The Campbell's Company (CPB) Fair Value 2026

CPB · Packaged Foods ·

By CirclFi Research Team · Data from SEC EDGAR, FRED & GDELT

Quality Score

7.3 /10

32 fundamental signals · 11 models active

Value Trap Risk

SAFE (12/100)

Quick Summary — As of 2026-08-27, The Campbell's Company (CPB) trades at $23.28, versus a $18.87 median fair value across its 11 active models — 18.9% below the current price. QOC: 7.3/10. Value Trap Risk: 12/100 (SAFE). 11/13 models active. Within that set, the Bayesian DCF component alone returns $9.70.

Key Facts

Ticker
CPB
Price
$23.28
Quality Score
7.3/10
Value Trap Risk
12/100
Models Active
11/13
Last Updated
Strength: 11 independent models provide multi-angle coverage
Risk: Majority of models suggest overvaluation

Is The Campbell's Company (CPB) Undervalued or Overvalued in 2026?

According to CirclFi’s 11-model valuation engine, The Campbell's Company (CPB) appears overvalued as of : the median of 11 independent fair value estimates is $18.87, 18.9% below the current price of $23.28. Estimates range from $9.70 to $31.31. CPB scores 7.3/10 on fundamental quality and 12/100 on value-trap risk.

For context, the median US equity CirclFi rates trades at an implied -23.7% versus its own 13-model consensus, across 3,801 rated companies as of 2026-08-27. CPB’s -18.9% gap is narrower than that market norm, and the Packaged Foods sector median is -16.6%. Full market index →

This verdict compares price to intrinsic value only — it is not a buy or sell rating. For the decision case (bull vs bear arguments, risk factors, peers), read Should You Buy The Campbell's Company Stock in 2026? →

What Fair Value Does Each Model Give CPB?

11 Intrinsic Value Models vs. Current Price ($23.28)

Core Models (Unlocked)
Model Fair Value Upside
Intrinsic · High Conviction
 $9.70 -58.3%
Intrinsic · High Conviction
 $22.92 -1.5%
Ensemble · Medium Conviction
 $19.84 -14.8%
Intrinsic · High Conviction
 $17.06 -26.7%
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What Is CPB's Fair Value Range?

Spread across 11 independent models · $9.70 to $31.31

CirclFi's 11 active models place The Campbell's Company (CPB) between $9.70 and $31.31 per share, a spread of 114% of the median. The median of that range — $18.87 — is the fair value CirclFi publishes for CPB, against a current price of $23.28.

Low · Bayesian DCFHigh · PWERM
$9.70median $18.87$31.31
Where the range comes from
Most bearish modelBayesian DCF$9.70
Most bullish modelPWERM$31.31
Model agreement3 bullish · 7 bearishwide

A band this wide is itself the finding. When independent methods land far apart, they are reading a business whose value depends heavily on which lens you apply — volatile earnings, heavy reinvestment, or an asset base that cash-flow and asset-based methods score differently. That disagreement is information: it says the choice of method matters more than usual for CPB. Treat the median as one reading among several and compare the individual models below before acting.

Every figure above is one model's standalone output on CPB, not a CirclFi price target. How each model works →

What Is The Campbell's Company (CPB) Worth in 2026?

According to the CirclFi Deep Alpha Valuation Engine, the balance of valuation evidence tilts cautious on The Campbell's Company at its current price of $23.28. The median intrinsic value is estimated at $18.87 (-18.9% vs price), with 7 models flagging overvaluation risk. The most optimistic model, PWERM, places fair value at $31.31 (+34.5%), while Bayesian DCF — the most conservative — estimates $9.70 (-58.3%). This +92.8% gap reflects genuine analytical uncertainty about The Campbell's Company's intrinsic worth. Among models with highest confidence, Bayesian DCF, EPV, EROIC lean bearish — adding weight to the bearish side of the thesis.

What Do the Models Say About CPB?

