What Is Mondelez International, Inc. (MDLZ) Worth in 2026?
According to the CirclFi Deep Alpha Valuation Engine, Mondelez International, Inc.'s intrinsic value is estimated at $34.41, suggesting the stock is overvalued at its current price of $59.86. With 10 out of 11 models flagging downside (-42.5% average return), the market may be pricing in unsustainable growth. Model dispersion is worth noting: PWERM targets $61.26 (+2.3%), versus EROIC at $15.21 (-74.6%). This +76.9% range highlights the importance of multi-model analysis rather than relying on any single methodology. Among models with highest confidence, Bayesian DCF, EPV lean bearish — adding weight to the bearish side of the thesis.
What Do the Models Say About MDLZ?
11 of 13 models are currently active for MDLZ. Of these, 1 model suggests upside while 10 models suggest overvaluation. The Bayesian DCF estimates MDLZ's intrinsic value at $27.97, implying -53.3% downside from the current price. See which stocks rank higher →
How Does MDLZ Rank in Food and Kindred Products?
Among 22 Food and Kindred Products stocks, MDLZ ranks #6 by Quality of Company score. CirclFi's QOC score of 8.1/10 evaluates 32 fundamental signals. A score of 8.1 places MDLZ in the top tier.
Within the Food and Kindred Products space, Mondelez International, Inc. competes in an environment where e-commerce penetration rate often separates market leaders from laggards. Understanding these industry-specific dynamics is essential context for interpreting our model outputs.
Is MDLZ a Value Trap?
The Value Trap algorithm is not active for MDLZ. The score cross-references apparent undervaluation against fundamental deterioration signals. Browse lowest value-trap stocks →
Multi-Model Methodology
11 of 13 models are active for Mondelez International, Inc.. Broad coverage provides high confidence. Each model applies a fundamentally different valuation philosophy. See the complete methodology →
According to the CirclFi Quality of Company (QOC) framework, which evaluates 32 signals including margin stability, revenue growth trajectory, leverage, and free cash flow generation, Mondelez International, Inc. is rated at 8.1/10. This strong-tier score demonstrates strong fundamentals across the majority of our quality signals.
The gap between the most bullish and bearish model spans +76.9% — demonstrating why single-model analysis is dangerous. Browse all stocks with 13-model coverage →
Data Sources & Confidence
Every MDLZ valuation is built from SEC EDGAR XBRL filings — 700+ standardized financial tags. Macroeconomic context from FRED calibrates discount rates, while GDELT news sentiment feeds into our Sentiment SOTP model. All pipelines run daily. Read the complete data methodology →
Across MDLZ's 11 active models, average confidence is 53%. Moderate confidence indicates reasonable fit.
CirclFi's output is a research starting point, not a buy/sell signal. All data updates daily. Read the full methodology →
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