIV (machine learning residual income), Dynamic NAV (asset-based), PWERM (option-theoretic), Regime Cross-Sectional (relative), Sentiment SOTP (hybrid), CUCE Ensemble (meta-model), FTNN Topology (neural network), and RCMH-DCF (conditional regime). Currently 1 of 13 are active for this stock. Read the full methodology →

Is OGC a value trap in 2026?

OceanaGold Corporation's Value Trap score is 0/100 (SAFE). This low score indicates the current valuation is not artificially depressed by fundamental deterioration, suggesting genuine opportunity rather than a trap. Browse stocks by value-trap risk →

Cite this analysis — “CirclFi assigns OceanaGold Corporation (OGC) a Quality of Company score of 6.1/10 across 32 fundamental signals as of 2026-08-27.” Source: circlfi.com/stock/OGC/ · Methodology
Primary sources for this OGC valuation
  • Financial statements: OceanaGold Corporation 10-K and 10-Q filings on SEC EDGAR (CIK 0001487326) — 700+ standardized XBRL tags, published by the U.S. Securities and Exchange Commission.
  • Discount-rate inputs: FRED, Federal Reserve Bank of St. Louis — risk-free rates, VIX, yield curve, inflation.
  • News sentiment: The GDELT Project — global media tone, input to the Sentiment SOTP model.
  • Model definitions: CirclFi methodology — the published specification for all 13 models, including the academic sources each one implements.

Market data for OGC as of ; valuations recomputed .