11 of 13 models are currently active for CPB. Of these, 3 models suggest upside while 8 models suggest overvaluation. Taken together, their median fair value for CPB is $18.87 — the figure CirclFi publishes as this stock's fair value. One component of that median, the Bayesian DCF, returns $9.70 on its own, implying -58.3% downside from the current price. See which stocks rank higher →

How Does CPB Rank in Packaged Foods?

Among 81 Packaged Foods stocks, CPB ranks #27 by Quality of Company score. CirclFi's QOC score of 7.3/10 evaluates 32 fundamental signals. A score of 7.3 indicates above-average quality.

See all Most Undervalued Packaged Foods Stocks →

As a consumer sector, The Campbell's Company operates in a sector where customer lifetime value (CLV) is a critical driver of valuation. Investors evaluating CPB should weigh these sector-specific dynamics alongside our model-derived fair values.

Is CPB a Value Trap?

CirclFi's Value Trap algorithm assigns CPB a score of 12/100 (SAFE). This indicates minimal risk. Fundamentals are healthy. The score cross-references apparent undervaluation against fundamental deterioration signals. Browse lowest value-trap stocks →

Multi-Model Methodology

11 of 13 models are active for The Campbell's Company. Broad coverage provides high confidence. Each model applies a fundamentally different valuation philosophy. See the complete methodology →

According to the CirclFi Quality of Company (QOC) framework, which evaluates 32 signals including margin stability, revenue growth trajectory, leverage, and free cash flow generation, The Campbell's Company is rated at 7.3/10. This solid-tier score maintains reasonable quality metrics with some areas for improvement.

The gap between the most bullish and bearish model spans +92.8% — demonstrating why single-model analysis is dangerous. Browse all stocks with 13-model coverage →

Data Sources & Confidence

Every CPB valuation is built from SEC EDGAR XBRL filings — 700+ standardized financial tags. Macroeconomic context from FRED calibrates discount rates, while GDELT news sentiment feeds into our Sentiment SOTP model. All pipelines run daily. Read the complete data methodology →

Across CPB's 11 active models, average confidence is 58%. Moderate confidence indicates reasonable fit.

CirclFi's output is a research starting point, not a buy/sell signal. All data updates daily. Read the full methodology →

This analysis is produced by the CirclFi Valuation Engine using quantitative models applied to SEC EDGAR filings, public market feeds, and FRED macroeconomic indicators. It is not financial advice.

Read the full investment analysis: Should You Buy The Campbell's Company Stock in 2026? →

Bull case, bear case, risk factors & peer comparison — updated daily

Which Similar Packaged Foods Stocks Should You Also Analyze?

11 related Packaged Foods stocks with 13-model coverage

HLFHerbalife Ltd.QOC 7.3NOMDNomad Foods LimitedQOC 7.2INBPIntegrated BioPharma, Inc.QOC 7.4JVACoffee Holding Co., Inc.QOC 7.0USNAUSANA Health Sciences, Inc.QOC 7.5KHCThe Kraft Heinz CompanyQOC 6.9DDCDDC Enterprise LimitedQOC 5.6GPOXGPO Plus, Inc.QOC 4.5LWAYLifeway Foods, Inc.QOC 8.4PPCPilgrim's Pride CorporationQOC 9.0JJSFJ&J Snack Foods Corp.QOC 8.9

Read investment analysis: HLF · NOMD · INBP · JVA · USNA · KHC · DDC · GPOX · LWAY · PPC · JJSF

Which Other Stocks Have a Similar Quality Score to CPB?

7 companies across all industries closest to CPB’s Quality of Company score of 7.3/10.

