Rocky Mountain Chocolate Factory, Inc. (RMCF) Fair Value 2026

RMCF · Confectioners ·

By CirclFi Research Team · Data from SEC EDGAR, FRED & GDELT

Quality Score

5.2 /10

32 fundamental signals · 2 models active

Value Trap Risk

LOW (32/100)

Quick Summary — As of 2026-08-27, Rocky Mountain Chocolate Factory, Inc. (RMCF) trades at $1.17, versus a $2.71 median fair value across its 2 active models — 131.3% above the current price. QOC: 5.2/10. Value Trap Risk: 32/100 (LOW). 2/13 models active.

Key Facts

Ticker
RMCF
Price
$1.17
Quality Score
5.2/10
Value Trap Risk
32/100
Models Active
2/13
Last Updated
Strength: Regime Cross-Sectional suggests +240.8% upside with 19% confidence
Risk: Limited model coverage (2/13) may reduce confidence

Is Rocky Mountain Chocolate Factory, Inc. (RMCF) Undervalued or Overvalued in 2026?

According to CirclFi’s 2-model valuation engine, Rocky Mountain Chocolate Factory, Inc. (RMCF) appears undervalued as of : the median of 2 independent fair value estimates is $2.71, 131.3% above the current price of $1.17. Estimates range from $1.42 to $3.99. RMCF scores 5.2/10 on fundamental quality and 32/100 on value-trap risk.

For context, the median US equity CirclFi rates trades at an implied -23.7% versus its own 13-model consensus, across 3,801 rated companies as of 2026-08-27. RMCF’s +131.3% gap is wider than that market norm. Full market index →

This verdict compares price to intrinsic value only — it is not a buy or sell rating. For the decision case (bull vs bear arguments, risk factors, peers), read Should You Buy Rocky Mountain Chocolate Factory, Inc. Stock in 2026? →

What Fair Value Does Each Model Give RMCF?

2 Intrinsic Value Models vs. Current Price ($1.17)

Core Models (Unlocked)
Model Fair Value Upside
Option-Based · Medium Conviction
$1.42 +21.8%
Relative · Low Conviction
$3.99 +240.8%

All Models Active

All 2 models are displayed above.

What Is Rocky Mountain Chocolate Factory, Inc. (RMCF) Worth in 2026?

According to the CirclFi Deep Alpha Valuation Engine, Rocky Mountain Chocolate Factory, Inc. is potentially undervalued at its current price of $1.17. Based on our 13-model framework, Rocky Mountain Chocolate Factory, Inc.'s intrinsic value is estimated at a median fair value of $2.71 — representing +131.3% implied upside — with 2 out of 2 active models confirming this thesis. Model dispersion is worth noting: Regime Cross targets $3.99 (+240.8%), versus PWERM at $1.42 (+21.8%). This +219.1% range highlights the importance of multi-model analysis rather than relying on any single methodology.

What Do the Models Say About RMCF?

2 of 13 models are currently active for RMCF. All 2 active models suggest the stock trades below fair value. Taken together, their median fair value for RMCF is $2.71 — the figure CirclFi publishes as this stock's fair value. See which stocks rank higher →

How Does RMCF Rank in Confectioners?

Among 5 Confectioners stocks, RMCF ranks #4 by Quality of Company score. CirclFi's QOC score of 5.2/10 evaluates 32 fundamental signals. A score of 5.2 reflects mixed fundamentals.

Rocky Mountain Chocolate Factory, Inc. operates in a competitive landscape where fundamental quality metrics are key differentiators for long-term value creation.

Is RMCF a Value Trap?

CirclFi's Value Trap algorithm assigns RMCF a score of 32/100 (LOW). This indicates low risk. The financial profile does not exhibit typical value trap warning signs. The score cross-references apparent undervaluation against fundamental deterioration signals. Browse lowest value-trap stocks →

Multi-Model Methodology

2 of 13 models are active for Rocky Mountain Chocolate Factory, Inc.. Limited activation may indicate insufficient history. Each model applies a fundamentally different valuation philosophy. See the complete methodology →

According to the CirclFi Deep Alpha Valuation Engine, Rocky Mountain Chocolate Factory, Inc. scores 5.2 out of 10 on our 32-signal quality assessment, a moderate rating that shows mixed signals across our quality framework with notable weaknesses. The QOC score synthesizes profitability margins, revenue growth reliability, debt management, and capital allocation into a single metric designed to separate durable businesses from statistically cheap ones.

