What Is Cleveland-Cliffs Inc. (CLF) Worth in 2026?
According to the CirclFi Deep Alpha Valuation Engine, Cleveland-Cliffs Inc.'s intrinsic value is estimated at a composite $11.95, showing conflicting signals at the current price of $9.70. While the average implied return is +23.2%, model disagreement is elevated with a gap of +405.2% between the most bullish and bearish estimates. The most optimistic model, Regime Cross, places fair value at $40.83 (+320.9%), while First Chicago — the most conservative — estimates $1.52 (-84.3%). This +405.2% gap reflects genuine analytical uncertainty about Cleveland-Cliffs Inc.'s intrinsic worth. Among models with highest confidence, EPV, EROIC lean bearish — adding weight to the bearish side of the thesis.
What Do the Models Say About CLF?
10 of 13 models are currently active for CLF. Of these, 5 models suggest upside while 5 models suggest overvaluation. The Bayesian DCF estimates CLF's intrinsic value at $15.86, implying +63.5% upside from the current price. See which stocks rank higher →
How Does CLF Rank in Metal Mining?
Among 38 Metal Mining stocks, CLF ranks #4 by Quality of Company score. CirclFi's QOC score of 6.6/10 evaluates 32 fundamental signals. A score of 6.6 indicates above-average quality.
See all Most Undervalued Metal Mining Stocks →
As a industrial sector, Cleveland-Cliffs Inc. operates in a sector where capacity utilization rate is a critical driver of valuation. Investors evaluating CLF should weigh these sector-specific dynamics alongside our model-derived fair values.
Is CLF a Value Trap?
CirclFi's Value Trap algorithm assigns CLF a score of 8/100 (SAFE). This indicates minimal risk. Fundamentals are healthy. The score cross-references apparent undervaluation against fundamental deterioration signals. Browse lowest value-trap stocks →
Multi-Model Methodology
10 of 13 models are active for Cleveland-Cliffs Inc.. Broad coverage provides high confidence. Each model applies a fundamentally different valuation philosophy. See the complete methodology →
According to the CirclFi Quality of Company (QOC) framework, which evaluates 32 signals including margin stability, revenue growth trajectory, leverage, and free cash flow generation, Cleveland-Cliffs Inc. is rated at 6.6/10. This solid-tier score maintains reasonable quality metrics with some areas for improvement.
The gap between the most bullish and bearish model spans +405.2% — demonstrating why single-model analysis is dangerous. Browse all stocks with 13-model coverage →
Data Sources & Confidence
Every CLF valuation is built from SEC EDGAR XBRL filings — 700+ standardized financial tags. Macroeconomic context from FRED calibrates discount rates, while GDELT news sentiment feeds into our Sentiment SOTP model. All pipelines run daily. Read the complete data methodology →
Across CLF's 10 active models, average confidence is 43%. Lower confidence may reflect limited history or high volatility.
CirclFi's output is a research starting point, not a buy/sell signal. All data updates daily. Read the full methodology →
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