What Is B&G Foods, Inc. (BGS) Worth in 2026?
According to the CirclFi Deep Alpha Valuation Engine, B&G Foods, Inc.'s intrinsic value is estimated at a composite fair value of $6.80. While the stock appears modestly undervalued at $3.76 (implied upside of +80.8%), our analysis suggests a thinner margin of safety across 7 of 10 bullish models. Notably, CUCE sees the most upside at +197.4% (fair value: $11.18), while Sentiment SOTP is the most conservative at -81.9% ($0.68). The spread between these extremes — +279.3% — reveals how different analytical frameworks can reach starkly different conclusions.
What Do the Models Say About BGS?
10 of 13 models are currently active for BGS. Of these, 8 models suggest upside while 2 models suggest overvaluation. The Bayesian DCF estimates BGS's intrinsic value at $3.86, implying +2.8% upside from the current price. See which stocks rank higher →
How Does BGS Rank in Food and Kindred Products?
Among 22 Food and Kindred Products stocks, BGS ranks #10 by Quality of Company score. CirclFi's QOC score of 6.2/10 evaluates 32 fundamental signals. A score of 6.2 indicates above-average quality.
B&G Foods, Inc.'s positioning within the Food and Kindred Products segment means that brand equity index plays an outsized role in fundamental analysis. The sector's unique characteristics — including omnichannel integration — shape both the opportunity set and risk profile.
Is BGS a Value Trap?
CirclFi's Value Trap algorithm assigns BGS a score of 12/100 (SAFE). This indicates minimal risk. Fundamentals are healthy. The score cross-references apparent undervaluation against fundamental deterioration signals. Browse lowest value-trap stocks →
Multi-Model Methodology
10 of 13 models are active for B&G Foods, Inc.. Broad coverage provides high confidence. Each model applies a fundamentally different valuation philosophy. See the complete methodology →
According to the CirclFi Deep Alpha Valuation Engine, B&G Foods, Inc. scores 6.2 out of 10 on our 32-signal quality assessment, a solid rating that maintains reasonable quality metrics with some areas for improvement. The QOC score synthesizes profitability margins, revenue growth reliability, debt management, and capital allocation into a single metric designed to separate durable businesses from statistically cheap ones.
The gap between the most bullish and bearish model spans +279.3% — demonstrating why single-model analysis is dangerous. Browse all stocks with 13-model coverage →
Data Sources & Confidence
Every BGS valuation is built from SEC EDGAR XBRL filings — 700+ standardized financial tags. Macroeconomic context from FRED calibrates discount rates, while GDELT news sentiment feeds into our Sentiment SOTP model. All pipelines run daily. Read the complete data methodology →
Across BGS's 10 active models, average confidence is 43%. Lower confidence may reflect limited history or high volatility.
CirclFi's output is a research starting point, not a buy/sell signal. All data updates daily. Read the full methodology →
Buy with Gumroad