The gap between the most bullish and bearish model spans +219.1% — demonstrating why single-model analysis is dangerous. Browse all stocks with 13-model coverage →

Data Sources & Confidence

Every RMCF valuation is built from SEC EDGAR XBRL filings — 700+ standardized financial tags. Macroeconomic context from FRED calibrates discount rates, while GDELT news sentiment feeds into our Sentiment SOTP model. All pipelines run daily. Read the complete data methodology →

Across RMCF's 2 active models, average confidence is 27%. Lower confidence may reflect limited history or high volatility.

CirclFi's output is a research starting point, not a buy/sell signal. All data updates daily. Read the full methodology →

This analysis is produced by the CirclFi Valuation Engine using quantitative models applied to SEC EDGAR filings, public market feeds, and FRED macroeconomic indicators. It is not financial advice.

Read the full investment analysis: Should You Buy Rocky Mountain Chocolate Factory, Inc. Stock in 2026? →

Bull case, bear case, risk factors & peer comparison — updated daily

Which Similar Confectioners Stocks Should You Also Analyze?

4 related Confectioners stocks with 13-model coverage

Read investment analysis: TR · HSY · MDLZ · SOWG

Which Other Stocks Have a Similar Quality Score to RMCF?

7 companies across all industries closest to RMCF’s Quality of Company score of 5.2/10.

Read investment analysis: MREO · SNDA · SCLX · ECTM · MCI · MBGL · NVDA

What Else Do Investors Ask About Rocky Mountain Chocolate Factory, Inc.’s Valuation?

What is Rocky Mountain Chocolate Factory, Inc.'s intrinsic value in 2026?

CirclFi puts Rocky Mountain Chocolate Factory, Inc. (RMCF)'s intrinsic value at $2.71 — the median of 2 independent model estimates as of 2026-08-27, ranging from $1.42 to $3.99. The Quality of Company score is 5.2/10 across 32 fundamental signals. All models use SEC EDGAR filings updated daily. See our methodology page for how each model works.

Is RMCF overvalued or undervalued right now?

At $1.17, 2 of 2 active models suggest RMCF may be undervalued, while 0 indicate potential overvaluation. The median of all 2 fair value estimates is $2.71, 131.3% above the current price of $1.17 — a consensus view that RMCF is undervalued. The assessment depends on which methodology best fits Rocky Mountain Chocolate Factory, Inc.'s business model in Confectioners.

What does a Quality of Company score of 5.2 mean for RMCF?

Rocky Mountain Chocolate Factory, Inc.'s QOC of 5.2/10 reflects 32 fundamental signals: profitability margins, revenue growth consistency, balance sheet leverage, free cash flow generation, and capital allocation efficiency. Scores between 5-7 reflect moderate fundamentals with areas for improvement.

How many valuation models does CirclFi run on RMCF?

CirclFi analyzes RMCF with 13 institutional-grade models daily: Bayesian DCF (Monte Carlo + jump-diffusion), EPV (Greenwald zero-growth), EROIC Spread (McKinsey reinvestment), First Chicago (3-scenario), Markov DDM (regime-switching), ML-RIV (machine learning residual income), Dynamic NAV (asset-based), PWERM (option-theoretic), Regime Cross-Sectional (relative), Sentiment SOTP (hybrid), CUCE Ensemble (meta-model), FTNN Topology (neural network), and RCMH-DCF (conditional regime). Currently 2 of 13 are active for this stock. Read the full methodology →

Is RMCF a value trap in 2026?

Rocky Mountain Chocolate Factory, Inc.'s Value Trap score is 32/100 (LOW). This low score indicates the current valuation is not artificially depressed by fundamental deterioration, suggesting genuine opportunity rather than a trap. Browse stocks by value-trap risk →

Cite this analysis — “According to CirclFi’s 2-model valuation engine, Rocky Mountain Chocolate Factory, Inc. (RMCF) has a median fair value of $2.71 — 131.3% above the current price of $1.17 — as of 2026-08-27.” Source: circlfi.com/stock/RMCF/ · Methodology
Primary sources for this RMCF valuation

Market data for RMCF as of ; valuations recomputed .