TGTredegar CorporationQOC 7.3RGCORGC Resources, Inc.QOC 7.3GOGOGogo Inc.QOC 7.3ADNTAdient plcQOC 7.3FMSFresenius Medical Care AGQOC 7.3NCINeo-Concept International Group Holdings LimitedQOC 7.3NVDANVIDIA CorporationQOC 10.0

Read investment analysis: TG · RGCO · GOGO · ADNT · FMS · NCI · NVDA

Where Does CPB Sit in CirclFi's Packaged Foods Rankings?

CPB is ranked against every other Packaged Foods stock CirclFi covers in each of these screens.

See all Packaged Foods stocks ranked →

What Else Do Investors Ask About The Campbell's Company’s Valuation?

What is The Campbell's Company's intrinsic value in 2026?

CirclFi puts The Campbell's Company (CPB)'s intrinsic value at $18.87 — the median of 11 independent model estimates as of 2026-08-27, ranging from $9.70 to $31.31. One component of that median, the Bayesian DCF, runs 10,000 Monte Carlo simulations with jump-diffusion and returns $9.70 on its own. The Quality of Company score is 7.3/10 across 32 fundamental signals. All models use SEC EDGAR filings updated daily. See our methodology page for how each model works.

Is CPB overvalued or undervalued right now?

At $23.28, 3 of 11 active models suggest CPB may be undervalued, while 8 indicate potential overvaluation. The median of all 11 fair value estimates is $18.87, 18.9% below the current price of $23.28 — a consensus view that CPB is overvalued. The assessment depends on which methodology best fits The Campbell's Company's business model in Packaged Foods.

What does a Quality of Company score of 7.3 mean for CPB?

The Campbell's Company's QOC of 7.3/10 reflects 32 fundamental signals: profitability margins, revenue growth consistency, balance sheet leverage, free cash flow generation, and capital allocation efficiency. Scores above 7 indicate strong fundamentals and disciplined management.

How many valuation models does CirclFi run on CPB?

CirclFi analyzes CPB with 13 institutional-grade models daily: Bayesian DCF (Monte Carlo + jump-diffusion), EPV (Greenwald zero-growth), EROIC Spread (McKinsey reinvestment), First Chicago (3-scenario), Markov DDM (regime-switching), ML-RIV (machine learning residual income), Dynamic NAV (asset-based), PWERM (option-theoretic), Regime Cross-Sectional (relative), Sentiment SOTP (hybrid), CUCE Ensemble (meta-model), FTNN Topology (neural network), and RCMH-DCF (conditional regime). Currently 11 of 13 are active for this stock. Read the full methodology →

Which valuation models are most bullish and most bearish on CPB?

Of the 11 models currently active on CPB, PWERM is the most bullish at $31.31 per share, and Bayesian DCF is the most bearish at $9.70. CirclFi's published fair value for CPB is the median of that range, $18.87, not either extreme. The gap between the two ends equals 114% of the median — a wide spread, meaning the methods genuinely disagree and the median should carry less weight. Browse stocks by value-trap risk →

Is CPB a value trap in 2026?

The Campbell's Company's Value Trap score is 12/100 (SAFE). This low score indicates the current valuation is not artificially depressed by fundamental deterioration, suggesting genuine opportunity rather than a trap.

Cite this analysis — “According to CirclFi’s 11-model valuation engine, The Campbell's Company (CPB) has a median fair value of $18.87 — 18.9% below the current price of $23.28 — as of 2026-08-27.” Source: circlfi.com/stock/CPB/ · Methodology
Primary sources for this CPB valuation
  • Financial statements: The Campbell's Company 10-K and 10-Q filings on SEC EDGAR (CIK 0000016732) — 700+ standardized XBRL tags, published by the U.S. Securities and Exchange Commission.
  • Discount-rate inputs: FRED, Federal Reserve Bank of St. Louis — risk-free rates, VIX, yield curve, inflation.
  • News sentiment: The GDELT Project — global media tone, input to the Sentiment SOTP model.
  • Model definitions: CirclFi methodology — the published specification for all 13 models, including the academic sources each one implements.

Market data for CPB as of ; valuations recomputed .

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